ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

delft

Brigadier
the map inside of the article, which is dated "7 May 2016", failed to notice Government had lost the area around
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in the morning of May 6; using that map anyway, I approximated this area by the white arrowhead, and the threat to the Government could be its forces in Aleppo might be trapped (which I approximated by the white line: I'm predicting NOTHING though):
9Plby.jpg
We already know that BBC is unreliable.
I suppose that Al Nusra and its friends do not get paid for not fighting. The war will go on until those that abhor free and fair elections are destroyed.
 
in yesterday's article The war against the Islamic State hits hurdles just as the U.S. military gears up
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"said a U.S. official who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to discuss sensitive subjects":
“We’re actually a little bit ahead of where we wanted to be.”
about the war against ISIL ... should I say "wow" or something?
 

delft

Brigadier
in yesterday's article The war against the Islamic State hits hurdles just as the U.S. military gears up
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"said a U.S. official who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to discuss sensitive subjects":
about the war against ISIL ... should I say "wow" or something?
I too read that curious article. I would condense the article as "We're doing well but we don't know how to get on from here".
 
Friday at 8:41 PM
... the Government lost Khan Tuman and Al-Khalidiyah (shown in yellow in the map below; less than two miles from "M5"), and it's unclear to me what else ... saw claims of Al Humayra (middle-bottom) and Khirbat Ma'rata (north-east corner), but not of Al-Qarassi (most to the east in the map below):
SWHIY.jpg
...
pretty much in agreement with the most recent "edmap" (below); from what I figured, there has been some ceasefire (OK a break in fighting) in the Aleppo area lately, likely being used for preparations (but not for the elections delft wants :) for example I repeatedly saw pictures of T-90 tank(s) pulled there ... let's see what happens later in this week
Syria_Battle_for_Southern_Aleppo_May_9.png
 
Apr 5, 2016
after a break
Jan 21, 2016

it's time to look at
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again ... several sources say ISIL launched a massive attack but ... I don't know its direction(s) ... I'm going to update this post ...
... and I didn't (because I decided not to believe the reports about Deir ez-Zor back then, I don't know Arabic, etc.) until now: allegedly the situation of (the besieged) Government forces worsened after ISIL took over Al Tahtouh neighborhood (in the north-west corner in the map below) this week, getting one more direction for an attack of the airport (the runway visible in the bottom-left):
SJYek.jpg
now exploiting the old "peto lucem" map (I don't have anything better), I put the above area (approximately) into the white rectangle, and Al Tahtouh neighborhood (approximately) into the red ellipse:
KbzW7.jpg
let's see when this time I'll be able to update
 
from CNN, with interesting footage inside, showing what sure looks like
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in
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(since 01:00):
Russia's military in Syria: Bigger than you think and not going anywhere
Last week the Russian military brought more than a hundred international journalists, including
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. The trip was orchestrated to showcase Moscow's role in liberating the ancient heritage site but it also said a lot about the Russian army's capabilities and the scale of their assets in Syria.
Ferrying that many people from Russia's air base in Latakia halfway across a war-torn country -- to a place that until recently was a combat zone -- is a massive logistical and security operation.

The convoy involved five buses full of journalists, at least eight armored vehicles with heavy machine guns, two fighting vehicles and the constant presence of two attack helicopters hovering overhead. During the more than six-hour journey, choppers were switched out several times and the vehicles were shadowed by a variety of gunships, including Mi-28, KA-52, and the modernized Mi-35s. As we made our way across Syria we passed several bases with Russian helicopters along the Western coastline, near Homs and in the Palmyra area.

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and jet fighters to Syria at the end of 2015, bombing in support of Syrian president Bashar al Assad's forces. But Moscow also appears to have built up substantial ground forces in various locations in Syria. There are no reliable numbers on Russian troop levels in the country but it appeared to us that there were at least several thousand troops on the ground along with modern weaponry and infrastructure.

The Hmeymim air base on the outskirts of Latakia, on the country's northwest coast, is a mix of an existing Syrian military airfield and container housing units that the Russians have set up. The camp is large, modern, and well-maintained.

The Russian military allowed us to film some of their troops during an early morning sports session that involved weight training, basketball, volleyball and boxing. A young first lieutenant who would only give his first name, "Vladimir," said the troops are highly motivated.

"I am very happy to serve my country here," he said.
He then added, "I am not afraid of anything in Syria. Why would we be afraid?"
The professionalism of the troops and the pristine state of the equipment they were using showed the Russian military has come a long way since it began a major modernization program several years ago. Aside from dozens of jets, Russia also has a wide range of combat helicopters, main battle tanks, armored personnel carriers and surface-to-air missile systems.

But the biggest surprise was seeing so many Russian ground forces in other places in Syria as well. The army has built a brand new outpost next to the old city of Palmyra. The freshly-paved camp is officially a base for the mining crews that cleared thousands of explosive devices from Palmyra and the surrounding towns over the past weeks since
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But aside from mine-clearing equipment, there also are dozens of fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers stationed at the base. While those assets could be there for force protection, Russia has also deployed a state-of-the-art Pantsir-S1 air defense system that can both launch missiles and fire cannons at incoming planes.

The Russian military has told CNN that their air force chooses and pinpoints targets on their own, with only limited input from the Syrian military. Igor Konashankov, the spokesman for Russia's Defense Ministry, also says Moscow has no influence over the targets the Syrian Air Force hits.

The U.S. has said Russia is moving artillery toward the contested city of Aleppo, raising concerns that a ceasefire will not hold. But the Russians have not confirmed that. If Assad were to retake all of Aleppo, it would be a major victory.
As for the ceasefire in Aleppo, it has been extended for another 48 hours, according to Syria's state news agency, SANA. The announcement Monday was made by the country's head of the armed forced.
While the exact size of Russia's military presence in Syria is still unclear, the things we saw while embedded with them indicate that it is bigger and more sophisticated than most believe. It does not look like an army that plans on leaving Syria any time soon.
source:
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... allegedly the situation of (the besieged) Government forces worsened after ISIL took over Al Tahtouh neighborhood (in the north-west corner in the map below) this week, getting one more direction for an attack of the airport (the runway visible in the bottom-left):
SJYek.jpg
now exploiting the old "peto lucem" map (I don't have anything better), I put the above area (approximately) into the white rectangle, and Al Tahtouh neighborhood (approximately) into the red ellipse:
KbzW7.jpg
let's see when this time I'll be able to update
my gosh, I'm reading the defenders have been split into three groups! I know it's hard to believe, am searching for details, but even outwardly pro-Assad Twitter accounts akcnowledged strong attacks, like
Cibb26JVAAESaPu.jpg
(don't ask me what that "island to the left within Government territory" is supposed to mean, but it was retweeted by the account which made up the recapture of Al-Eis Apr 6, 2016
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-359#post-394850
so yes, that's how I'm guessing it's serious in
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this time)
I'll try to take a closer look ... in the meantime Red Russian blogger "El Murid" says
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recent so called successes of the Government against ISIL at
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and soon after at
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just meant ISIL had left small groups to fight to death there, and regrouped to fight the mobile war
 
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