Five images of 055 for 5/5/2022.
USN 2025 projected
PLAN 2025 projected [70-78]
- 77-79 x Burke class
* More Type-052D will be built possibly with some upgrades. The numbers range from 12-20 ships. I think it will be 20. But if it gets capped to 12 then it could be due to Type-052D replacement getting close to being built, a mid-size Type-05X DDG.
- 16 x Type-055
- 37-45 x Type-052D*
- 6 x Type-052C
- 2 X Type-052B
- 2 x Type-052**
- 2 x Type-051C
- 1 x Type-051B
- 4 x Sovremenny-class
** Might be transferred to the cost guard.
Yeah you are right. Commissioned and in service, those projections don't match.There won't be 37-45 052Ds in service by 2025, and there won't be 16 055s in service by 2025 either.
It's already mid 2022.
DL's restart of 052D production isn't likely going to be launched until the second half of the year at the earliest (2 hulls initially), and will likely take at least one year after launch to trial and commission -- so let's say two 052Ds commissioned around late 2023 and early 2024 respectively. That will give them about two years to commission another 10-18 052Ds to meet the "37-45" count. Impossible, even for Chinese shipbuilding, unless they literally recruit another two shipyards to do 052D production.
JN's restart of 055 production likely isn't going to launch additional 055s until next year at the earliest (given we haven't visually confirmed modules yet). They're not going to be able to launch and commission another 8 055s between now and the end of 2025, unless they also recruit another one or two shipyards to do 055 production.
In short, that user is being way over optimistic.
The numbers he describes may emerge by 2027 however, depending on the actual pace of 055 and 052D production.
But at present, 055 and 052D production is only starting to spool back up and will take a couple of years to kick in. And this obviously depends on how many of each the PLAN actually orders.