Ladakh Flash Point
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From the latest available imagery, PLA did move back slightly across its side of the lac. The only step to complete disengagenent there as was seen in gogra would be for both sides to agree to a formal buffer zone. Hence whybthere was earlier optism in Indian media about diswngagement there, as both sides would have to pull back significantly less since PLA was on its side of the LAC. However, I am guessing the talks over specifications about the buffer zone broke down. It is important to consider the point India calls pp15 is closer to tge la c than most patrol points, and is also close to China's access to the Gal wan Valley. So this is overall a sensitive region for China.
Also, for the sake of clarification, there are to Hot Springs in the region. One near the Indian HotSprings Post(called Gogra on GE) and another on the Chinese side of the LAC close to the Kugrang valley. This is the last remaining friction point in the area between Galwan and Pangong Tso. There are currently no standoff points in the other Hot Springs location, between India's hot springs post and the kongka la bulge
Since Gogra (pp17a) was completely disengaged two months ago, the only issue left is completion of disengagement near pp15, though obviously a formal buffer zone was not created after the last round.
Also, for the sake of clarification, there are to Hot Springs in the region. One near the Indian HotSprings Post(called Gogra on GE) and another on the Chinese side of the LAC close to the Kugrang valley. This is the last remaining friction point in the area between Galwan and Pangong Tso. There are currently no standoff points in the other Hot Springs location, between India's hot springs post and the kongka la bulge
Since Gogra (pp17a) was completely disengaged two months ago, the only issue left is completion of disengagement near pp15, though obviously a formal buffer zone was not created after the last round.
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The point of disagreement is India's request for April 2020 status, but China believes that it is the year 2000 status.
India doesn't recognize China's Aksai Chin and South Tibet. So China doesn't recognize India's claims at Ladakh and Arunanchal Pradesh. I call that fair. That so-called China 'Wolf Warrior' diplomacy is pure propaganda BS. What India had done to China is actually far worse than Wolf Warrior diplomacy.
It is as simple as India demanding things without having the leverage to force or push China to change its stance.
The way things are going, India should scale back its demands (and their fake news). The only thing that matters is, leverage.
In military they cant do much. Instead, it is China that is rumping up its military presence and readiness.
Economically, the same. Just see the recent data for trade between China and India.
Diplomatically, the same. India wants to make moves but it is constrained by various factors (besides China).
So, I really dont know where India can find something to increase its leverage. My advice, take the Chinese deal to settle the matter, and in return get some concessions from China.
After all, China also doesn't like to have such tensions on its land border, while facing the US on the other side of the country.
The way things are going, India should scale back its demands (and their fake news). The only thing that matters is, leverage.
In military they cant do much. Instead, it is China that is rumping up its military presence and readiness.
Economically, the same. Just see the recent data for trade between China and India.
Diplomatically, the same. India wants to make moves but it is constrained by various factors (besides China).
So, I really dont know where India can find something to increase its leverage. My advice, take the Chinese deal to settle the matter, and in return get some concessions from China.
After all, China also doesn't like to have such tensions on its land border, while facing the US on the other side of the country.
India certainly can do militarily by increasing its cooperation with AUKUS and give them some Naval bases in Andaman Nicobar.
But then again, I think that'd be quite the deal as it'd mean India is shoving away its great power ideas and sacrificing its territorial integrity. ( Has India ever given bases to USSR? I don't know)
The China threat is a legendary topic for India. It's a mess. Asia is a mess and that is very sad, personally.
MwRYum
Major
So much for "whatever that float your boat", but it's rare to see the said boat made out of wet clay...
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