Discussing Biden's Potential China Policy

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9dashline

Senior Member
Registered Member
Internet folks like to chest pound but I would really like the Taiwanese population to be poll what outcome would they want in a conflict with China if it happen next week.
a. 100% there life will change and 100% that they will know someone (or themselves) that would be dead in a conflict w China
b. Rejoin China under a similar deal as HK/Macau. Have 5% of their life change.
Yup... say you get bit by a rabid dog because the dog's owner was criminal trepassing on our territory and then states he merely inadvertantly let the dog off the leash, it wont matter the excuse you will hold both the dog and his owner accountable at that point...

Say TW attack 3GD, in that hypothetical scenario it would be naive to think American cities would be left untouched...
 

Sincho

Junior Member
Registered Member
USA may limit itself to striking Chinese ships and ports only, but the Taiwan - fighting for survival - may decide to focus on striking the Three Gorges Dam and nuclear power plants. In other words, the Taiwanese have every incentive to spoof US forces into dilemmas where they may have to escalate or be killed.
LOL It's not that the Taiwanese have not broached striking the 3-Gorges dam before. China's reply: "Striking the 3-Gorges dam will be considered a nuclear attack and China will reply with nuclear reprisals." That effectively shut-up those Taiwanese voices. That's what I remembered the last time the Taiwanese brought this up many years ago.
 

Jiang ZeminFanboy

Senior Member
Registered Member
LOL It's not that the Taiwanese have not broached striking the 3-Gorges dam before. China's reply: "Striking the 3-Gorges dam will be considered a nuclear attack and China will reply with nuclear reprisals." That effectively shut-up those Taiwanese voices. That's what I remembered the last time the Taiwanese brought this up many years ago.
They don't have anything to even try. Cruise missile is nothing against 3 gorges dam.
 

emblem21

Major
Registered Member
They don't have anything to even try. Cruise missile is nothing against 3 gorges dam.
Yet the consequences is going to be a death sentence for Taiwan that most people in Taiwan would rather surrender to China instead of bearing the consequences for such a dumb move. If the USA tries this move, I am sure that a nuke to Yellow stone could be up for consideration and only if the USA loses all reason and cannot be reasoned with. Crossing red lines with a near equal opponent is never bright and depending on the nation, will simply encourage them to destroy the opponent in the most clever and brutal possible way imaginable and China isn’t new to this sort of thing given there history and experiences in the area (look up three kingdoms for point of reference).
 
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nugroho

Junior Member
The difference is that HK was ALREADY under PRC control. It is useless to fight another opium war . However, Taiwan remains de facto independent and stands a chance of winning should the US intervene. The Taiwan Strait is also another prime playing ground for US submarines (especially if the Y-8Qs could be grounded). Yes China has missiles, but at some point, all the SRBMs, GLCMs, and MRBMs would run out. What is needed is boots on the ground, which would be very hard for China achieve should the US choose to intervene.

For Beijing, why not just spend the next 3-5 years building its ICBM and hypersonic gliders arsenals, as well as vastly expanding the amphibious assault fleet. China has the industrial capacity, but it needs more times to stockpile arms. Also, more airports and helicopter refueling stations are needed.
Taiwan strait is only 200 km, Guided MLRS can do , no need a lot of missile
 

emblem21

Major
Registered Member

Something to note, if this magnesium crisis is as real as it is, I don't have much in terms of words in regards to how screwed the western world is. Its like they keep on pissing of the doctor who has his hands on that person life support. If the EU and the USA could mind its own business in regards to China's red lines and internal business, well they wouldn't have been in this situation to begin with. Maybe this lesson is needed to teach the west to please STFU about human rights and values or prepare to die painfully
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
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That's because the Democrats went 100% along with the Republican's anti-China agenda. Naturally when you support the narrative that China is a grave threat to the US, it's going to be seen just as seriously when the Republicans use it against the Democrats. And remember Cocaine Mitch... It's pathetic how much the Democrats are ineffective in using Republican hypocrisy against them.
 
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