The UK needs to prioritize. I feel that to maintain it's world power status, it needs to have an army with world-class skill, the carriers, and a nuclear deterrent. Unfortunately, all of these things are getting too expensive. So you have to ask, which one can best sustain cuts without endangering the security of the nation and without knocking out any of the 3 legs of the UK's hard power?
Certainly not the Army and Royal Marines. They're currently involved in A-stan which is more important to the UK's security than anything else the services are doing, and are already stretched. Cutting the carriers now would mean bye-bye to any carriers for several decades, so that's out. Leaving the nukes. The nukes are the least likely to be used of all the assets we have on the table. Furthermore, I don't feel like there would be much difference, in terms of how other nations perceive the UK's hard power, between a small SSBN force and a slightly smaller SSBN force, or nuclear tipped cruise missiles. Basically, if you have nukes and a credible delivery system, it doesn't matter if you have 5 SSBNs or 3. It creates the same level of fear. Also, the UK can count on American retaliation against a country that nukes the UK, so the UK's nuke capabilities, while necessary for maintaining first-rate power status and as the ultimate guarantee of national security, are in effect redundant and thus can sustain a cut.
Also maybe phase out the last Tornado ADVs immediately?
Certainly not the Army and Royal Marines. They're currently involved in A-stan which is more important to the UK's security than anything else the services are doing, and are already stretched. Cutting the carriers now would mean bye-bye to any carriers for several decades, so that's out. Leaving the nukes. The nukes are the least likely to be used of all the assets we have on the table. Furthermore, I don't feel like there would be much difference, in terms of how other nations perceive the UK's hard power, between a small SSBN force and a slightly smaller SSBN force, or nuclear tipped cruise missiles. Basically, if you have nukes and a credible delivery system, it doesn't matter if you have 5 SSBNs or 3. It creates the same level of fear. Also, the UK can count on American retaliation against a country that nukes the UK, so the UK's nuke capabilities, while necessary for maintaining first-rate power status and as the ultimate guarantee of national security, are in effect redundant and thus can sustain a cut.
Also maybe phase out the last Tornado ADVs immediately?