The situation with Japan is interesting because on the one hand there is a strong opposition to war among the Japanese people (and those who monger it) but on the other hand there is a general aversion towards China among the people as well. When I say "people" I am excluding young people (like mid-20s and earlier). In my experience they seem to generally not care about politics.
I don't think this is possible because it would be difficult to influence the Japanese political scene without being noticed, and in the event the operation is discovered it will result in another Red Purge. There is already some sentiment among the Japanese "people" that those who favor relations with China are "traitors" or even Chinese agents. Even the Japanese Communist Party has joined in on the "anti-China train" (albeit sans the military policies), and have specifically stated "they can not afford to be grouped with the CPC [to maintain political viability]".
If China was going to do something, they need to get influence in the media. It is currently dominated by anti-China headlines, and the only reason there is some support for things like expansion of the JSDF and even defending Taiwan is because of a perceived threat from China (which obviously does not actually exist). If the threat can be disproven, there will be no reason to antagonize China or side with the US. And those who do such things (the current ruling class) will be out of power, or will have to adapt to what the people want (friendly relations with China) to remain in power.
In the long term, I think the best thing to do would be to wait. The "people" I refer to (everybody minus young people), which could be described as those generally responsible for running and maintaining the nation, were all raised before the internet and thus subject to nationalist propaganda created by ex-members of the Imperial government in WWII and their families. That propaganda is still there but insistence on "globalization" and other such topics of liberal education (which curiously probably originated from around the time when relations were normalized with China), combined with the influence of the internet, have severely weakened it among youth.
Eventually "the people" (when the current generation of young people run the country) will not put up with nationalist's garbage (hopefully). Especially if Japan was to be drawn into conflict with China by the US, the public support for the current ruling class would completely collapse. I don't think there will be (or at least hope there will not be) actual popular support for nationalist policies in the long term, even if the nationalist "internet army" (which launches vicious attacks on anyone criticizing Japan, the Olympic tennis player Osaka Naomi was a victim of this) likes to describe Japan as a land of die-hard conservatives.
I'm thinking more of a ''long march through the institutions'', not a straight up coup.
I don't think this is possible because it would be difficult to influence the Japanese political scene without being noticed, and in the event the operation is discovered it will result in another Red Purge. There is already some sentiment among the Japanese "people" that those who favor relations with China are "traitors" or even Chinese agents. Even the Japanese Communist Party has joined in on the "anti-China train" (albeit sans the military policies), and have specifically stated "they can not afford to be grouped with the CPC [to maintain political viability]".
If China was going to do something, they need to get influence in the media. It is currently dominated by anti-China headlines, and the only reason there is some support for things like expansion of the JSDF and even defending Taiwan is because of a perceived threat from China (which obviously does not actually exist). If the threat can be disproven, there will be no reason to antagonize China or side with the US. And those who do such things (the current ruling class) will be out of power, or will have to adapt to what the people want (friendly relations with China) to remain in power.
In the long term, I think the best thing to do would be to wait. The "people" I refer to (everybody minus young people), which could be described as those generally responsible for running and maintaining the nation, were all raised before the internet and thus subject to nationalist propaganda created by ex-members of the Imperial government in WWII and their families. That propaganda is still there but insistence on "globalization" and other such topics of liberal education (which curiously probably originated from around the time when relations were normalized with China), combined with the influence of the internet, have severely weakened it among youth.
Eventually "the people" (when the current generation of young people run the country) will not put up with nationalist's garbage (hopefully). Especially if Japan was to be drawn into conflict with China by the US, the public support for the current ruling class would completely collapse. I don't think there will be (or at least hope there will not be) actual popular support for nationalist policies in the long term, even if the nationalist "internet army" (which launches vicious attacks on anyone criticizing Japan, the Olympic tennis player Osaka Naomi was a victim of this) likes to describe Japan as a land of die-hard conservatives.