There's video of FPV drones flying inside Taiwanese bases. I don't think the outlying islands are going to be a problem.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
I always thought infiltration would play a key role in a possible Taiwan scenario, what happened in Iran 100% confirms this expectation. Knock out power, knock out communications infrastructure, etc.
Someone in another thread mentioned ROC could do this to mainland, but the problem is lack of resources. Mainland counterintelligence is better.
Glide bombs work much better.
Ayi made an interesting point: the US military may no longer mention the 2027 timeframe. The 2027 timeframe was based on the assumption that the US military's old equipment would be largely retired and new equipment would not yet be in service, allowing the PLA to launch an attack. However, after this timeframe passes, the US military's strength will rebound as new equipment gradually enters service.
However, let us examine some the equipment the U.S. military plans to deploy to reverse its decline:
SPY-7 production is extremely slow or even stalled, leading to constant delays in the construction of the Burke III
E-7A has been canceled
F-35 Block 4 continues to face delays
Constellation class progressing extremely slowly and may soon be canceled
Does anyone still remember the Ford class?
Expanding stockpiles and production capacity of missile defense systems, including Patriot, THAAD, and SM series, now being heavily depleted in the Middle East
Cruise missile reserves are being heavily depleted in the Middle East
Hypersonic missiles all canceled except for LRHW/CPS, and even the LRHW will have very few units in service, let alone being in mass production yet.
When the planned bottoming out will not occur, but the bottom is nowhere to be seen, the so-called 2027 timeframe has no meaning.
However, let us examine some the equipment the U.S. military plans to deploy to reverse its decline:
SPY-7 production is extremely slow or even stalled, leading to constant delays in the construction of the Burke III
E-7A has been canceled
F-35 Block 4 continues to face delays
Constellation class progressing extremely slowly and may soon be canceled
Does anyone still remember the Ford class?
Expanding stockpiles and production capacity of missile defense systems, including Patriot, THAAD, and SM series, now being heavily depleted in the Middle East
Cruise missile reserves are being heavily depleted in the Middle East
Hypersonic missiles all canceled except for LRHW/CPS, and even the LRHW will have very few units in service, let alone being in mass production yet.
When the planned bottoming out will not occur, but the bottom is nowhere to be seen, the so-called 2027 timeframe has no meaning.
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Kinmen is very close to Xiamen, now it has basically been given up by the Taiwanese army. But the Taiwan military's outlying island defense is mainly in Penghu, and the FPV launched from the mainland is definitely not able to fly over there.There's video of FPV drones flying inside Taiwanese bases. I don't think the outlying islands are going to be a problem.
Although TW had effectively abandoned the defense of this area, the Kinmen Command still holds posts for one lieutenant general and three major generals.
Taiwan's generals are worthless, there are too many of them
Taiwan has retained the full military structure left by Chiang Kai-shek’s remnants. Over the years, the number of soldiers has decreased by several times, but the system of generals has been preserved, creating a replicated network of vested interests.
what if ROC copy ukrainian tactics station and hiding most of their anti air , anti ship , himmars missile inside dense urban area
turn children school , hopistal , civilian house into ammo depost , combat troops hideout ....drone control centers .v.v.
even write alot of big sign around and on-top clearly visible from the air saying : civilians , kids , hopistal ...etc please don't attack
and taiwanese "civilians" willing to help them hide them , willing to be come free human shield + willing to cry warcrime on internet if being attack ?
exploit the moral weakness of attacker side work all the time to the point today it become invader defeat auto win card already , specially for the side that control most of the world english media .
what PLA gonna do ?
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