Semi-Lobster
Junior Member
True that the USA never cared, the point from the rejection is that the US will not supply all arms to Taiwan. It serves as a good wake up call for the Taiwanese government. The government has been too dependent upon the US since they finished the production lines of the IDF. This rejection is just like when the US refused to sell F-16s and F-20s in the 1980s and 1990s.
Factors of Rejection:
- Pro-China Government = Fear of losing vital advanced weaponary to China
- Decreased Military Spending (of GDP) = Taiwan is seen as unwilling to spend more money on military to properly defend themselves
- North Korea = US needs China's help in dealing with North Korea
- Financial Crisis = US needs China to buy more US bonds.
- China = More advanced weapons sales will anger China and can lead to suspension of military relations and others.
Positives of Rejection
- Dependency = Taiwan wakes up from reliance on US
- IDF II = Domestic defence industry gets a boost, if the government chooses to go that way. Economy gets a good boost during tough times. Taiwan also improves it capability to build new fighters, and is also less reliant on US.
- French Arms = Very good and stable option for Taiwan, Taiwan also has alot of French missile stockpiles.
Negatives of Rejection
- No F-16s = Time lag before they get new fighters, either from US (if they sell), France or themselves.
- IDF II = Very costly to design and build a new fighter. Questions as to whether or not foreign companies will help in technology transfers etc.
Like I said earlier, I'm not sure French arms are a sure thing anymore, although cooperation and co-development seems more likely. The most contentious issue as it was for the original IDF will be the engine most likely and if AIDC were to start development of a new aircraft now it would probably be ready by the time the mainland J-XX would nearly be done. I think the most politically sound and fastest option the ROCAF have is to find a more suitable engine for the F-CK-1 (ehich is still a very viable aircraft design) and create a more radical upgrade to the F-CK-1 platform.