00X/004 future nuclear CATOBAR carrier thread

[Syrida2887]

It should be a local photo taken this morning. It seems that the construction is going on all day before the CNY to speed up the progress (pay attention to the position of the gantry crane, which may indicate that the last module at the tail is being hoisted)

 

[TK3600]

A few months ago I think most people had reasonably come around to the idea that it was likely a carrier, especially once the nuclear reactor housing became visible in November.

However, there is a difference between accepting something is likely a carrier versus having more definitive evidence -- the latter is what is important because if one wants to be able to convince someone who is not in the know or someone who is skeptical, evidence that is undeniable is the threshold to end a debate.

It was pretty clear in hindsight. It cannot be civilian ship due to the construction speed. It has to be a massive military ship. And it is nothing like any other ships like 076 but bear strong resemblence to a preceding carrier. The reactor housing was seen long ago, just in couple month earlier. A large novel nuclear warship with strong resemblance of a carrier is pretty clear what it should be.

 

[Blitzo]

It was pretty clear in hindsight. It cannot be civilian ship due to the construction speed. It has to be a massive military ship. And it is nothing like any other ships like 076 but bear strong resemblence to a preceding carrier. The reactor housing was seen long ago, just in couple month earlier. A large novel nuclear warship with strong resemblance of a carrier is pretty clear what it should be.

Of course it was pretty clear in hindsight -- it's been consensus here for over six months now that it was very likely to be a carrier.
However, being "very likely to be a carrier" is not the same as "irrefutable to be a carrier".


On SDF most people here agreed with the former, but the latter is something that has only been more definitively able to be confirmed in the last 2-3 months.


At the end of the day we need to be less arrogant and recognize that there is a difference between what we as PLA watchers accept as "likely" and what people outside of PLA watching communities will accept as "irrefutable evidence".
It's important to recognize there are different standards for different communities, and don't mistakenly conflate the two different standards.