Indian Economics thread.

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Chandragupt

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India hasn't even attempted to solve the issues that plague their manufacturing industry
From the terrible infrastructure and electricity stability, to overly complex labour and land laws, to hindrance import/export/investment laws.

Modi made a lot of noise about how he was going to solve all these issues but seems like progress has stalled due to politics.

Add up india's natural disadvantages in geography and political environment (lack of resources, extreme clinate, regional instability, hindu muslim riots) and it's easy to see why India will still lag in manufacturing behind ASEAN and even Africa.
Road Infrastructure and electricity in India has drastically improved in last 10 years
 
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Chandragupt

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The Indian economy tho has a lot of problems that are going to need like the most brilliant problem solving of all time. India needs to do everything all at once somehow.

In defense it needs to develop a competitive indigenous industry from scratch while also continuing to modernize at the same time. Its even harder considering Russia/West have learned that technology transfers not good for their competitiveness after their China experience.

It needs to suck up more of those manufacturing Assembly jobs that China is shedding right now while also fending off AESEAN and increasingly now, Africa. As example, Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, Bangladesh have taken the lions share of the decreased Textile manufacturing moving from China, with india taking a whopping 8.3%, def not enough, but at the same time if Indian gov don't protect domestic manufacturer's they will lose elections. India also needs to look in its rearview mirror at Africa as well. African nations are now showing some actual decent stability, and China opened almost 150-300 manufacturing projects in Nigeria alone in 2017. Africa has the unique advantage of being where the resources and the cheap labor are, if African nations can streamline cross border trade and continue infrastructure development, India will look less attractive considering India will have to import all the Raw materials.

Then there is the ongoing issues with Hindu-Muslim, climate change, brain drain etc. Very tough
There are several industrial corridors under construction in India but the one which i am interested in is the Delhi-Kolkata Industrial corridor it will actually increase the trade , tourism and cultural exchange between india and South East and East Asian countries
The Delhi-Kolkata High Speed Rail Corridor is passing via a city in eastern india called Patna which is not far from Nepal , Bhutan , Bangladesh and Myanmar in future they may plan to extend it till Bangkok and Singapore via Bangladesh Myanmar it would be interesting to see it happen
 

Overbom

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It needs to suck up more of those manufacturing Assembly jobs that China is shedding right now while also fending off AESEAN and increasingly now, Africa.
Yeah, no happening..

The whole point of RCEP was for China to offload its low-value industries to the RCEP-countries.
India decided against joining it, so don't expect any significant Chinese-dominated industries to go towards India.


I get why India decided against that, it wants to be its own economic bloc, but the problem for it is that the West has gotten smarter with ToT. If India thinks that it is going to get any significant tech transfers then it will be disappointed.

India becoming China 2 is just India's fantasy
 

NiuBiDaRen

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There are several industrial corridors under construction in India but the one which i am interested in is the Delhi-Kolkata Industrial corridor it will actually increase the trade , tourism and cultural exchange between india and South East and East Asian countries
The Delhi-Kolkata High Speed Rail Corridor is passing via a city in eastern india called Patna which is not far from Nepal , Bhutan , Bangladesh and Myanmar in future they may plan to extend it till Bangkok and Singapore via Bangladesh Myanmar it would be interesting to see it happen
Yes, I heard they are building flying trains in India that levitate 100 miles above and can fly above the road traffic at the speed of light...
 

sdkan

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Yeah, no happening..

The whole point of RCEP was for China to offload its low-value industries to the RCEP-countries.
India decided against joining it, so don't expect any significant Chinese-dominated industries to go towards India.


I get why India decided against that, it wants to be its own economic bloc, but the problem for it is that the West has gotten smarter with ToT. If India thinks that it is going to get any significant tech transfers then it will be disappointed.

India becoming China 2 is just India's fantasy
India decided not to join RCEP due to lack of competitiveness and domestic protectionism.



If India joins RCEP, it will face a flood of Chinese goods,
 

Overbom

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India decided not to join RCEP due to lack of competitiveness and domestic protectionism.



If India joins RCEP, it will face a flood of Chinese goods,
If it won't join RCEP (it didn't) it will also lose out on the manufacturing of the Eastern economic block.

It all depends if Modi's bet will pay off (IMO it won't). East Asia isn't America/West, it is simply moving way too fast for India to ever catch up. When Americans/Europeans work 8 hrs per day, 5 days per week (+ a bazillion other benefits) with crumbling infrastructure, East Asia is working 14 hrs per day, 6-7 days per week with rapidly improving infrastructure in some places, and world-class infrastructure in others.

I really dont think India's bet will pay off. Even if Modi suddenly started making reforms out of the blue, it still won't be able to catch up. And let's not even start talking about ToT. Who is going to provide sufficient ToT to India in order to jump-start its industry?

Also don't forget that China is also hugely investing in Africa. India won't be able to get the sweatshop benefits, never mind coming the 4th Industrial Revolution. Things are looking very bleak for India in the medium-long term

There are other things as well such as low literacy, low education, malnutrition, children suffering from diseases, India focused on services instead of manufacturing, huge unemployment, climate change challenges etc
 

Bellum_Romanum

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I have lived in India Indian Government can’t hide anything from the private media houses which operate their
The data may or may not be accurate but nobody in India actually wants to hide anything they don’t have the culture of hiding
I don’t think that’s the case in China , North Korea or Even Vietnam
We have another retard going in hard on Indians never lies bullshit. Why? because you guys are some kind of immune to lying? Or would shake your heads uncontrollably if you do so? Lol stop with your nonsense bhakt.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
There are several industrial corridors under construction in India but the one which i am interested in is the Delhi-Kolkata Industrial corridor it will actually increase the trade , tourism and cultural exchange between india and South East and East Asian countries
The Delhi-Kolkata High Speed Rail Corridor is passing via a city in eastern india called Patna which is not far from Nepal , Bhutan , Bangladesh and Myanmar in future they may plan to extend it till Bangkok and Singapore via Bangladesh Myanmar it would be interesting to see it happen
Keep dreaming and if it does happen, you'll be in your 80's reminiscing of this fantasy.
 
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