Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Abominable

Major
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Join the club. I have been complaining about the pathetic military spending for over 5 years already. The CPC upper echelon is half responsible for what's happening now.

If you don't respect yourself enough by having appropriate military spending for your ambitions (which are quite big), then don't expect others to respect you, simple as that.
Increased military spending has consequences. A large portion of the Chinese population are still poor by international standards, devoting more of your budget to the military will mean less schools, hospitals and so on. There's a reason why despite the Russia situation America hasn't increased their military spending much.

Right now the Chinese military is growing faster than any other military on the planet. WW1 and WW2 weren't won by who had the biggest military stockpile at the start of the war, it was won by the ability to innovate and manufacture weapons at a faster rate.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
SCMP introduced another possible scenario:
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Kwei-Bo Huang, professor of diplomacy at National Chengchi University in Taipei, said while it would be unlikely for Pelosi to visit as a private citizen, there was a possibility that she might travel to Taiwan on a transit stop without formally entering the island, staying at the airport for several hours to meet Tsai.
 

ashnole

New Member
Registered Member
because China has already taken most of Ladakh and killed dozens of Indian troops over it, proving it doesn't bluff. No similar recent retaliation has occurred for Taiwan.
They better retaliate to Pelosi then otherwise the message that reaches to everyone is that China can only punish weaker countries like India and America's superiority complex will be massaged in the process & its stature will increase in the eyes of others.
 

Petrolicious88

Senior Member
Registered Member
Join the club. I have been complaining about the pathetic military spending for over 5 years already. The CPC upper echelon is half responsible for what's happening now.

If you don't respect yourself enough by having appropriate military spending for your ambitions (which are quite big), then don't expect others to respect you, simple as that.
Nah. China should focus on its economy and development of its national wellbeing. Do not get sucked into an arms race with the US. Ultimately this conflict will be decided based on economic performance.
 

watdahek

New Member
Registered Member
3. (Mid escalation) - Pelosi lands in Taiwan, ROC planes shot down (USAF planes turned back in time)

This is the one scenario talked about in Guanqi 280, and I think this must be the baseline scenario for China, nothing less is acceptable (best is ofc, forcing Pelosi to divert her plane so she doesn't land in Taiwan).
those people on that show are clowns, stop taking them seriously. What would China do if one of its military planes carrying one or more of its state leaders gets shot down intentionally? China will declare war, or not fly the plane into its death in the first place.
If China wants to go to war, it might as well just "go to war", that is to continue the Chinese Civil War, instead of pretending its act of war is not an act of war. "we shoot your military plane carrying your 3rd in line down on purpose, but we totally did not fire the first shot"

Sushifu has been caught multiply times making up shit, including his credentials, and it has been thoroughly discussed on Zhihu.
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It's fine to watch the show if you like it, but spreading misinformation perpetuated by that show is pretty annoying. It is like seeing people quote minni chan or Gordon Chang.
 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
Just goes to show how stupid it is to have such low military spending. It should be minimum 3%.
Should be 5% and not one less!!
SCMP introduced another possible scenario:
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So the logic is as long as she doesnt step foot outside of the airport hotel she is not considered to have entered Taiwan or China? Thats a weasal way out

If she is allowed to land at any Taiwan airport, especially if escorted by US military jets, and Xi doesnt either shoot her down, and/or go straight to armed reunification and/or bust out the DF41s then he is finished.....
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Can’t help but think this is related to the current circumstance. China is probably not going to restrain North Korea from testing more nukes.

100% likely to be related.

Maybe that's how this will end. America will ask China to stop NK from testing in return for Pelosi cancelling her trip.

I wouldn't take that deal, what North Korea does is its own business.
 
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