HM Govt is saying it anticipates about 300,000 will take up the offer over the next 5 years. I suspect only a very small fraction of that will do so. Given the Covid infection levels, the endless seeming lockdown and what will undoubtedly be one of the most vicious recessions in history to follow, I think very few will make UK any sort of destination of choice.
How many you suspect will come is not the point, my Sampan friend.
The British Government are playing 'Realpolitik' as Kissinger once said.
Because in their public announcements they keep mentioning over 2 millions are eligible. So that's for show. So this makes them look good in the eyes of the world, and their own domestic audiences, because it shows Britain cares more about 'democracy and freedom'.
Because if they were genuiningly believed that these people were British nationals, then they should have gave them all full Britush passport from the 1st July 1997 or sooner. Even under the colonial days, we, the Hong Kongers were never recognised as a full British national. So all the sudden British has grown a conscience?
In reality they, like you, suspect not more than 300,000 will want to take up this 'generous' offer of second class citizenship. Because you know as well as I do living in the U.K. the xenophobic sides of the Tory party plus all the other nationalist party ain't going to wear it. Look at what happened last time when less than 28,000 Indians arrived at the door step. Any large influx of immigration, and you will have the 'rivers of blood' on your hands.
And let's see the other side of the coin. Which no one seem to have picked up on. The British Government keep mentioning with their new found conscience how generous they are by offering up to 2 million Hong Kongers a chance of a better life, under freedom and democracy, and away from tyranny and authoritarianism.
Yet conviently brush aside that this generous and tempting offer, only leads to SMALL take up! And for every take up, the BBC, British government mouthpiece, will go a full article on it.
But what's happened to all those people desperate to escape a lifetime of 1984 style tyranny and misery? Why didn't take up the offer? Is it because it's not the shiny beacon of light they portrait it to be? Don't hold your breath waiting for the 'impartial' BBC to do an article on that anytime.