Miscellaneous News

"China wants to dial the pressure up slowly by manoeuvring Japan into making mistakes and sounding belligerent and unreasonable to justify Chinese retaliation. And it’s working. Every time China complains and apply a little more subtle pressure, the Japanese doubles down and make another offending remark or escalation."

Let's see if China does dial up the pressure in the next 1-2 months. If this fizzles out again without Takaichi explicitly taking back her words, then might as well pack up and go home.

Comac 919 said:

Inaction also has consequences, and red lines keep getting pushed back by adversaries. Remember when China said 九二共识 was the red line, and was disregarded by Tsai Ingwen. Nothing happened.

"The Japanese comments are an unprecedented provocation, but they are still too minor to justify significant economic retaliation by China."

Disagree. This is just allowing adversaries to further chip away at China's credibility. If 台湾有事日本有事 said by a Japanese PM is still too minor, then...dunno what to say.

Also, I doubt other countries "care" about who's in the right and who's in the wrong. They cares about who is "mightier" in the literal sense of word. You show might, other countries will come around. What China is putting out now is a circus.

Click to expand...

The thing is, China is not as strong as you (and unfortunately many others) presume. Let us not forget the US & its vassals are still 50% of the world’s GDP and that China’s manufacturing share is only 30% or so of the world’s total. It is not as dominant as often portrayed. Individually China maybe the strongest country, but collectively it can’t take on the entirety of the US empire.

So the reality is that China cannot just stoke the fires of conflict and give reason for the US & its vassals to unite in common purpose. Japan is actually one of the countries China was trying to go neutral on Taiwan, and under its previous prime minister there were signs that Japan might actually be receptive.

Unfortunately in came the right wing chicken hawk who exploited the party’s in fighting to assume leadership. She’s certainly torpedoed relations, but I think the Chinese leadership still assumes she’s a flash in the pan and that the next Japanese leader will be more mature & reasonable. Hence starting small with the sticks so as to not alienate every last Japanese leader and make it impossible for a dove to mend relations.

The only way to beat the US empire in the long term is divide & conquer. You don’t want them putting aside their differences and uniting against you with half the world.

China is strong but not THAT strong.

They should have it say something like, “They call me, Bruce.”

This is precisely the situation I discussed earlier: Sanae Takaichi is likely to completely disregard China's diplomatic actions, and the deterioration of Sino-Japanese relations has become normalized. Of course, the Chinese side has certainly considered this possibility, which may accelerate the partial decoupling of industries between China and Japan. Given the importance of the Chinese market and supply chains, Japan is clearly at a disadvantage in terms of practical impact. Consequently, Japan has no choice but to continue aligning itself with the anti-China system led by the U.S., the West, and India.

Huawei is banned but like DJI somehow made it to Military use.

I'm just venting in my posts...cause China's response to Japan, of all countries, has been disappointing, put simply, imo. Sorry if it comes across as too negative, don't mind me.