Trump arms Taiwan to block China's potential D-Day-style landing
Weapons shift from F-16 to Javelins, drones and artillery.
WASHINGTON -- Weapons that have proved effective in destroying Russian tanks and command posts in Ukraine form the core of the $11.1 billion arms package the Trump administration approved selling to Taiwan this week.
The deal marks a shift to weapons systems specifically focused on preventing a Chinese landing on the shores of Taiwan and away from the big ticket items like the F-16 fighter jets and warships that Taipei preferred to procure in past years, analysts say.
On Wednesday, the U.S. State Department announced that it had approved eight arms sales agreements to the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States (TECRO), the de facto embassy.
They include 82 high-mobility artillery rocket systems (HIMARS) and 420 Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) worth $4.05 billion; 60 self-propelled howitzers and 60 carrier ammunition tracked vehicles worth $4.03 billion; 1,050 Javelin missiles and related equipment worth $375 million: and 1,545 tube-launched, optically tracked, wire-guided (TOW) missiles worth $353 million. Also on the sales list were Anduril's ALTIUS-700M system loitering munitions, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) that has been described as kamikaze drones, worth $1.1 billion.
"This package is full of weapons that will make a Chinese lodgment on Taiwan difficult to execute and sustain," said retired U.S. Navy Rear Adm. Mark Montgomery, a senior fellow at the Washington think tank Foundation for Defense of Democracies. "The UAVs will assist both in preventing Chinese forces from getting ashore and maneuvering once ashore," he said. The ground systems, both long-range precision-guided missiles such as ATACMS and HIMARS and shorter-range systems like howitzers, Javelin and TOW, "will place Chinese forces at risk."
The more counter-intervention munitions Taiwan can field, the greater the risk they put the Chinese ground forces under, Montgomery continued. Rupert Hammond-Chambers, the president of the U.S.-Taiwan Business Council (USTBC), said the HIMARS and howitzers could play an essential role in destroying ships and landing craft seeking to disembark Chinese forces on Taiwan's shores and any forces that have managed to establish a bridgehead.
"This bundle of notifications -- a record amount notified at one time in U.S. security assistance for Taiwan -- is a response to the threat from China and speaks to the demand from Mr. Trump that partners and allies do more to secure their own defense," he said. "We continue to see the prioritization of platforms and munitions that address a D-Day style attack on the island." Hammond-Chambers noted that none of the new weapons address gray zone, blockade or quarantine domains -- which Taiwan sought to address previously -- but are laser focused on preventing a landing.
A U.S. government source noted that there are two major reasons for Taiwan's shift in priorities. One was the visit to Taiwan of then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in August 2022 and China's missile launches that followed. Second was the success and failures of Ukraine fending off Russia's invasion. Whereas Taiwan previously sought to acquire expensive platforms such as fighters and warships to reassure the Taiwanese public and to send a symbolic message to Beijing, the recent focus is much more pragmatic, the source said. This marks the second arms sales to Taiwan in President Donald Trump's second administration, but at a much larger scale. In November, the sale of spare and repair parts for F-16 fighters, C-130 transport aircraft and Taiwan's indigenous fighter planes worth $330 million was approved.
Jie Gao, a research associate at the Asia Society Policy Institute's Center for China Analysis, noted the timing of the announcement is interesting. The arms sales proposal comes at a time "when U.S.-China trade talks have been moved forward to a more stabilized stage," she said. "Beijing of course will protest, but arms sales wouldn't prompt Beijing to walk away from the trade agreements that the two sides have agreed on."