The War in the Ukraine

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
What we want and what we can realistically achieve are seldom the same thing. And as the NATO and Ukraine continuing live demonstrations are showing, rushing in modern weapons does not automatically equate to a corresponding increase in combat power or operational efficiency.

For both Russia and Ukraine, their baseline force structure, training and equipment are so fundamentally deficient no amount of imported wunderwaffe is going to change them into the kind of slick and sleek modern high tech fighting force you evidently want without effectively rebuilding the military from the ground up. Just look to China’s military modernisation to get a flavour of the scale and scope of investment needed over decades.

That is clearly not achievable in time for this war. So rather than pie in the sky daydreaming, what the Russians should, and are doing is working to make the best use of the forces, equipment and tactics they have available or are easily attainable. Which is precisely what they are doing.

It might not look pretty, but it’s undeniably effective.

Operational efficiency is also not at all the simple clear-cut metric you seem to think it is. Operational efficiency is determined by the strategic objectives.

While normally you would expect a speedy victory to be a top priority, it’s not always the case, where stalling and attritional strategies are very commonly employed.

The Ukraine war is a case where it makes perfect sense for Russia to want to stall and attrition Ukraine rather than seek rapid battlefield advancement all the time.

This makes perfect sense both at the operational level to minimise Russian combat losses, as well as on the broader economic strategic level to drag the conflict into winter to repay NATO and the EU in crippling energy bills and/or outright cutting off supplies when they have no via alternatives.

Another factor that I think needs addressing is that overall, it seems to me that people are just assuming that China is desperate to sell any and everything the Russians might want, and it’s just that the Russians don’t want to buy.

But have people considered that maybe China does not want to sell Russia the things they want?

For one thing, any Chinese weapons sold to Russia will be used in anger right on NATO’s doorstep. That will give NATO front row seats to the show and they are likely to learn a great deal about the capabilities and limitations of modern Chinese weapons. Hell, it’s not out of the question for NATO to be able to capture or even buy fully working examples.

For another, again, just look at the Ukrainian case study where they are using modern NATO weapons with minimal to no training and very much not as stipulated in the manuals. The reputational damage to western weapons has been significant even with western MSM doing overtime damage control fluff pieces as fast as they can.

I have zero doubt the Russians will do the same with any modern Chinese weapons sold, and blame the inevitable malfunctions on ‘poor Chinese quality’ rather than their own lack of proper care and training in how to use those weapons as designed.

Then there is the massive issue of pure Russian incompetence, with the latest reminder coming from the Crimea air base calamity.
Generally agree with your line of thinking. The Chinese will get involve if NATO sends troops and the Russians are losing. The Chinese will not allow Russia to fall, so at some threshold of Russian losses, the Chinese will step in, with both equipment and "volunteer" forces that happened to be trained to use the equipment. But all that is hypothetical since Russia is winning on its own.
 

Sheleah

Junior Member
Registered Member
Overall seems a better result that what the US achieved in Iraq and Afghanistan in 20 years, if you ask me. Or what the Ukrainians "achieved" in 8 years in the Donbas prior to this war, lol.

I suppose you mean the casualties of officers and soldiers... Yes, the Russians have had greater losses than NATO and the US in 20 years, quite an achievement

As for the Russian gains in the Ukraine, at first they were great due to the element of surprise, then when their logistics began to show their flaws, they began their "goodwill" withdrawals, the advances have been minimal, in fact since March, the Russians they have gone back more than they have been able to advance... I guess that is also a reason for "hahaha", assuming that Russia was the "second best army in the world"




Last time I checked, Assad had regained control of most of Syria(and the west couldn't oust him with already marks the whole spring as complete NATO failure) after the Russians got involved exception being the areas negotiated with Turkey, those occupied by the US and their Al-Qaeda friends and random pockets here and there.

