Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

Status
Not open for further replies.

daifo

Captain
Registered Member
Armed Reunification ... which quite frankly is the only logical outcome of an unresolved civil war. I don't know of an example in world history where an unresolved civil war is resolved via voluntary peaceful annexation. Germany was involuntarily divided and defacto occupied, doesn't count. Taiwan even has the island home advantage, so they will roll the dice on holding out until D-Day at minimum.

China with a double GDP and Hong Kong doing well with the NSL the next decade may convince them for a 1c2s that extends long into the future. I think China failed with HK by not having a NSL and clear red lines written in 1997. I think if something was explicitly provided, one would have a better idea of what the world would be like under the CPC. Convince a country like New Zealand or Canada (via lucrative trade deals or $) to take the ones that do not want to stay.
 

lcloo

Captain
China with a double GDP and Hong Kong doing well with the NSL the next decade may convince them for a 1c2s that last long into the future. I think China failed with HK by not having a NSL and clear red lines written in 1997. I think if something was explicitly provided, one would have a better idea of what the world would be like under the CPC. Convince a country like New Zealand or Canada (via lucrative trade deals or $) to take the ones that do not want to stay.
NSL = National Security Law? I feel so out with all these abbreviation... 1c2s = ??
 

In4ser

Junior Member
I still hope we can convince the Taiwanese people it's in their own interest to have a peaceful reunification. It's been hard due to US/JP/DPP brainwashing but Pelosi's trip made it easier in my opinion. Not valuing your personal safety and using the entire country as a prop for a PR stunt doesn't exactly create reassurance about "US assistance." If anything, American recklessness may actively endanger your own life in Taiwan. If not reunification through a public referendum, then perhaps it may be done bloodlessly by someone within the ROC military.

China should convince the ROC military brass that it cannot win the war and that it would be better for them to capture Tsai Ing-wen similar to the "Xi'an incident" with Chang Kai-Shek. Ideally, it would coincide with a PLA mock invasion exercise, where Taiwan's eyes and ears are focused outwards. Upon securing her, issue a nationwide broadcast about Taiwan's surrender to the PLA.

Then again, perhaps that's what Taiwan has been afraid of and prepared for this. It would explain why Taiwan's military has become so pathetic if its military leadership has been replaced by DPP fanatics and not people with actual competence.
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top