The War in the Ukraine

dxq4412

Junior Member
Registered Member
The Su-34 and the Mi-8 are the only confirmed kills. 'Common knowledge' among Russian commentators, even Prigozhyn himself, says it's friendly fire. But there are some who can't accept that "we can't be that incompetent" that it's friendly fire and hatch the story that there was an enemy SAM waiting for them. I am more likely to think it's friendly fire because this happens all the time --- the Ukrainians shot their own multimillion dollar drone and the decorated commander of an Su-25 squadron stationed near Kiev. In the Russian case, there is heightened alertness following the Storm Shadow attacks. The Mi-8 could be shot down by a Ukrainian MANPADS but the Su-34 is more likely friendly fire from a Russian air defense system.
Even if it was friendly fire, it doesn’t mean they are incompetent. Friendly fire is too common on the battlefield.
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
AFAIK the Russians did not use cluster munitions in Ukraine. The only cluster munitions I have seen used thus far were by Ukraine. They used Tochka missiles with cluster munitions against the port at Berdyansk after the Russians captured it, in the Kramatorsk train station against their own civilians who were trying to escape the fighting, and against downtown Donetsk. In Kramatorsk, they claimed it was a Russian strike, but there was photographic evidence from the missile wreckage disposition that it came from the Ukrainian side. Plus Russia replaced the Tochka with the Iskander years ago. In Donetsk they claimed the Russians shot themselves. Ukraine have also claimed certain strikes were Iskander strikes, when examination of the wreckage shows they were actually Tochka. And only they use them.

The large damage rounds that Russia has used that I have seen thus far, would have to be thermobarics, or using de-mining rounds against manned trenches and the like. And of course both sides still use regular fragmentation rounds and shrapnel.
 
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Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Here's a sudden revelation. I always wondered where the S-350 Vitayaz has been in this conflict, and the mystery has been answered. They were deployed secretly and has made a number of air kills then. But the most telling revelation is that the Russians are using an 'automatic' mode, meaning no human intervention in the engagement process, relying entirely on AI. (The prospect of friendly fire shootdowns are also suddenly plausible for some cases.). The range of these missiles are up to 120km, and with active guidance systems, puts the missiles roughly equivalent to the Aster 30.


Abandoned damaged BTR-4. High casualties but which is to be expected being constantly in the thick of battle. IMO, this Ukrainian made vehicle is the best IFV with the Ukrainians currently.


A direct artillery hit isn't necessary to destroy a pickup. This is a reason why 'technicals' are a bad idea in a modern conventional war. Here a Ukrainian pickup dropped it's troops, but it was then shelled upon. The shell's AOE was enough to turn the pickup into a raging fire.

 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
Does Russia currently use cluster munitions in Ukraine? I saw some reports from
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(not really trustworthy) claiming it was used in Kharkiv offensive, but
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is not really trustworthy and known to fabricate lies.

Also, if Russia has an overwhelming advantage in firepower and cluster munitions, why can't it use it in greater frequency to quickly win the war? Does it fear international condemnation or conserving it's stockpile in a future hypothetical matchup against NATO?

There hasn't been much evidence of use of cluster munition by Russia. Ukraine on the other hand, has made more extensive use of it from HIMARS and the ones that drop petal anti-personel mines.
 

dxq4412

Junior Member
Registered Member
Does Russia currently use cluster munitions in Ukraine? I saw some reports from
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
(not really trustworthy) claiming it was used in Kharkiv offensive, but
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
is not really trustworthy and known to fabricate lies.