It seems that someone forgot to mention, how some Russian bases in Syria were real sieve "saboteurs" with drones that forced them to build bunkers and combine their aircraft next... At that time the "saboteurs" were barefoot militants with practically handmade drones .... When they face moderately modern systems (moderate) the results are even worse... Also to mention that when they faced moderately professional troops they ended up losing, like that battle of Khasham
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
It seems that someone forgot to mention, how some Russian bases in Syria were real sieve "saboteurs" with drones that forced them to build bunkers and combine their aircraft next... At that time the "saboteurs" were barefoot militants with practically handmade drones .... When they face moderately modern systems (moderate) the results are even worse... Also to mention that when they faced moderately professional troops they ended up losing, like that battle of Khasham
Interesting analysis, and how could you evaluate the Russian ari defence systems compared to the USA Iraq systems, that protected it during the Operation Martyr Soleimani ?


When the USA faced Iran, they was completly helpless. It is quite hard to spin anythinig by a way that doesn't make the Russian performance magnitude better than the USA one.
 

Sheleah

Junior Member
Registered Member
When the USA faced Iran, they was completly helpless. It is quite hard to spin anythinig by a way that doesn't make the Russian performance magnitude better than the USA one
I have never published an opinion regarding the performance of Russian weapons, basically they are quite reliable weapons, it is simply a matter of doctrine and lack of training... Russian/Soviet weapons used by well-trained operators usually work well and achieve objectives

This post explains it very well:

 

GodRektsNoobs

Junior Member
Registered Member
I have never published an opinion regarding the performance of Russian weapons, basically they are quite reliable weapons, it is simply a matter of doctrine and lack of training... Russian/Soviet weapons used by well-trained operators usually work well and achieve objectives

This post explains it very well:

Finally, a decent take from you. It definitely explains the discrepancy between paper and actual performance of Russian weapons and why PLA moved away from Soviet/Russian standard. It also explains why Ukrainians fail to use the Western weapons they received to their full potential.

But it's evident that the guy is biased by claiming that Ukrainians miraculously operate the same weapons better than Russians, despite all the real life evidence to the contrary.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Finally, a decent take from you. It definitely explains the discrepancy between paper and actual performance of Russian weapons and why PLA moved away from Soviet/Russian standard. It also explains why Ukrainians fail to use the Western weapons they received to their full potential.

But it's evident that the guy is biased by claiming that Ukrainians miraculously operate the same weapons better than Russians, despite all the real life evidence to the contrary.
PLA has its own doctrine which is unique from both western and Russian doctrine. Weapons are built for a particular style of warfare to meet specific objectives.
 

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
PLA has its own doctrine which is unique from both western and Russian doctrine. Weapons are built for a particular style of warfare to meet specific objectives.
I would say Russia tries to practice a type of industrial warfare doctrine, but while that suited the USSR, it doesn't suit Russia.

US on the other hand has networked warfare with focus on high destruction power. While China uses networked warfare with less power but hard focused on destroying enemy networks.

The weapons Americans build around is something like F35 and B52, cheap, mass producable with ability to ferry a lot of ordinance, able to become more than the sum of their parts in a group. On the contrary, China builds around items like DF26 and WZ8, highly costly but with the right conditions can penetrate any defense and destroy any one platform, which is devastating when the enemy has just a few well defended high value targets, but weak in conflicts such as Libya or Afghanistan, where the enemy doesn't have any one very high value target but a lot of inexpensive targets spread around with no defenses for them except numbers.
 

Fedupwithlies

Junior Member
Registered Member
I would say Russia tries to practice a type of industrial warfare doctrine, but while that suited the USSR, it doesn't suit Russia.

US on the other hand has networked warfare with focus on high destruction power. While China uses networked warfare with less power but hard focused on destroying enemy networks.

The weapons Americans build around is something like F35 and B52, cheap, mass producable with ability to ferry a lot of ordinance, able to become more than the sum of their parts in a group. On the contrary, China builds around items like DF26 and WZ8, highly costly but with the right conditions can penetrate any defense and destroy any one platform, which is devastating when the enemy has just a few well defended high value targets, but weak in conflicts such as Libya or Afghanistan, where the enemy doesn't have any one very high value target but a lot of inexpensive targets spread around with no defenses for them except numbers.
Are you saying American weapons go for the "high explosive" doctrine while Chinese weapons are follow an "armor piercing" doctrine?
 
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