Ladakh Flash Point

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hashtagpls

Senior Member
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If it comes to war, we can take the eg of the recent Nagorno-Karabakh conflict; the outnumbered PLA could use suicide drones as well as cluster mines to defend themselves.
 

do3jack

New Member
Registered Member
Yes. I too feel that if India were to intervene into Bhutan, there is actually very little that China can do other than diplomatically protest. China's own pledge to not intervene into the internal matters of other countries truly limits its options. So there are 2 scenarios that I speculate could happen:

1) India overthrows the Bhutanese government. If India does this, China can't do much really, and the West would tacitly support India. Bhutan shall return to being an appendage of India. But this will spook India's South Asian neighbours. They are gonna align even more with China in hopes to better protect themselves against Indian imperialism. So this further isolates India even more in South Asia in the longer term.

2) India annexes Bhutan. By annexing Bhutan, Bhutan's territorial disputes with China will now becomes India's problem. This will open a new front with China. China will have to militarily respond to prevent India from occupying what was once Chinese territory that was being disputed with Bhutan. If India decides to be aggressive, then India could expect another skirmish or even a war. Not to mention this will also scare and disgust India's neighbours to further align with China.

In the bigger picture. China losing Bhutan to India wouldn't really change its own strategic calculations by much. It'll just be a return to the old days of disputing the borders with both India and Bhutan. But India's strategic calculations will change drastically. India will scare and disgust its neighbours, thus pushing them further into China's orbit. India will only accelerate its isolation in Asia by regime changing or annexing Bhutan.
Behind Bhutan is Britain, and China does not need to act.
 

Jono

Junior Member
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if you look at the roads linking India and Bhutan, you may find that there are only 3 major entry points. But of course, there may be more military roads other than these 3. If China is to secure Bhutan at her request, then all China needs to do is to secure air superiority, then bombs these 3 major roads into oblivion. The Indian brigade stationed inside Bhutan will then face hunger and thirst, once deprived of local support and supplies from the Indian side. These boots on the ground are trapped, and frankly the only prospect left for them is unconditional surrender. Or these soldiers can show some bravery and stand their ground, only to find themselves simply trapped inside their garrison, and can only function as hostages in Chinese hands.
The counter argument is for India to do the same, and bomb the Chinese roads into Bhutan.
So it all boils down to who has the upper hand in air superiority, and ground to air defenses.
Once Bhutan is secured, Tawang to the east is a piece of cake to China.
so there may be an incentive for China to intervene and protect Bhutan, just my armchair analysis, smiles.
Entering-Bhutan-by-road-from-India.png
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
@Deino , Howdy, how do i contact a moderator here?
You can search him "By Member", and click on one of his posts, then click on his profile and click again on "Start conversation" to send a private message to him.

Btw, dont summon the mods to these threads without having a reason (e.g racism, trolling, spam etc).

If you want to ask anything, then you should use the "Ask anything" thread
 
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