2014 Ukrainian Maidan Revolt: News, Views, Photos & Videos

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Mr T

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Exactly. That's what the journalist reported. But people interviewed wondered why the occupation of the square still continues. The occupiers must be paid to stay there.

You can't have it both ways. You can't claim that Ukrainian politicians are all the same and then in the same heart-beat claim that the pro-democracy protesters are all bought. If Ukrainian politicians really are all the same, it suggests that the protesters are there because they want to see some change.

What kind of "free and fair" election is it when people vote for the least objectionable candidate

One could say that's the situation in countries like the Netherlands. But somehow I doubt you would be happy if pro-Germans living near the border took up arms in protest at a lack of "real choice" and called for Angel Merkel to save them from "fascists" in the Hague.

if they vote at all?

Turnout in the last two Ukrainian presidential elections was not bad by any means, and I have a feeling that it will be high this time around. The only issue are the rebel leaders who are deliberately planning to stop people participating.
 

SampanViking

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SampanViking, you believe what you will but gazeta.ru quotes its Ukrainian correspondent who quotes Separatists informing about killing 30 members of Ukrainian Mililtary, injuring 35:
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I only checked the place:
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seems to be the same in both reports (I believe neither of them LOL)

Nothing to do with belief Jura, its to do with looking at the evidence and seeing what makes sense and what sounds like total rubbish.

When the story first broke, I assumed that the Donbass Militia had scored their biggest military success to date and was surprised to see that the Russian media was totally silent on the matter as opposed to headlining with "Federalist Militia destroy Fascist Armoured Column near Donetsk" or similar etc etc.

Not only was the Russian media quiet for a long time, but the Donbass leaders actively denied anything to do with it. Why would they deny the biggest military blow against their enemies to date? It made no sense.
Then we have the BBC no less, quoting a Ukrainian Officer saying; after visiting the wounded, that the local militia had nothing to do with it and blaming professional mercenaries.

I am aware that the local boys of Horlivka are claiming responsibility, but is that credible as they are a local militia and certainly not a professional outfit. I saw the weapon haul they showed but to be honest it was nothing special and probably nothing more than could be bought from the Army closer by (and it seems very likely that a lot of that has been happening).

We then have the footage of the Hinds doing some major damage to something on the ground, so who were they attacking, The rebels? Nobody has mentioned any rebel casualties and if any group had been caught in the attack we witnessed, casualties would have been excessive and the only excessive casualties have been among the Ukrainian Army.

The rebels do not fly helicopters and there are no Russian Army forces in Ukraine, so that only leaves the Ukrainian State and we know that the National Guard has plenty of Hinds.

RT singles out Igor Kolomoisky, the Billionaire Oligarch, Bank roller of the National Guard, Governor of Dnipropetrovsk amd owner of Ukraines Privat Bank. The reported arrival of the "Mercenaries" in Bank Armoured Cars is then a significant factor.

So why would they do this? It is I think very clear that the vast majority of Ukrainian Regular Servicemen have no desire or intention to start fighting their countrymen, no matter how estranged they are becoming. Instead they seem happy to deploy to check points away from the towns and just sit there, whilst of course making some money on the side selling weapons and ammunition.

So why would the National Guard attack Regulars in this way?
I can think of four none mutually exclusive reasons why.

1) Punishment and warning for refusing to engage the enemy and maybe excessive weapons dealings (maybe the reason why the casualties were so high was because they had sold their guns and ammo?)

2) That many regulars in the field are become more than passive refuseniks and profiteers but actually near or technical defectors to the Pro Russian side?

3) As the Russian Media says, Kiev is keen to have some provocations to pin on the Rebels in the run up to the Presidential Poll. I note that despite the fairly balanced Net reporting by the BBC, that none of this made it to the TV bulletins, where it was simply presented as a rebel assault

4) Perhaps the most worrying option, that another Oligarch is setting themselves up as a Feudal Baron and setting up a private army.

