Somehow, I don’t believe this one, they say one thing and mean the other so much that quite frankly unless that Japanese PM really goes back on her word, I still will consider this to be something the USA pushed Japan to say and is trying the old good cop routine to make them selves look good. They have done this routine so many times that I do believe the idea that theUSA pushed them up to this although they might try to backtrack because they suddenly remember that actions has consequences and that China isn’t biting
Elbridge Colby is famous for pressuring Japan and Australia to clarify it's role in Taiwan contingency are recently as July 2025.
The Pentagon is urging Japan and Australia to clarify what role they would play if the U.S. and China went to war over
, the Financial Times reported on Saturday.
Elbridge Colby, the U.S. under-secretary of defense for policy, has been pushing the matter during recent talks with defense officials of both countries, the report said, citing people familiar with the discussions.
What changed is the US-China trade truce... Japan itself would never volunteer to endure economic sanction without the explicit approval backing and pressure by US at the highest levels, most likely to test redlines of China.
Fortunately, there are reports recently that Elbridge Colby got told to STFU for pissing off everyone else in Pentagon and even US allies for rogue decision making (
). I wouldn't be surprised if this lackluster support by Trump is because China's strong reaction and risk to the trade truce, and Elbridge's department is being supervised by Stephen Miller to keep the trade truce peace. That's why Elbridge is quiet on Twitter.
Just like Dutch got thrown under the bus after US pressure led them to seize Nexperia, I am smelling a similar scenario where Japan gets thrown under the bus after US pressure to have them clarify role in Taiwan contingency. Trump basically upended the national security hawks on China, selling Nvidia chips, reversing export controls, reversing Nexperia seizure, all in the name of keeping the trade truce. This is the power of the rare earth nuclear option!
Sanae seeking a meeting with Trump is more about how much Japan can step down and getting permission to do so. Here are China's clear demands for Japan, but Sanae needs permission from the suzerain.