So far the response was way better than the childish shit like "shoot down Pelosi" that was suggested there.
Although I was not part of this team from the beginning, I advocated for China to carry out mass exercises, which is happening, but I did not imagine it would get to this point.
However, I know this is having a negative consequence that Pelosi may indeed have changed the status quo, in fact, I disagree, it has already changed to both sides of the strait. Now we have two countries that have already said they would send delegations to Taiwan, England and Lithuania and a third that also has to be taken seriously, although the posture has been cautious, Germany (Taiwan's representative in Germany invited the visit of a delegation of the Bundestag). This set a dangerous precedent.
For those who think AR is achievable, I'm sorry to have to profoundly disagree, this is pure illusion. Recent events only prove this reality, moreover, while China had the KMT as a force to maintain the status quo on the island, Beijing did NOTHING to change this in a discreet way, trusting that the KMT would always remain in power in Taiwan. and time would do the work to have an achievable PR, another illusion. If the CCP is still convinced that AR is achievable, they are just as deluded as those outside China's decision-making, which includes SDF members.
Can AR be achievable if China changes its stance? I'm sure it does, but it would have to dramatically change both its foreign policy and its military thinking. I don't see this happening in the next 5 years. Recent events prove that this may be changing, China kicked the bucket and still hoped that it could maintain a cordial relationship with the US, this is clear that would not be possible, it will not yet be an open confrontation on China's part, but it is getting almost to that point, a point that Russia reached on the 24th of February and inevitably China will have to reach it, whether it's 1 year from now or 20 years from now.
China could take advantage of the recent situation and continue in the same way (exercises staging the invasion of Taiwan) until it convinces itself that peaceful reunification is an illusion or actually escalates to have the same stance as the Russians whenever that occurs, whether it's US or any other country. I prefer to wait until these exercises are over, I just don't know how the Lithuanian delegation will arrive from Sunday in Taiwan since it is partially closed, both air and maritime space and this will extend until the 15th of August, some already say that this could trigger a profound shake-up in the global chip market.