Maybe somebody else has a better explanation?
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
Turnout in the last two Ukrainian presidential elections was not bad by any means, and I have a feeling that it will be high this time around. The only issue are the rebel leaders who are deliberately planning to stop people participating.

That's what I was wondering about too, especially in the Donesk region. They couldn't pay me enough to be the ballot box carrier AFTER the polls are close during the election. Don't want to be "accidentally" fired upon or some other mishaps victim with a tempered with or missing ballot box.

Of course unless they add a beautiful Ukrainian lady as part of the bargain...than...MAYBE I do it.:eek:
image.axd
 
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Nothing to do with belief Jura, its to do with looking at the evidence and seeing what makes sense and what sounds like total rubbish.

...

SampanViking, if you were not one of the SDF Moderators, I'd let it be. But now let me make two points:

1. I just went through gazeta.ru and found stuff like

Ukrainian Army Shot 30 Its Fellow Soldiers After They Had Surrendered to Separatists
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[doesn't concern Volnovahka, says this happened in Rubyezhnoe]

Injured [Patients] Shot by Ukrainian Army in Privolye Hospital
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Four Peaceful Citizens Shot by Ukrainian National Guard in Rubyezhnoe
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(the headlines are loosely translated by me; even if you don't know the Russian language, you can check those stories are very recent; of course, I wouldn't posted those ... links ... if it was not for the purpose of this argument)

As I posted http://www.sinodefenceforum.com/mem...s-views-photos-videos-98-6796.html#post283020 no such a story is presented at gazeta.ru for the alleged Ukrainian-on-Ukrainian attack you portrayed. Thus, your story appear to be even wilder than some average Russian propaganda!

2. I don't know, of course, what happened around Volnovakha, Ukraine some 30 hours ago. But what about you, in addition to the RT link you provided, how can you corroborate your version of events?
 

SampanViking

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SampanViking, if you were not one of the SDF Moderators, I'd let it be. But now let me make two points:

1. I just went through gazeta.ru and found stuff like

Ukrainian Army Shot 30 Its Fellow Soldiers After They Had Surrendered to Separatists
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[doesn't concern Volnovahka, says this happened in Rubyezhnoe]

Injured [Patients] Shot by Ukrainian Army in Privolye Hospital
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Four Peaceful Citizens Shot by Ukrainian National Guard in Rubyezhnoe
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(the headlines are loosely translated by me; even if you don't know the Russian language, you can check those stories are very recent; of course, I wouldn't posted those ... links ... if it was not for the purpose of this argument)

As I posted http://www.sinodefenceforum.com/mem...s-views-photos-videos-98-6796.html#post283020 no such a story is presented at gazeta.ru for the alleged Ukrainian-on-Ukrainian attack you portrayed. Thus, your story appear to be even wilder than some average Russian propaganda!

2. I don't know, of course, what happened around Volnovakha, Ukraine some 30 hours ago. But what about you, in addition to the RT link you provided, how can you corroborate your version of events?

Jura there have been loads of headlines from many media during this crisis the vast majority of which I have taken with a pinch of salt. Obviously I have to restrict to English language sites, but in a major crisis like The Ukraine it makes little difference given the universal coverage worldwide.

Three questions for you.

1) If it was the Donbass militia that carried out a very successful attack, why did they not take the credit and give the whole movement a much needed morale boost?

2) Have you watched the 6 minute video of the attacking Hinds and can you explain what they are attacking?

3) Who or what do you think the Ukrainian Major who spoke to the BBC was referring too when he blamed professional mercenaries?

In addition, what exactly does my management status have to do with anything? My post was made as an ordinary member and without any ref to site moderation?
 
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I am aware that the local boys of Horlivka are claiming responsibility, but is that credible as they are a local militia and certainly not a professional outfit. I saw the weapon haul they showed but to be honest it was nothing special and probably nothing more than could be bought from the Army closer by (and it seems very likely that a lot of that has been happening).

