Hong Kong....Occupy Central Demonstrations....

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Interesting post, Franklin. You're right that economic anxiety has played a large role in these protests. Hong Kong's economy has boomed since 1997. But the perception among a large part of the city is the benefits have flowed to a small group of tycoons rather than them.

However, consider that students, even secondary and high school students, are playing a leading role in the current protests. They are too young to remember what things were like before 1997, or worry about inflation or jobs or housing prices. Sure they hear about those things from their parents, teachers, and the news but it's not something they've experienced, and we know that personal experience is the most powerful motivation.
That age group also happens to be the easiest to manipulate. Their needs of finding social acceptance among their peers discourages any sort of independent thinking.

There's a sense that Hong Kong is under threat by the PRC. Hong Kongers genuinely feel they are different from the PRC culturally, politically, economically, linguistically, and they want to keep it that way. Occupy Central cite forcing HK to go into debt to fund the high speed rail link and the effort to put pro-communist propaganda into schools are examples of Beijing encroaching on HK.
People in Hong Kong have been conditioning themselves to oppose anything that is China for the past two decades, while turning a blind eye to China's accomplishments from the same time period. HK people's constant needs of bringing up 1989 to instill fear in the territory is your classical definition of propaganda, which also shows these people's mind set are still stuck in a different era. Their opposition to a more balanced view of China in HK's education system is a sign of their intolerance to views other than their own.


In my opinion these threats are exaggerated. Beijing has done a remarkable job in staying hands-off in HK since 1997. The PLA garrison is invisible and the Chief Executives have continued the policies of the pre-1997 governors. They even introduced a minimum wage which the left has wanted for a long time. Unemployment has been low, the stock market has boomed, and the currency has been stable. Freedoms of the press, religion, and demonstration (up to now, remember the annual Tiannamen Square Massacre memorials?) have been unaffected by the handover. The other economic issues like rising cost of living are to economic policies, or lack of them, from the Hong Kong government rather than anything Beijing is telling HK.
I am glad you recognize this.

Still, that is an argument for more democracy in HK. As long as Beijing plays a strong role in choosing the Chief Executive, HKers will fear more Beijing meddling. Beijing's policy can change. Just because they've been hands off on HK up to 2014 doesn't mean they always will be. Officially-recognized true democracy is a both guarantee against future Beijing meddling and a way to solve current economic problems. That's why HKers are in the streets this week.
China has the guaranteed rights of calling the last shot in HK. This is written in HK's constitution. The current argument for more democracy in HK is fallacious to begin with, because it is based on quoting a few characters out of an entire article from the constitution.

To all those who say the police should immediately crack down on the demonstrations, would you feel the same with the 1919 May 4 Movement in Beijing? How about when Russians protested against the Tsar in March 1917 and the Tsar ordered his soldiers to open fire? How about when gangsters suppressed the communist uprising in Shanghai in 1927? How about when Iranians protested the Shah in 1979 and the Shah ordered his soldiers to open fire? How about South Korean union workers protested the South Korean military dictator in the 1980s?

Public demonstrations and civil disobedience are the peaceful tools of last resort for mass movements in un-democratic societies. In lieu of free and fair elections they are the only way for a large part of the population to show their strength and effect change. The only thing left after that is armed revolt.

Public demonstrations played a huge role in the decolonization of India, Algeria, and other countries. It's ironic to see communists and their apologists preaching the law and order gospel of the regimes they overthrew when they were revolutionaries not so long ago, and agitated for the right of the people to strike and protest. It seems like communists are for the right to protest when it is they who are protesting, but against it when it is someone else.

When do large demonstrations turn violent? Usually when the police and/or army attack them and people are forced to run and defend themselves. Tear gas, pepper spray, and batons are violence and they hurt people. Shooting a tear gas grenade into a ground is extremely dangerous because it can cause a stampede which can crush to death anyone who trips and falls. If you don't want people to get hurt, don't use those weapons. Sometimes in anti-globalization, anti-capitalism protests in the West there are anarchists who start smashing shops but Hong Kong does not have that problem.
Why did police fire tear gas? Because people tried to lay siege the government headquarter, as well as trying to hold the entire territory hostage. If people don't want to get hurt, then they should not be participating in unreasonable actions.
 

