Taiwan Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

zxy_bc

Junior Member
Registered Member
PLA only started running businesses due to Deng reforms. He also only did it in 1997 after he had allowed it to occur on his watch for 8 years, and only because the situation at the time had become nearly intolerable. It wasn't that he wanted to, it was that he had to.
Did you even read my responses? They did it due to Deng reforms, yes. Because Deng is corrupt and want the military to be corrupt as well? Are you serious? I'm gonna say it again: CHINA DON'T HAVE MONEY! This is not fucking 2016 China with GDP exceeding Japan. Get that fact straight. It's either let the military do business or disband more military personnels. They have no choice. Of course he allowed it for 8 years, THERE WAS NO MORE MONEY FOR THE MILITARY!
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Did you even read my responses? They did it due to Deng reforms, yes. Because Deng is corrupt and want the military to be corrupt as well? Are you serious? I'm gonna say it again: CHINA DON'T HAVE MONEY! This is not fucking 2016 China with GDP exceeding Japan. Get that fact straight. It's either let the military do business or disband more military personnels. They have no choice. Of course he allowed it for 8 years, THERE WAS NO MORE MONEY FOR THE MILITARY!
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Military spending was high in the 1980's. But it was comparable to and still lower than US military spending as %GDP.

Deng used military spending cuts not just to conserve money (of course it had that effect) but also as a political tool to weaken the PLA internally. There were other ways of saving a few % GDP. He gambled on good relations with the US saving him. That is why US wants China to go back to a Deng style regime and starting with the 2009 Pivot to Asia started suppressing China. They woke up and found that Hu Jintao wasn't a pushover who wanted China to depend on others.

Typically 3rd world military dictators are the ones who bet on good relations with others saving them. It might work out, it might not. Saddam Hussein and Ghaddafi found out the hard way that it might not.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
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I do not believe there existed a time where ROCAF could contest air superiority with PLAAF.

1. In the 1970's and 80's they were using F-104s and F-5s against J-7s and J-8s. F-104s were obsolete, F-5s were similar to J-7s. Except PLAAF had 1000+ J-7s at the time.

2.
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, which is contemporary with
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.

3. In 2000 PLAAF acquired Su-30 MKK. Taiwan has no response to this... and there was no looking back after this.

All of Taiwan's claimed air to air victories in the 50's and 60's are just that - claims. It doesn't mesh with their known historical performance. It's about as credible as Indian claims.

Taiwan's survival since the 70's has mostly been political and economic, not military. Taiwan lost the entire island of Hainan in 1950 in a crippling amphibious defeat where the PLA got a 1:6 kill ratio in their favor, highly unusual for amphibious operations.

I believe that a period in the 1990s and early 2000s, the ROCAF had key advantages in two domains, possessing AEW&C at the (which the PLA had no answer to), as well as a much larger fleet of ARH BVR capable fighters (Mirage 2000s and more importantly, the F-CK-1s, and a number of F-16s) -- the ability of the PLAAF to contest air superiority in that period was likely at its most precarious, and would have suffered likely significant casualties and attrition to a point that securing air superiority would have been a pyrrhic victory.

(Edit: I see snoopsnoop has explained the points as well, in #4859)
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
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Military spending was high in the 1980's. But it was comparable to and still lower than US military spending as %GDP.

Deng used military spending cuts not just to conserve money (of course it had that effect) but also as a political tool to weaken the PLA internally. There were other ways of saving a few % GDP. He gambled on good relations with the US saving him. That is why US wants China to go back to a Deng style regime and starting with the 2009 Pivot to Asia started suppressing China. They woke up and found that Hu Jintao wasn't a pushover who wanted China to depend on others.

Typically 3rd world military dictators are the ones who bet on good relations with others saving them. It might work out, it might not. Saddam Hussein and Ghaddafi found out the hard way that it might not.


Did you even read my responses? They did it due to Deng reforms, yes. Because Deng is corrupt and want the military to be corrupt as well? Are you serious? I'm gonna say it again: CHINA DON'T HAVE MONEY! This is not fucking 2016 China with GDP exceeding Japan. Get that fact straight. It's either let the military do business or disband more military personnels. They have no choice. Of course he allowed it for 8 years, THERE WAS NO MORE MONEY FOR THE MILITARY!

Back on topic please, both of you.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
I believe that a period in the 1990s and early 2000s, the ROCAF had key advantages in two domains, possessing AEW&C at the (which the PLA had no answer to), as well as a much larger fleet of ARH BVR capable fighters (Mirage 2000s and more importantly, the F-CK-1s, and a number of F-16s) -- the ability of the PLAAF to contest air superiority in that period was likely at its most precarious, and would have suffered likely significant casualties and attrition to a point that securing air superiority would have been a pyrrhic victory.
by the early 2000's PLA already had KJ-2000 and Su-30s which reestablished the advantage.

also going by the crashes of China Airlines (which used retired Taiwanese military pilots)
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, I'm not sure how effectively those assets would've been used.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
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by the early 2000's PLA already had KJ-2000 and Su-30s which reestablished the advantage.

also going by the crashes of China Airlines (which used retired Taiwanese military pilots)
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, I'm not sure how effectively those assets would've been used.