Also, if Russia has an overwhelming advantage in firepower and cluster munitions, why can't it use it in greater frequency to quickly win the war? Does it fear international condemnation or conserving it's stockpile in a future hypothetical matchup against NATO?
Perhaps Russia does not believe that the advanced advantages of certain weapons can guarantee a quick victory in war? I think that apart from the propaganda machine of the west system, no one believes this. Russia’s current goal is not to win the war quickly. Once the window of opportunity has passed, it has passed. History will not give a second chance. Russia’s current goal is to hold on to those four states and kill as many Ukrainian troops as possible.
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
Perhaps Russia does not believe that the advanced advantages of certain weapons can guarantee a quick victory in war? I think that apart from the propaganda machine of the west system, no one believes this. Russia’s current goal is not to win the war quickly. Once the window of opportunity has passed, it has passed. History will not give a second chance. Russia’s current goal is to hold on to those four states and kill as many Ukrainian troops as possible.
The problem is that the cluster munitions will increase casualties. If used improperly, not just to the other side but even your own. Imagine someone deciding to do an artillery barrage to soften up a target before an assault, and some idiot uses cluster munitions on the target, then when your own troops go in, there are unexploded bomblets all over the place. Then there is the fact that Russia is trying to minimize civilian casualties. And having unexploded ordnance all over the place would do precisely that.

Of course the US just wants to maximize Russian casualties, and they could care less about Ukrainian casualties. Only problem is possible PR backlash when the photographs of maimed civilians start showing up on the press. That is one reason why I think they have not done it yet.
 

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
But remember people, Ukraine is fighting alone against the evil Russian bear...

Rybar:

Fw5nwgnXgAEmxf_


- US RQ-4B Global Hawk south of Crimea
- US high-altitude U-2S over Romania and Bulgaria
- RQ-4D Phoenix over the SW part of the Black Sea
- French anti-submarine aircraft Atlantique 2 off the coast of Romania
- UK electronic intelligence RC-135W now flying towards the Black Sea

The accumulation of so many reconnaissance aircraft is not a coincidence. As a rule, such NATO activity is followed by either an attempt at sabotage or strikes against the Crimean peninsula and southern Russian regions.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
AFAIK the Russians did not use cluster munitions in Ukraine. The only cluster munitions I have seen used thus far were by Ukraine. They used Tochka missiles with cluster munitions against the port at Berdyansk after the Russians captured it, in the Kramatorsk train station against their own civilians who were trying to escape the fighting, and against downtown Donetsk. In Kramatorsk, they claimed it was a Russian strike, but there was photographic evidence from the missile wreckage disposition that it came from the Ukrainian side. Plus Russia replaced the Tochka with the Iskander years ago. In Donetsk they claimed the Russians shot themselves. Ukraine have also claimed certain strikes were Iskander strikes, when examination of the wreckage shows they were actually Tochka. And only they use them.

The large damage rounds that Russia has used that I have seen thus far, would have to be thermobarics, or using de-mining rounds against manned trenches and the like. And of course both sides still use regular fragmentation rounds and shrapnel.
Do incendiaries count as cluster ammo in this context? Russia has used them quite extensively thus far. They do cover a large area but leave no lasting danger once the munition burns out, you just lose the soft shelter penetrating capability that cluster bombs would have but having incendiaries land on you will still take you out of the fight.
 

dxq4412

Junior Member
Registered Member
But remember people, Ukraine is fighting alone against the evil Russian bear...

Rybar:

Fw5nwgnXgAEmxf_


- US RQ-4B Global Hawk south of Crimea
- US high-altitude U-2S over Romania and Bulgaria
- RQ-4D Phoenix over the SW part of the Black Sea
- French anti-submarine aircraft Atlantique 2 off the coast of Romania
- UK electronic intelligence RC-135W now flying towards the Black Sea

The accumulation of so many reconnaissance aircraft is not a coincidence. As a rule, such NATO activity is followed by either an attempt at sabotage or strikes against the Crimean peninsula and southern Russian regions.
If NATO really wants to do something big here, then I guess Marshal Kim in Pyongyang may also have a new toy to try.
 

HighGround

Junior Member
Registered Member
I found that publication.
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It's a real eye opener.

Here are a few excerpts:




It's basically confirming what a lot of what the pro-Russian crowd are saying for some time. Because of the overwhelming artillery disparity Ukrainian soldiers are getting serious life threatening injuries. While Russian soldiers are getting minor injuries which can be treated quickly.

They're saying things the western media aren't allowed to say, I bet it gets retracted soon.
Thank you, very valuable information.

The TOS is a horrifying weapon...
 
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