PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

latenlazy

Brigadier
42 Chinese military aircraft were reported around Taiwan, 28 crossing the median line.
15 Navy ship,
16 Coast Guard ships.
View attachment 129976
So it looks like this time they basically hugged the contiguous zone. I guess next time they escalate a response they’re hugging the 12 nm boundary. And if nothing happens there the next time after that it’s just straight up “your waters are actually our waters”.
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member
Honestly, it would have been better if it were just words rather than having any photos and high school level photoshop work
Then where would wanwanese TV get imagery for their shows? You are clearly not the target audience.

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1716485613512.jpeg

Hope the map gets updated later this year :)
 
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Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
7f8d074d-7c23-4048-80ca-121dbb25b01d.jpg
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Taiwan deployed launchers with Hsiung Feng II (HF-2) and Hsiung Feng III (HF-3) anti-ship missiles in response to the PLA Joint Sword 2024 exercise in Kenting National Park in Pingtung County.
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The Taiwanese MoD as part of the Joint Sword 2024A exercise reported that a total of 49 aircraft were observed, of which 35 crossed the so-called “median line” in the Taiwan Strait. By aircraft type, Su-30, J-16 and KJ-500 AWACS were observed.

And this:
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member

Yes, Japan Will Defend Taiwan​

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For Japan, peace in the Taiwan Strait is a matter of national survival. A proper discussion of Japanese intervention should thus ask “how” not “if.”

Japan officially maintains a policy of strategic ambiguity toward the issue of Taiwan’s sovereignty. Taiwan’s security, however, is an unambiguous and essential interest in Tokyo. Should Beijing decide to unify Taiwan by force, Japan’s strategic interest, deep affinity for the Taiwanese, and security alliance with the United States will compel Tokyo to defend its southern neighbor. For Japan, peace in the Taiwan Strait is a matter of national survival.

In 1969, the United States and Japan issued a joint statement
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obligating Tokyo to permit U.S. combat basing in its territory should Taiwan come under threat in exchange for the administrative return of Okinawa. Commonly referred to as the “
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,” this effectively erases the illusion that the Japanese public or pro-Beijing officials have veto power over Tokyo’s decision to participate. The Japanese government undoubtedly understands that reneging on its commitment would mean the disintegration of the Japan-U.S. security alliance upon which so much rests.

Japan will defend Taiwan because doing so is integral to its national security. The proper discussion of Japanese intervention should examine “how” not “if.” Accepting China’s control over Taiwan would effectively mean also accepting Japanese subordination to Beijing. If this prospect does not constitute a threat to Japan’s national existence, then nothing does.

Japan defending Taiwan is what's known as a Win-Win-Win-Win-Win-Win cooperation.

US gets more cannon fodder against China
China gets to settle old debts
Japan gets to overthrow their white masters
Taiwan gets noticed by its senpai
South Korea gets to see Japan take a beating
North Korea gets revenge on Japan

Is there even a loser in this? ;)

Hua Chunying reminded me of another winner

Liuqiu gets independence
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