PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

resistance

Junior Member
Registered Member
Previous post below

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I would add that in the event of a Taiwan blockade, it is not in China's interests to be cruel or vindictive.

1. As per Gaza's deliberate mass starvation, this is acknowledged to be a war crime.
2. On a practical level, mass starvation in Taiwan doesn't look good in the global media
3. You have all sorts of personal ties between China and Taiwan. For example, as far as I'm aware, Xi Jinping's sister still lives in Taiwan
4. Taiwanese are recognised as equal citizens to anyone in China, albeit with some caveats.

In comparison, suppose China was to flood Taiwan with aid ships carrying food to a hungry Taiwan?

1. It looks better in the global media narrative
2. It helps maintain domestic Chinese support for a war
3. This would likely be a propaganda coup in Taiwan. Remember lots of Taiwanese have a really distorted view of China. China's goal is to win "hearts and minds"
I think china do something like Embargoes then license. You can see Cuba as an example. This can be done when china mastered advance node chip same level with Taiwan.
 

CMP

Senior Member
Registered Member
Better hurry tf up then. With each generation born in Taiwan, the pro-reunification sentiments diminish. The wanwans already would rather commit economic suicide than reunify.
View attachment 129918
They should be given every opportunity to commit suicide of any and all types. It would only weaken their own island puppet government's strength and increase the mainland's leverage. At the end of the day, power and leverage shapes everything. Economic suicide only makes a mainland takeover of the island more feasible.
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
Better hurry tf up then. With each generation born in Taiwan, the pro-reunification sentiments diminish. The wanwans already would rather commit economic suicide than reunify.
View attachment 129918

During the riots it was popular for HKers record videos saying they will die for independence on YouTube, actual total number that did so, 0.

A lot easier to die for YouTube than IRL.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Better hurry tf up then. With each generation born in Taiwan, the pro-reunification sentiments diminish. The wanwans already would rather commit economic suicide than reunify.
No need to hurry. Check out this youtuber who is a green frog. He took a few trips to the mainland and started to like mainland. He got cyber bullied for his positive view of mainland after he got back to the island.
As China gets stronger and richer, more frogs like him will see the benefits of returning

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AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
Better hurry tf up then. With each generation born in Taiwan, the pro-reunification sentiments diminish. The wanwans already would rather commit economic suicide than reunify.

China can afford to wait.

From 2030 onwards, I reckon it will be obvious that China can achieve and then maintain air superiority over the skies of Taiwan in the event of a war. That would mean the ability to blockade Taiwan.

At the same time, China will be significantly more developed and prosperous that today, and more attractive.
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member
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Big news, PLA eastern theatre command hosting military exercises around Taiwan on May 23 and May 24 :)

BEIJING (Reuters) - China's military started joint drills surrounding Taiwan early Thursday that are set to last until Friday, just days after new Taiwan President Lai Ching-te took office and called on Beijing to cease its threats.
The Eastern Theatre Command of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) said it had started joint military drills, involving the army, navy, air force and rocket force, in areas around Taiwan at 7:45 a.m. (2345 GMT).
The drills are being conducted in the Taiwan Strait, the north, south and east of Taiwan, as well as areas around the Taiwan-controlled islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu and Dongyin, the command said in a statement.

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This account apparently only post news about trains
 
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vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
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