No, I am not. DPP will win another election. That is good enough for them. For DDP, winning another election which translates a little extra cash lining their pockets means everything. With just a little money and some moral support, they have accomplished their goal.
Honestly, if that's accomplishing their goal, that's an incredibly low hanging fruit. If TI is not their purpose, then it's just a joke. Like what is their long term plan even without Independence? Tsai's New Southbound Policy is pretty much seen as a joke. Belt & Road is aiming at many of the same countries with a lot more money on hand. Brain drain is a continued concern as top PRC institutions (academically and corporate) are luring Taiwanese with big paycheques.
Her failure to improve the economic situation will cause the political climate to further deteriorate. Yes, she is being helped by well-timed protesting in HK, but it doesn't solve her fundamental problems, the same problems that got Han elected in Kaohsiung. Today it is veteran's pensions, what is it tomorrow? Healthcare cuts? Education cuts? Probably the two biggest issues next to economy in any country since they have a big impact on quality of life. If quality of life declines, and mainland is offering greater economic opportunities, it will create a permanent downward spiral as the most able to improve the domestic economy leave. I admittedly have no statistical evidence, but I have read countless articles of young Taiwanese EEs start off in Taiwan and then decamp for SZ because of the bigger opportunities (more factories, more connections, more suppliers, etc.)
Granting amnesty equals to kicking the can down the road. As for a special investigation...
It is not kicking the can as I said for the proposal to work, it requires amnesty for HKPF too, just like the ICAC strike.
I get the feeling you are afraid the opposition will continue to unleash the Black Guards for their glorious HK Revolution to destroy the 4 olds (Old government, old people, old schools, old economy). Honestly, if the opposition is willing to do this every time, there is nothing you can do immediately. It takes time.
Reading PanAsian's last post, I think he has the same idea as me. As above, if Donald Tsang and his anti-establishment allies dig such a deep hole, a skillful politician should be able to create an advantage.
In regards to brainwashing, if parents and teachers are silly enough to allow their kids to drink the anti-PRC Kool-Aid, how has no politician been able to point out what a failure the education system has been? The failures are obvious, all you have to do is make one powerpoint slide (Famous global tech companies HQ in SZ: DJI, Huawei, Tencent, BYD. Famous global tech companies HQ in HK: none)