Militaryland website has Ukrainian general staff claims for their units plotted everyday.
-Prior to recent events at Bakhmut, Ukraine has been running some 80 brigades/equivalents, at the front, that's max 320,000 troops I think but in reality it's a lot less.
- Over the past 2 months they have raised a lot of new brigades, the problem is however that it would take a lot of time to get them combat ready.
-The whole Vuledar/Ugledar battle has forced Ukraine to sent units there to stop the Russians who are in the dachas of the city.
-If Adviika gets critical Ukraine may send major reinforcements to stop the cutting off of supply lines to the city.
-The whole Northern front (Kupiansk-Svatove-Kremmina) is effectively positional warfare but the Russian low intensity attacks are occupying Ukrainian forces.
-Ukraine has sent reinforcements to the Bakhmut crisis zone and are planning a counteroffensive. Chief of staff Zaluzhny visited Bakhmut not long ago and Zelensky reconfirmed their intent to hold on to the city. Bakhmut has been a huge drain on Ukrainian resources. They have cycled some 40 brigades/equivalents here since the July 2022.
-If US pentagon claims that Wagner has 30K or more casualties then the real losses is a lot less than that...besides, Prizoghin has according to ISW, 62 recruiting sites sent up all across of Russia and overall PMC is a growth industry with the publicity of Bakhmut and state media (RT). There is also PMC Redoubt, Patriot, Gazprom, etc.
-The Use of Wagner has been a clever move by the Russians to buy valuable time to fortify occupied Ukraine and also train their troops, and keep the regular army out of the fight. The Russians are intending to create divisions and this long process should have already started. So all those missing Russian army units must be knee deep in this process. The Wagner PMC has literally covered their butts so to speak.
-Ukraine does not report on what the rest of the Donbass garrison is composed of but Rybar thinks it's 12 brigades in reserve. If they launch a counteroffensive with more brigades that's even more forces that they no longer have for the 'Spring offensive'. Eventually Wagner will boast about having fought 50 Ukrainian brigades and collected all their badges..
-If Wagner has not overreached their advance and stall or suffer a major setback, the situation in the Bakhmut area currently looks like a major defeat for Ukraine.
The Wagner is using the Donets canal as an 'anvil' to hammer perhaps 15 brigades/equivalents of the Ukrainian front line forces in place until they retreat.
-The more forces Ukraine expend, the further down the road their counteroffensive will have to be kicked. It is in Russian interest to force them to commit trained units and attrit them faster than they can be trained by themselves and NATO, so eventually they can no longer make any counteroffensive at all. Also the butcher's bill will accumulate; dead and crippled professional soldiers with 9 years of NATO training, and command cadre cannot be quickly grown. It all depends on the attrition rate.
This is a classic operational practice, that's what the Soviets did to the Germans in WW2 in July 43-45, constantly attacking and preventing them from accumulating large counteroffensive reserves and overall degrading their command cadre.
-Prior to recent events at Bakhmut, Ukraine has been running some 80 brigades/equivalents, at the front, that's max 320,000 troops I think but in reality it's a lot less.
- Over the past 2 months they have raised a lot of new brigades, the problem is however that it would take a lot of time to get them combat ready.
-The whole Vuledar/Ugledar battle has forced Ukraine to sent units there to stop the Russians who are in the dachas of the city.
-If Adviika gets critical Ukraine may send major reinforcements to stop the cutting off of supply lines to the city.
-The whole Northern front (Kupiansk-Svatove-Kremmina) is effectively positional warfare but the Russian low intensity attacks are occupying Ukrainian forces.
-Ukraine has sent reinforcements to the Bakhmut crisis zone and are planning a counteroffensive. Chief of staff Zaluzhny visited Bakhmut not long ago and Zelensky reconfirmed their intent to hold on to the city. Bakhmut has been a huge drain on Ukrainian resources. They have cycled some 40 brigades/equivalents here since the July 2022.
-If US pentagon claims that Wagner has 30K or more casualties then the real losses is a lot less than that...besides, Prizoghin has according to ISW, 62 recruiting sites sent up all across of Russia and overall PMC is a growth industry with the publicity of Bakhmut and state media (RT). There is also PMC Redoubt, Patriot, Gazprom, etc.
-The Use of Wagner has been a clever move by the Russians to buy valuable time to fortify occupied Ukraine and also train their troops, and keep the regular army out of the fight. The Russians are intending to create divisions and this long process should have already started. So all those missing Russian army units must be knee deep in this process. The Wagner PMC has literally covered their butts so to speak.
-Ukraine does not report on what the rest of the Donbass garrison is composed of but Rybar thinks it's 12 brigades in reserve. If they launch a counteroffensive with more brigades that's even more forces that they no longer have for the 'Spring offensive'. Eventually Wagner will boast about having fought 50 Ukrainian brigades and collected all their badges..
-If Wagner has not overreached their advance and stall or suffer a major setback, the situation in the Bakhmut area currently looks like a major defeat for Ukraine.
The Wagner is using the Donets canal as an 'anvil' to hammer perhaps 15 brigades/equivalents of the Ukrainian front line forces in place until they retreat.
-The more forces Ukraine expend, the further down the road their counteroffensive will have to be kicked. It is in Russian interest to force them to commit trained units and attrit them faster than they can be trained by themselves and NATO, so eventually they can no longer make any counteroffensive at all. Also the butcher's bill will accumulate; dead and crippled professional soldiers with 9 years of NATO training, and command cadre cannot be quickly grown. It all depends on the attrition rate.
This is a classic operational practice, that's what the Soviets did to the Germans in WW2 in July 43-45, constantly attacking and preventing them from accumulating large counteroffensive reserves and overall degrading their command cadre.
