PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Do we actually have any information from internal PLA sources on what strategy they favour?

The Patchwork strategy is just one of many possible scenarios. A quick landing on Taiwan after a short air/rocket campaign to present the world with a fait accompli and avoid involvement of foreign countries is a valid strategy.

Anyone who leaks such information will be rotting away in jail.
 

ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
Do we actually have any information from internal PLA sources on what strategy they favour?

The Patchwork strategy is just one of many possible scenarios. A quick landing on Taiwan after a short air/rocket campaign to present the world with a fait accompli and avoid involvement of foreign countries is a valid strategy.
Honestly (and if my thoughts are of similar to his), Patchwork's strategy is basically what I personally envisioned the PLA would do in a Taiwan scenario, coupled with amphibious assaults against outlying islands currently under ROC administration (i.e. Kinmen and Matsu) within the first week or two of PLA's military campaign against Taiwan.

However, I disagree with the "short air/rocket campaign" part. The PLA CMC should assume the worst in their planning, i.e. the ROC military and the ROC administration hunkers down and prepare to fight the PLA to the last Taiwanese men, women and children. That means the PLA should replicate the Operation Desert Storm on Taiwan, but on an even larger scale; swifter and greater intensity; and similar duration of time as the Coalition Forces did on Iraq in February 1991. This would require the coordination and effort across not just the PLAAF and PLARF, but also the PLAN (and most importantly, PLASSF) as well.

China only has one shot at this - there are no second chances.

Furthermore, anyone who still believe that the PLA would attempt outright amphibious assault on Taiwan itself on Day One of their military campaign against Taiwan should go just stand and face any wall nearby and repent.
 
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ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
One the other hand, I am window-scanning through Reddit when I came across a post asking for opinions and comments on this Reuters' interactive infographics webpage:

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Title: War Games: T-Day: The Battle For Taiwan

Needless to say, I regret not seen the name Ian Easton at the sources section down below the article in the first place.

Fr1ck1ng wasted my 20 minutes.
 
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FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member

I was curious to see what other subreddits and their opinions are on the article.

Then I found one with the stupidest idea i have seen in a long while.

What if those beach-heads got nuked? I'm curious as to what the Chinese response would be. Nuclear weapons were used on Taiwanese territory, not mainland China, so would they be willing to escalate the crisis into a full-scale strategic thermonuclear exchange?

https://www.reddit.com/r/neoliberal/comments/qo7cm8/_/hjlhnuj
 

Biscuits

Colonel
Registered Member
I'm afraid things are worse than you think.
At present, the views of some countries and regions I see on the Internet are "China < Russia", and Taiwan regards itself as "Taiwan > Ukraine".

Russia's defeat on the battlefield will cause many countries to further despise China, because they believe that China's weapons cannot be more advanced than Russia's
It has been known for a fairly long time that PLA is overall better equipped than RU army, in some sectors by far.

Tactical losses for Russia will make them more open to seeking improvements from China.

And Russia needs a truly multifaceted, 2020s era military, so it can help deter conflict from USA.

I've long thought that the PLA and RU military would benefit from projects using pooled resources similar to how US has made NATO follow them with the F-35. A common design between both militaries, integrating the best from late Soviet cutting edge research and China's new tech, using Russia's strength in resources and workers integrated with China's industrial expertise.

The goal of such projects would ostentibly be to shore up the Russian military into a formidable force in both quality and quantity, while ensuring the final works of the USSR in tech can have their development continued in China, where funding is abundant. It would also help boost the numbers of the PLA.

Some form of strategical "victory" is assured for Russia as long as they mobilize all their forces. But Russian shortcomings on the tactical level will hopefully shatter illusions of Russian military independence and make them pursue collective defense. China likewise should not have any reservations about sharing their latest developments (within reason) with Russia.
 
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