Chinese semiconductor thread II

Hyper

Junior Member
Registered Member
Is a pilot line, they need yields to develop the lithography machine. They are pattern wafers, etch, all the whole thing til have working devices to know what they are going to improve, at least a single pattern process. The same cycle as immersion lithography.
Is it the leading one or is any other project further ahead??
 

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Is it the leading one or is any other project further ahead??
Difficult to know. But these more modern EUV pilots lines date back to 2022 in some documents or earlier. Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen with Huawei. Also is highly probably that the hardware is shared between them like for example U-Precision Maglev wafer stages, EUV optical systems, anti-Vibration systems, vacuum systems and so on.
 

Michael90

Senior Member
Registered Member
Reading the crap that Reuters wrote is giving me J-20 vibes in 2011, when every single "Aviation Expert" was saying that China would test their first stealth aircraft in 2030 and when China tested their J-20 almost 20 years earlier they switched to drink the "China Espionage" copium medicine in large quantities.

Even thought if you go to the research literature you could find China was making advances in stealth since the mid 90s.
Well you can't blame western experts, officials and intellectuals . Many dont really know what's happening on the ground in China as much as one might expect also because of the language barrier. Not many people will go into looking at every detail Chinese local news/media to find detailed information about china's tech projects every day. The language alone is a big impediment for them but a boon for China, since China can have more knowledge of what is happening in the West than vice versa. English being the worlds language helps in this regard.
 

playmaker1478

Just Hatched
Registered Member
How do you know they have yet to produced a working chip, if things happen behind the scenes?
From following the forums, I haven't seen any rumors of a working EUV chip from China yet. I'd love to be wrong, but we should be cautiously optimistic to avoid false expectations. We'll probably hear more about it by 2026-2027; that's my hope, anyway.
 

iewgnem

Captain
Registered Member
From following the forums, I haven't seen any rumors of a working EUV chip from China yet. I'd love to be wrong, but we should be cautiously optimistic to avoid false expectations. We'll probably hear more about it by 2026-2027; that's my hope, anyway.
Look at the date, and notice we're 12 month from "start of 2025" in the Reuters article while only 2 weeks from 2026.
 

Blitzo

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
The quality of the reporting does not suggest that they have any special secret access. They’re basically publishing tabloid style gossip from 3rd hand sources. Someone else’s speculation being presented as verified facts because a reporter calls he said she said “confirmed sources”.

It's impressive how these articles on topics/technologies/systems like this follow the stages of grief.

Denial - "it's not real, it can never be achieved"
Anger - "how dare they think they can even try to make an attempt? They'll just fail anyway"
Bargaining - "if they have a product, they are bottlenecked by using foreign technologies or subsystems, or it is reverse-engineered, or the domestic systems they have will never be ready or will always be inherently inferior for some reason" (this phase tends to be the longest and most drawn out, and we are at the early stage of bargaining for EUV, partly dependent on the limited competence/literacy of foreign awareness of actual PRC EUV efforts)
Depression - "it wasn't that important anyway"
Acceptance - to be honest I don't think I've seen this stage be reached yet for any type of technology/system capability
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
It's impressive how these articles on topics/technologies/systems like this follow the stages of grief.

Denial - "it's not real, it can never be achieved"
Anger - "how dare they think they can even try to make an attempt? They'll just fail anyway"
Bargaining - "if they have a product, they are bottlenecked by using foreign technologies or subsystems, or it is reverse-engineered, or the domestic systems they have will never be ready or will always be inherently inferior for some reason" (this phase tends to be the longest and most drawn out, and we are at the early stage of bargaining for EUV, partly dependent on the limited competence/literacy of foreign awareness of actual PRC EUV efforts)
Depression - "it wasn't that important anyway"
Acceptance - to be honest I don't think I've seen this stage be reached yet for any type of technology/system capability
I suspect we are going to suffer a relentless onslaught of "it's an inferior garbage copycat" narratives for a decade minimum once adoption happens.
 
Top