All you guys do a terrible job of ignoring trolls. That chattering puck-head is probably laughing it up.
These idiots really have no idea about the kind of fire they're playing with. Should the stars align and lightning strike twice and they get their wish, what comes after Xi won't be a more liberal government - it would be a far more hard-line government. It would be a revolutionary government with a revolutionary mandate, and it wouldn't think twice about drowning Hong Kong in blood. The horrors inflicted on them would pale their worst lies and most fevered fabrications about Tiananmen.
Jimmy Lie won't experience this firsthand, of course. He'd be safe and sound in whatever Western country he bought a citizenship to with his ill-gotten wealth. But the idiots chanting the slogans his think-tank came up with would definitely experience it.
Of course they are not going to get what they want. But Taiwan DDP already got what they want. As for the US, the best outcome is CCP send in the troops but the situation in HK still gives them enough ammunition to demonic China.
I think ZeEa5KPul makes an excellent point. Any weakness in the mainland government will likely bring hardliners to the front, rather than some imaginary liberal government.Those people stirring the pot do not care about reality. How many HK residents hold secondary citizenships? I don't have any hard numbers, but from my own experience, probably all of those 30-ish age anti-CCP types have US or Canadian citizenship. If the poop hits the fan, they will be on the first 767 out.
Don't worry about ammo to demonize China, troops not needed. US and their allies will say anything to meet their geo-political goals. The WMD lies were created to invade Iraq and how many people have been slaughtered now (though not necessarily by US)? The destruction of stability even gave rise to ISIS, and now they are taking credit for defeating them! It's like unleashing a virus and congratulating yourself for curing it. (This is not to say Sadaam was better, but that's too off topic)
What does DDP have? The presidency? The support of US? The fact that they exist? Again, I think you give them too much credit.
Not sure what you are trying to say here...
I won't speak for PanAsian, but the way I see it, the Western powers choose to spin this as a great victory for themselves, "for democracy", etc. There is a great assumption that the anti-establishment camp is this great force against CCP, but it can likely be sliced into many different factions. Besides the anti-China and anti-CCP types (and simple xenophobes), there are probably those that are just unhappy with Carrie Lam, others that want/ensure greater autonomy and don't care about mainland government, others with local concerns such as preservation of Cantonese.
Last time Donald Tsang bowed to them and did everything they asked him to do. The housing market ended up increasing 5 folds. The so called peaceful anti-establishment groups have already brainwashed two generations of youngsters. You mean that China should let them keep brainwashing another generation of youngsters. There is no peaceful anti-establishment but a group of cowards that manipulate colleges and high schools students to riot but send their own children away to keep them from participating in the riots...
...Unless the central government is prepared to send in the troops or meet every demands the rioters ask for, allowing a special investigation committee is probably the dumbest thing the central government can do.
I wouldn't count out an investigation committee as stupid. It can be a clever political maneuver, similar to South Africa Truth and Reconciliation commission. Rioters can be granted amnesty, but Police won't face charges either. That would be the condition of the investigation. I don't think Carrie Lam is skilled enough to pull it off, but that can work.
The central government holds all the cards. If the strongest anti-establishment groups want independence, they will need to fight, but they have no weapons, no training, probably not even majority support for something that radical. If they want direct elections of LegCo and CE, again, central government can dictate terms on that.
How truly important are the politics to them? China would have collapsed in 80's if politics are people's main concern. You can keep brainwashing the kids, something like refusing to learn Mandarin, and what will happen? The kid can't even get a job at a bank, a hotel, or even McDonald's. They can hate PRC and go work where as the HK economy declines? Taiwan? Sorry, no mandarin skills again, plus wages are bad there. Singapore? Sorry, your English skills and education are worse compared to expats (Anecdotally, I feel that the not-so-great-even-in-colonial-times English skills in HK have actually declined). Don't even dream of US or Canada.