I said between the 1990s and early 2000s.

The Su-30MKKs only began to enter service in significant numbers by about 2005, and the KJ-2000 only entered service in a mature state sometime between 2005-2007.
Furthermore, it wouldnt' be a stretch to say that the Su-30MKK's ARH BVR capability was only at best equal to the ARH BVR capabilities that the ROCAF had at the time, and was not qualitatively superior (yet was quantitatively inferior).


Of course, after 2007, when the PLA procured large numbers of PL-12 equipped 4th generation fighters such as J-10A and J-11B, KJ-2000s began to be supplemented by large numbers KJ-200s, and then 4.5th generation fighters like J-10B, J-10C and J-16 and new AEW&C like KJ-500s emerged, the balance was quite rapidly reversed to a state that cannot be overcome, let alone with the entry of J-20. And this all of course ignores new PLA long range strike options.


.... However, my point is that actually yes, I believe there was a good period of time whereby the ROCAF could seriously contest air superiority against the PLAAF, to a degree that arguably the ROCAF could not only contest air superiority over Taiwan but also maintain it. And this period of time was between the 1990s and early 2000s.
 

weig2000

Captain
The PLAAF general was
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who had a Russian mother and Chinese father and so is familiar with all the nuances of dealing with Russians. He knew there would be much drinking involved in talking out the Su-27 deal (Russians love to get their guests drunk and use that to drive a hard bargain, they do it to Indians all the time) and had his people search for individuals with "special talents" among the PLA and managed to find someone indeed. He was some skinny glasses wearing low level soldier who worked in the kitchen who could drink hard alcohol like water and not be affected for whatever reason. Lin Hu apparently went up to him and said "come with me, the motherland is in need of your stomach".

So they dressed him up as a member of Lin's staff complete with a senior colonel rank and had him go drinking with the 17 strong Soviet delegation and he got them all unconscious while remain standing. Next day Lin had lots of gifts repaired for the humbled and still hungover Russians and that's how PLAAF managed to get a good price on Su-27.

Apparently some time later PLAN having heard about this also borrowed him and pulled a similar thing when they were making deals with the Russians.

This kind of story is fun to tell and everyone can enjoy a laugh. Just don't take it seriously. Do you think Russians are so simple-minded as to be taken advantage of signing a deal as important as Su-27, their most advanced fighter aircraft that they had not sold to anyone outside of Russia? Even if they were too drunk and for whatever reason agreed to sign a contract to sell Su-27, don't you think they wouldn't renege on the agreement the next day when they were all sober? We're assuming that the contract was signed during the drinking party to begin with. And, don't you think for a deal of such significance and magnitude, there would have been a chain of approvals before anything would be finalized?

There are so many holes in such a story, I can't believe people would give any credence to such fairy tales.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
I said between the 1990s and early 2000s.

The Su-30MKKs only began to enter service in significant numbers by about 2005, and the KJ-2000 only entered service in a mature state sometime between 2005-2007.
Furthermore, it wouldnt' be a stretch to say that the Su-30MKK's ARH BVR capability was only at best equal to the ARH BVR capabilities that the ROCAF had at the time, and was not qualitatively superior (yet was quantitatively inferior).


Of course, after 2007, when the PLA procured large numbers of PL-12 equipped 4th generation fighters such as J-10A and J-11B, KJ-2000s began to be supplemented by large numbers KJ-200s, and then 4.5th generation fighters like J-10B, J-10C and J-16 and new AEW&C like KJ-500s emerged, the balance was quite rapidly reversed to a state that cannot be overcome, let alone with the entry of J-20. And this all of course ignores new PLA long range strike options.


.... However, my point is that actually yes, I believe there was a good period of time whereby the ROCAF could seriously contest air superiority against the PLAAF, to a degree that arguably the ROCAF could not only contest air superiority over Taiwan but also maintain it. And this period of time was between the 1990s and early 2000s.
OK, understood. This means that Jiang Zemin's entire leadership period was a failure to allow this to happen.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
by the early 2000's PLA already had KJ-2000 and Su-30s which reestablished the advantage.

also going by the crashes of China Airlines (which used retired Taiwanese military pilots)
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, I'm not sure how effectively those assets would've been used.

By PLANAF’s own admission, Su-30MK2/R-77 combo is vastly weaker than J-10AH/PL-12, so much so that in DACT training the J-10 is responsible for handling targets in BVR. This doesn’t bode well for the Su-30 in a match up against the F-16 unless it is WVR.
 
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