SampanViking

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No doubt that the economic factors are the primary factors driving this, but it is underpinned by an prevalent social attitude.

It is a sad fact (one I know only too well from experience) that many Hong Kongers have an snobby view of themselves with regard to mainlanders. They are in fact, in many ways, an Insular Island people by attitude.

Maybe forty or fifty years ago, this attitude may have been justified and I would have expected to see it as prevalent in the respective generations. It is disappointing therefore to see that many of the young are no better today.

I suppose in many respects, this is the expression of the erosion of HK confidence in their superiority, mainly through the daily demonstration of the fact that this attitude is increasingly unjustified and indeed some parts of the mainland will be able to look down on them in exactly the same way.
Seen from that perspective, this ill is a problem that's time has come and a fang that needs to be pulled.

On the other side though, I also know full well that commitment to the cause may not be as solid as it may at first appear. When I was that age I often went to demo/protest events. Not because I cared passionately about any cause (most of the time I did not have a clue) I went because it was fun, a good party and damn good way to meet and pick up girls. I would guess a lot of kids are mainly there for that and of course to be seen to be there ;)
 

AssassinsMace

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Re: Chinese General news resource thread

The only reason Hong Kong has been booming since 1997 as they say is because of China and it's boom. Don't believe Hong Kong's success is independent. To the run up to the handover, all the stories were how Hong Kong was so powerful and important to China that it was going to change China. Well that didn't happen and that's how Hong Kong lost its identity which is why Hong Kongers have been trying to separate and create their own identity. Because they didn't lead China now they're just one in a crowd of a billion. Must be very disappointing and a big letdown after all that hype.

A tactic of colonialism is divide and conquer. If there were an outright rebellion of an entire population, colonialists will have problems throughout the long run. So the tactic was to take a fraction of the population and give them privileges others didn't get. And then the colonialist would create an identity for them as to identify they were also superior to the others. That way this privileged class would fight to maintain their superiority and privileges thus helping to maintain the colonial system while everyone else stopped concentrating their anger and hate of the colonial master to now the people getting privileges they're not getting.

You saw that in Africa. Every border in Africa was drawn up by colonialism. Before that there were hundreds of different nations in Africa. So when it came up to the communists and the Cold War forcing the Europeans to decolonize countries they conquered, they still needed to have some measure of control over their former colonies. So what they did was pick a small minority in the country that use to be a small nation before colonialism and better yet hated by most of the others and give them the country to rule. That way they would always have to run to their colonial master for help when trouble happened. Why is there so much violence in Africa? It's rooted in colonialism lumping all of them into one country and then giving all the power to one ethnicity to rule them all.

You saw that in Hawaii before it became a state when sugar cane plantations needed to import labor from Asia. They would bring in a new ethnic group to work in the fields and when poor working conditions would take their toll and tensions would rise between planation owners and the workers, a new group from a different ethnicity would be shipped in and they would get all the demands the previous group of workers wanted. Thus rivalry between old and new workers would spring up and the anger towards plantation owners would now turn on the new group. Then when just as anger would start to turn back to the plantation owners, they would ship in an entirely new ethnic group of workers and the whole thing would start over again.

This whole situation happening in Hong Kong is just to deflect away from the problems of what colonialism caused in this world. When you see those Hong Kongers waving British flags, they're telling the world colonialism wasn't as evil as advertised. It was in fact preferable. Why do you think you see people saying slavery was best thing to ever happen to Africans. What are they looking as a reference? The conditions caused by colonialism in the first place. There was colonialism before slavery.

