The most likely outcome is that will send China nuclear program into overdrive, they will reach parity with the US REALLY soon. China will probably restart the production of mass quantities of nuclear grade Plutonium and Tritium. Will accelerate production of warheads, missile and anti-missile defense. At that point remains to be seen if China will stick to their "non-first use policy", because with all ups and downs there is a certain respect between the US and China but that doesn´t exist between Japan and China, where they have disputes over rocks in the ocean.If there is any indication that Japan is building nukes, what does China do then? At some point the CPC will be faced with the prospect of biting the bullet and doing preemptive action.
So that means that every single Japanese city will be a target of many multiple weapons orders of magnitude bigger than Hiroshima and Nagasaki, not because China wants to do genocide against normal Japanese people is because most of Japan military and industrial power is concentrated around cities and the country is just too density populated more than China is. There isn´t a single place that you could drop a nuclear warhead in Japan without killing a million people. And sadly that include Okinawans due the militarization of the Island.
China are building their nuclear arsenal under the paranoia that US may hit them with nukes, the US is paranoid of China nuclear build up and paranoid of Nuclear Russia. So are France, the UK, Pakistan, India and North Korea. If Japan wants to join the big boy nuke club, is a discussion that they should have with their people. Doesn´t come free.

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