...

RT singles out Igor Kolomoisky, the Billionaire Oligarch, Bank roller of the National Guard, Governor of Dnipropetrovsk amd owner of Ukraines Privat Bank. The reported arrival of the "Mercenaries" in Bank Armoured Cars is then a significant factor.

...

SampanViking, I think you're "flexible" about downplaing/ignoring what's not convenient for you, stressing what is. But it's fine with me :) Just want to say here that it'd have been easy for me to spin your version by showing the confession of an individual called The Demon (Militiaman from Horlivka), it's here:
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from 01:00, and by saying PrivatBank vans had been used to frame "Mercenaries" you mentioned; but I'm not going to spin anything. Instead, I went to the pub earlier today and did some Internet search (see my following post).
 
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Three questions for you.

1) If it was the Donbass militia that carried out a very successful attack, why did they not take the credit and give the whole movement a much needed morale boost?

I sure can't talk for Separatists :) However, I search the Internet for a) "the most pro-Separatist" and b) "the most pro-Ukranian" versions.

As for a) Mr. Rudenko, the leader of
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says here:
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in a rather confusing statement that Ukrainian National Guard, Right
Sector and what he calls "Kolomoisky's battalions - punishers" did it.

As for b) here:
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is described the boasting of The Demon, a member of the group lead by "Strelkov"
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2) Have you watched the 6 minute video of the attacking Hinds and can you explain what they are attacking?

Yes, I have, and that's the difficult part for me. After a long time, I followed the discussions under the corresponding report on some Ukrainian server (I generally don't follow discussions on Central European servers, not to say about Ukrainians -- too much noise), and "a reasonable" explanation I found (which won't be reasonable to you LOL) was that
the footage shows a botched "fire-support mission", as the PrivatBank vans had been reported missing (this appears to be true -- I could provide a Ukrainian link which you wouldn't believe anyway) and the helipocters crews, which had been alarmed, tried desperately to help (instead, it seems they set off one of the armored vehicles). I know, this requires a willing suspension of disbelief.

3) Who or what do you think the Ukrainian Major who spoke to the BBC was referring too when he blamed professional mercenaries?

Which video do you mean, exactly? Just send me a link (none is given in yours nor mine posts), I'll respond, don't you worry.

In addition, what exactly does my management status have to do with anything? My post was made as an ordinary member and without any ref to site moderation?

no problem, then
 
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SampanViking

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Well lets start with the sceptical Ukrainian officers - there is a Major and a General both ref by the BBC

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The interview with the General is also on its own video page

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The BBC is itself being unusually coy about its coverage

It is unclear who attacked the checkpoint, with one Ukrainian officer telling the BBC it was not separatists.

Further on it quotes the Major

The defence ministry blamed the latest attack on "terrorists" - the term commonly used by Ukrainian officials for armed pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk and the neighbouring Luhansk region.
Rebel claim

Speaking on condition of anonymity, an army major who spoke to the survivors of the attack told our correspondent he was sure that the attackers were not Donetsk separatists but "mercenaries".

Donetsk rebel leader Pavel Gubarev went on Facebook to deny that separatist forces had attacked the soldiers.

The reasons I do not find the Horlivka claim of responsibility credible are two fold.
1) Geography - look at the map, Horlivka is too far away and the other side on Donetsk, why would those boys come this far to find a presumably random target (nobody has indicated anything special about this Army Check Point or anything different to the many others that are closer to the town.

2) The Horlivka brigade is just another local militia, nobody has described them as well equipped mercenaries. How then could two senior Ukrainian officers be either so wrong or wish to protect the opposition militia that had just massacred his men?

It does not make sense.

