I'm personally interested in the feasibility of a blockade on Taiwan. Seems like the less risky yet more elegant approach. Does this forum have any good discussions on that?
Western MSM and analyst like whipped up the invincibility of Taiwan armed forces I said many time they are have issue being army consists mostly of draftee and moral is low. Here is interesting peek into Taiwan armed forces preparedness
I don't remember if we ever have a thread dedicated to Taiwan blockade. CMF and CDF used to have in depth discussion with ex-military professionals regarding blockade and the feasibility of long term blockade. Doubtful that those threads are still existed. You can take a look at the thread below as in the early day of SDF there are more discussion of this kind of topics.
Blockade is declaration of war. You do it only if war is certain. Even at the height of Cuban missile crisis, which put nukes in Cuba ready to strike US, Kennedy did not even dare to mention that the US naval flotilla around Cuba is a blockade but a "quarantine".
I’m not sure why people consider blockade an actual option, blockade is unlikely to force Taiwan to reunify and it’ll simply give time for the Americans and its allies time to discuss and prepare a military response/confrontation while the Taiwanese churn out a river of sob stories. China is simply not a stage of naval build up where its navy alone could deter intervention.
The “Six Assurances” have been a foundational element in U.S. policy towards Taiwan and the PRC.
I don't believe there have ever been any real intentions or expectations of peaceful reunification with Taiwan on PRC's side. The CCP is ultimately a war time government/party, it would be suicide if it allows a government ran by parties that has literally put anti-communism on their party doctrine, to become a part of the same country. If the CCP has any foresight what-so-ever, it will understand that peaceful reunification will be poison to the entirety of China, it will destroy China from within.Every passing year, there is lesser hope for a peaceful unification. There is no coming back. If a forceful unification happens, it is very unlikely they will get a hong kong style government. Taiwan administration is just making more justification to retake the island. We just hope there is still chance of peace.