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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
well what's happened was

"Chinese Deputy Foreign Minister Zheng Zeguang summoned Ambassador Terry Branstad to lodge “stern representations”, the foreign ministry said."
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which is unrelated to a hypothetical situation you mentioned, but since you did ...


from what I figured, there're multiple reasons for "recalling an ambassador" for example:
  1. s/he would be sent to be an ambassador elsewhere, or was simply fired LOL
  2. given him/her some specific instructions
  3. (the reason you probably meant) when s/he "is not expected to return" (the embassy is going to be closed etc.)
  4. just to make a political statement
Recalling an ambassador in common diplomatic sense is an act of temporarily "downgrade" the diplomatic relationship which is to make a political statement (point 4). All other points are normal acts not being regarded to have any special meaning.

That "downgrade" is not official true downgrade, but rather symbolic, therefor the "statement of displeasure".

Although in this case, it won't happen, but in diplomatic terms, Iron Man is right that "recalling ambassador" is a serious act.
 
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
The admiral has been recalled but the Chinese ambassador to the US has most definitely NOT been recalled. Recalling an ambassador is usually one of the final steps prior to military hostilities.

A "recalling ambassador" is a very serious act, but is not the final step. After "recalling ambassador", the step is to "downgrade the diplomatic relationship to level of chargé d'affaires ad interim". Recalling ambassador only means that the ambassador is personally not at his post, but relationship is still on the highest level.

Example is downgrading of the relationship to chargé d'affaires ad interim before the Sino-Vietnamese war in 1980s.
 

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
A "recalling ambassador" is a very serious act, but is not the final step. After "recalling ambassador", the step is to "downgrade the diplomatic relationship to level of chargé d'affaires ad interim". Recalling ambassador only means that the ambassador is personally not at his post, but relationship is still on the highest level.

Example is downgrading of the relationship to chargé d'affaires ad interim before the Sino-Vietnamese war in 1980s.
I know, that is why I said one of the final. It is certainly the case that recalling an ambassador is right near the end of the escalatory cascade of responses to diplomatic crises. In the current case of US vs China, neither country is anywhere near this upset.
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
The USA seems to think they can repeat their playbook against Japan in the 1980s. They forced Japan to open its market to more products and business activities; also to increase the value of the yen. This led to a decrease in the growth rate of Japan, in their opinion, but in my opinion because Japan had already reached USA levels of GDP per person their economy basically peaked and those changes made little to no difference. As for the industries the USA sought to protect against Japan, most of them ended up leaving the USA regardless. They just went to other countries in Asia. One example would be the DRAM business. I doubt it will happen with this China though. They are far from reaching those levels of GDP per capita and there is a lot of infrastructure yet to build in China. Hydropower plants, canal and waterworks projects to increase their agricultural land area, cleaner energy, and cleaner water, etc. The switch from coal to natural gas power on the cities will be part of this initiative. China, in my opinion, could be still spending money on infrastructure for another decade at least. Look at what happened in 2007-2008. A lot of people claimed Chinese construction investment would stop, because they had built a lot of houses and highways, but they just invested more on high-speed-rail and subways on all major cities. I think that was a wise investment because it reduces Chinese need for oil, increases their strategic mobility, and the subways can double as shelters making Chinese cities much harder to conquer.

The sanctions on Chinese weapons purchases on Russia equipment are to put it mildly quite ridiculous. Also the way this USA government flip-flops its political discourse makes them look like an unreliable partner. The major imports that China needs are food and energy. Russia is a much more logical business partner in this than the USA and they already made strides in that regard by both selling land in the Far East for China to develop and working on supplying them with natural gas. I also think the recent Caspian Sea agreement might lead to some interesting developments in that area but we'll have to see.
 
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Brainsuker

Junior Member
Registered Member
Yesterday at 9:34 AM
and now I see he'd been there:
Tension escalates as China summons US ambassador over military sanctions
"Beijing also recalled naval chief from US and postponed a three-day bilateral military dialogue in Beijing in order to protest sanctions imposed over purchase of Russian military equipment" etc.:
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I'm curious, what is the military sanctions that US did to China?
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
I'm curious, what is the military sanctions that US did to China?

The US targeted the buying offices of the PLA and the individuals within. Sanctions meaning no US company is allowed to deal with them and the individuals herewith, and assets in the US owned by these individuals are frozen. It seems pointless, since I would doubt these PLA bureaucrats having properties in the US, unless they were corrupt and stashing things away. The idea of sanctions is more like aimed to deter other countries from buying Russian arms, which is useless as India appears to have inked with Russia an S-400 deal.
 
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