PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Broccoli said:

You assume that none of those armed drones and choppers won't fail in their task.

What if all of those assets are shot down before they managed to inflict enough casualties? What happens then when landing party arrives at heavily defended shore? They either have to land against heavily defended beaches or risk another dangerous trip back to mainland white getting shot at. Russians had similar fantasies about Ukrainians simply giving up but we've seen how thats going.

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Anything you write should not be given any credence let alone any air of credibility since you engage in fantasy talk bereft and far removed from reality. On top of that you're outright racist shit against China, it's government and people, that's despite your usual expected excuse of freedom bullshit. I have read what you wrote elsewhere where you're more inspired to reveal your inner thoughts on China.

Most important point. The war in Taiwan (hope never happens) will be different than what is happening in Ukraine or the operational approach that Russian leadership had chosen to undertake. China and the Chinese people are under no illusions that Taiwan will welcome the PLA with open arms based on common creed, language, and culture. It's understood that if force is undertaken against Taiwan it will cost tremendous amount of blood and treasure which is why the leadership is eager to avoid such a catastrophic scenario if it can be avoided. But, If the constant provocations by your friends and like minded folks constantly assure and pushes the DPP separatists of some sort of fantasy of Independence then all bets are off. Just as the PLA defense minister said forcefully on his recent address in Singapore Shangri-la defense forum, China will fight against anyone in defending it's sovereign territory of Taiwan no matter the cost.

Who said that the PLA must make an amphibious landing at the first day of the war lol

Hear me out now, big-brain moment is coming, what about first spending a couple of weeks bombing Taiwan back to stone age and then doing the landing

At that point, Taiwan can send slingshots and bows to shoot down drones and helicopters

Broccoli said:

You assume that none of those armed drones and choppers won't fail in their task.

What if all of those assets are shot down before they managed to inflict enough casualties? What happens then when landing party arrives at heavily defended shore? They either have to land against heavily defended beaches or risk another dangerous trip back to mainland white getting shot at. Russians had similar fantasies about Ukrainians simply giving up but we've seen how thats going.

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The side that initiates this war is China. They have Taiwan penetrated on many levels. I am sure they have developed their war plan based on a very good knowledge of Taiwan military. The drones would only appear when all the known air defense networks are neutralized. Of course there are going to be still air defense remaining. Drones will carry on an attrition war with these remaining air defense. Air defense is very expensive and the Chinese has huge number of drones. I doubt the remaining air defense will last long. Also there is no way to destroy the Chinese satellites.

War is about trading punches. The last guy standing wins. If the Chinese can punch you from across the strait, it is very difficult for the Taiwanese military to remain effective anywhere inside Taiwan, let alone a the landing sites.

Broccoli said:

You assume that none of those armed drones and choppers won't fail in their task.

What if all of those assets are shot down before they managed to inflict enough casualties? What happens then when landing party arrives at heavily defended shore? They either have to land against heavily defended beaches or risk another dangerous trip back to mainland white getting shot at. Russians had similar fantasies about Ukrainians simply giving up but we've seen how thats going.

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The part that really annoys me from this Russian/Ukraine conflict is that the online twitter crowd and supposedly military intel community thinks that China = Russia and Taiwan = Ukraine,

If PLA is actually stupid enough to launch a landing on Taiwan before it severely degrades ROC Army, then it really deserves to lose as many people as some of these Western military "experts" think they will. It's entirely disappointing to me that someone on this forum who has been able to read that this very unlikely China's strategy can still think this is the case.

Please just read what Patchwork wrote a while back and get a understanding of how things likely play out. I'm really tired of this a million man landing scenario that people keep thinking that China will do.

tphuang said:

The part that really annoys me from this Russian/Ukraine conflict is that the online twitter crowd and supposedly military intel community thinks that China = Russia and Taiwan = Ukraine,

If PLA is actually stupid enough to launch a landing on Taiwan before it severely degrades ROC Army, then it really deserves to lose as many people as some of these Western military "experts" think they will. It's entirely disappointing to me that someone on this forum who has been able to read that this very unlikely China's strategy can still think this is the case.

Please just read what Patchwork wrote a while back and get a understanding of how things likely play out. I'm really tired of this a million man landing scenario that people keep thinking that China will do.

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You shouldn't pay too much attention to American bots online.

If you wanna talk equivalancies, it's America = Russia, Taiwan = Luhansk/Donetsk and China = Ukraine. Ain't China trying to invade a sovereign nation using protecting separatists as an excuse.

Except, Russia shares a land border with LDPR while US doesn't share any border with Taiwan. And there is, to put it in the mildest possible terms, a sizeable strength gap between the AFU and the PLA.

Biscuits said:

You shouldn't pay too much attention to American bots online.

If you wanna talk equivalancies, it's America = Russia, Taiwan = Luhansk/Donetsk and China = Ukraine. Ain't China trying to invade a sovereign nation using protecting separatists as an excuse.

Except, Russia shares a land border with LDPR while US doesn't share any border with Taiwan. And there is, to put it in the mildest possible terms, a sizeable strength gap between the AFU and the PLA.

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well, as far as I know, he has been on this forum for a while. There is no reason to just call people bots. It's just disappointing that people don't bother to do any reading on a subject matter.

tphuang said:

well, as far as I know, he has been on this forum for a while. There is no reason to just call people bots. It's just disappointing that people don't bother to do any reading on a subject matter.

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Ah I never meant to call him a bot, I should have clarify it better.

I was talking about twitter bots and evidently he has come to parrot some of their views which is ok, people can get deceived sometimes.

tphuang said:

The part that really annoys me from this Russian/Ukraine conflict is that the online twitter crowd and supposedly military intel community thinks that China = Russia and Taiwan = Ukraine,

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I'm afraid things are worse than you think.
At present, the views of some countries and regions I see on the Internet are "China < Russia", and Taiwan regards itself as "Taiwan > Ukraine".

Russia's defeat on the battlefield will cause many countries to further despise China, because they believe that China's weapons cannot be more advanced than Russia's

tphuang said:

The part that really annoys me from this Russian/Ukraine conflict is that the online twitter crowd and supposedly military intel community thinks that China = Russia and Taiwan = Ukraine,

If PLA is actually stupid enough to launch a landing on Taiwan before it severely degrades ROC Army, then it really deserves to lose as many people as some of these Western military "experts" think they will. It's entirely disappointing to me that someone on this forum who has been able to read that this very unlikely China's strategy can still think this is the case.

Please just read what Patchwork wrote a while back and get a understanding of how things likely play out. I'm really tired of this a million man landing scenario that people keep thinking that China will do.

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Those people could be voters and could influence government decision makers. Don’t take their ignorance lightly.

Do we actually have any information from internal PLA sources on what strategy they favour?

The Patchwork strategy is just one of many possible scenarios. A quick landing on Taiwan after a short air/rocket campaign to present the world with a fait accompli and avoid involvement of foreign countries is a valid strategy.