Read all the stories about China especially after the 2008 Western financial crisis. It's all about how horrible in general China is a place to live. Why is that? Because China faired better than Western countries after 2008. That put it out there whether it was true or not that China might have a better system and that could cause a rebellion of sorts to change the system that enriches and protects the top even at hard times. There was never a viable challenger to the Western system. Remember how they said if the US sneezes every other country catches a cold? The 2008 financial crisis... China defied that belief and that scared them. That's why everything now is about how horrible China is a place to live. The news of Alibaba scares them. A company that the literal vast majority of Western consumers never heard of being the biggest IPO ever? It doesn't need them to be successful. And Wall Street is scared because in the near future this could mean tons of money going to Chinese companies not Western ones. That's as scary as China not catching anything when the US sneezes. So expect a lot of bashing in the long run.




There are a lot of expats in HK. Where did you even get this from.

A lot of expatriates left Hong Kong after the handover because of the scary predictions Hong Kongers were putting out there like tanks rolling and people being shot in the streets as China took over. It was until those predictions turned out to be wrong expatriates started returning.
 

Blitzo

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On the other side though, I also know full well that commitment to the cause may not be as solid as it may at first appear. When I was that age I often went to demo/protest events. Not because I cared passionately about any cause (most of the time I did not have a clue) I went because it was fun, a good party and damn good way to meet and pick up girls. I would guess a lot of kids are mainly there for that and of course to be seen to be there ;)

+1
My mother and all her classmates in university at the time went to TAM in 1989 because of the re nao and the solidarity, most of them had no idea what they were actually protesting about.

Although I'll say in this case, the protesters are all bound by an emotional dislike (putting it mildly) for China, and Chinese MLers as well to an extent.
They value their sense of identity, whatever that is. I don't want to say it is snobbery and a sense of superiority towards MLers so as to not offend air superiority and other HKers here, but there is a hierarchy (justified or not) that comes into it.
And of course, "free XYZ from China" is like the fast food of democracy/human rights movements; easily consumable, but very little substance.

But that's why I think, commitment might be a little stronger here than other movements. We'll see how long they can maintain their peaceful presence, especially if the government basically ignores their demands.

---

I wonder if Beijing is micromanaging the police response at all. In either case, the authorities have been remarkably lenient.
 
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Blitzo

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From WSJ...

"Few police and almost none wearing riot gear were seen near the protesters, who were inundated with food, water and protective gear by supporters. There appeared to be no central organizing authority. "If I must name a leader of the movement, it is Hong Kong itself," said Amy Wong, a university student who said she joined protests out of anger at the tactics used by police."

463px-Facepalm.png
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
It is a sad fact (one I know only too well from experience) that many Hong Kongers have an snobby view of themselves with regard to mainlanders. They are in fact, in many ways, an Insular Island people by attitude.

I agreed with you there, that's the thing I don't get about. Hong Kongers don't have anything to be snobby about in the first place.:mad::confused:
 

pla101prc

Senior Member
i wonder if the organizers of this this protest had in mind of an endgame, like so many American strategists now insist on as a prerequisite to commit its military. We know for sure that the CCP will not relent, so what do these protesters plan on doing?

If these protesters were banking on their grievance resonating within mainland China, thereby coercing the government into a compromise, they should probably remember that you dont get support from people that you refer to as "grasshoppers" lol.

so i dont know if there is a coherent strategy in place for the protesters.
 

pla101prc

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Re: Chinese General news resource thread

Actually here it is:

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Actually not 500 points, but 1.6%


It's definitely the beginning. Also, the fact that the most critical and tense moment for riot was actually last night when the protests may not be completely organized yet, but now as people get accustomed to things, it's going to be a lot different.

so the protesters are disrupting things for the sake of disrupting things...I cant see how the CCP has any incentive to acquiesce to the protesters' demands? anything they are doing is simply harming Hong Kong itself...i highly doubt an artificial political crisis that resolves nothing will do any good to Hong Kong's economy.
 
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