I also invite you to look at the context of the rebellion.
Here are some links from the news today
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In both of these different reports of different clashes, one common theme keeps repeating - that the protagonist are the Pro Russian militia and the Ukrainian Self Defence Militia. This is not a new development and I invite you to review all the clashes of the last few weeks and you will find that the Ukrainian side is almost exclusively from the Self Defence Force and not the National Army. The role of the army in actual conflict is minimal to say the least.

The National Army seems to be a passive actor, unwilling maybe to participate in a civil conflict against its own people or simply sitting on the fence to see how things play out. In addition there have been active defections to the rebels, while their are plenty of reports of weapons being sold to the Russians.

In general, relations between the Regular Army and the Rebels have been between cordial to the outright sympathetic.
An attack by the rebels against them just for no good reason seems highly unlikely, which is why the main rebel leaders and senior Army officers deny it.

This just leavers the secondary notion of professional well equipped mercenaries attacking on behalf of Russian forces.
Again, two areas where this just sounds so unlikely.
1) Mercenaries; certainly professional and well equipped ones, are expensive. If I were a Donbass militia leader and had sufficient money to hire them, I would actually prefer to spend that money on decent and heavier weapons for my own fighters, especially given that a high proportion of them have come over from the Ukrainian Army and Police or served in their younger days.

2) If attacking a target which in all probability was none hostile was not stupid enough, using a large amount of scarce capital to hire expensive mercenaries to attack it on my behalf is drooling imbecility, especially as the operation produced no tangible tactical; let alone strategic benefit, and the Army were back in control of the Check Point in little more than a few minutes.
Such an operation may possibly have made sense if a genuinely strategic facility had been taken and occupied (such as a Air Defence Base or TV Station) but clearly this was no such operation.

What then was the point of it?

SO in summary, the largest loss of life in action, in a single action, is the Regular Army who has played the least active part in the proceedings to date
The Rebel leadership deny any involvement
Senior Ukrainian Officers deny rebel involvement
There was nothing special about he checkpoint
There was no change in local control after the incident.

The only thing that really makes sense to me, is a Political militia from the pro coup side, that have come to regard large parts of the Regular Armed forces as so soft in their loyalty, that they see them as becoming indistinguishable from the rebels themselves.
 

SampanViking

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From RT this morning

Includes 5 min video from Ukrainian soldiers on the ground being attacked by the helicopters
Input from native Russian/Ukrainian speakers appreciated.

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Direct You Tube link to the video

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Well lets start with the sceptical Ukrainian officers - there is a Major and a General both ref by the BBC

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The interview with the General is also on its own video page

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...

SampanViking, to respond to the third question you asked me in http://www.sinodefenceforum.com/mem...s-views-photos-videos-98-6796.html#post283071: I can only react to the first video (the second tells me "Movie not loaded"): at around 01:15, an anonymous Officer refers to Mercenaries (I tried to listen to his voice, but it's hidden in the BBC soundtrack, so that's the only Ukrainian word I understood) as he seems to suggest that's why this Ukrainian Army unit was annihilated BUT the commander(s) of this unit made obvious mistakes; now I'll basically repeat what some journalist covering military issues said here:
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1. In the area full of Illegal Combatants (I guess this is the official now for Guerrillas, Partisans, Banditen, ...), a much bigger convoy should've been moved and covered from air.

2. Since 1. didn't happen, the unit should've returned to a Military Base to spend the night there.

3. Since 2. didn't happen either, before a night in the open the unit should've set up the perimeter (it differs between Armies, I guess, but any Officer should know the procedure from Cadet School!) but instead, they stayed by the road!

My point is the Officer from that video is probably responsible for the slovenliness I described above. No wonder he didn't show his face.

You may play the video in the link I gave above. As far as I understand, it was taken on May 21, the day the unit arrived to the location I estimated to be:
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The video might've been taken by a curious local citizen ... and later seen by somebody who tipped the killers ... anyway, it's probably the last video showing those poor soldiers alive.

P.S. I'm not arguing with you. I have no idea who did it.
 
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