Taiwan can say bye-bye to all their advanced industries they have built over that time period. Regardless of the end outcome, it will be the end of Taiwanese economy forever if the war starts. Are they ready for that? I have huge doubts.
Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
- Thread starter sndef888
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Like I said about them cakes and all that..plus, politicians regardless of ideology are creatures that loves to talk out of both sides of their mouths.
It is prime pineapple real estate. What are you even talking about.
This Pelosi trip, on one level, I find hilarious.
Why is Pelosi, and by extension, the US government, trying to make such a big deal out of it?
In the end, if she actually visits Taiwan, and leaves, that is it. China and Taiwan still there.
The salami slicing arguments are very weak, and makes little sense.
Does this Pelosi visit salami slice the PLA military to be weaker? Is Taiwan military strong now? No. The situation on that front remains the same.
Mainland China and Taiwan used to be a political question and military question. Today it is mostly a military question.
After this visit, if it actually happens, the PRC will feel it has a free hand to do whatever it wants to do.
After all, Pelosi invited herself to Taiwan. The PRC will invite itself to change the status quo.
Why is Pelosi, and by extension, the US government, trying to make such a big deal out of it?
In the end, if she actually visits Taiwan, and leaves, that is it. China and Taiwan still there.
The salami slicing arguments are very weak, and makes little sense.
Does this Pelosi visit salami slice the PLA military to be weaker? Is Taiwan military strong now? No. The situation on that front remains the same.
Mainland China and Taiwan used to be a political question and military question. Today it is mostly a military question.
After this visit, if it actually happens, the PRC will feel it has a free hand to do whatever it wants to do.
After all, Pelosi invited herself to Taiwan. The PRC will invite itself to change the status quo.
They need China scare to consolidate their hold over Europe that is why the US puppets in Brussels are already planning the sanction packages. The US wants to create an exclusive domain(market) where the US will do all the higher added value production and the US will also provide the grain and meat because the rest of Europe will be cash cropping. That is probably why European food farmers productivity can go down. I wouldn't be surprise that in 2050s Europe will become like a big Sri Lanka etc.
Well the US does have three carrier battlegroups in place (one super carrier plus two LHAs carrying F-35Bs) in place, but having two LHAs as opposed to super carriers still appear to be an inferior force posture compare to 1996, unless another super carrier arrives within 72 hours. Also, we don't how many submarines are in place for launching tomahawks. In general the US posture appears to be normatively ready for war, but when taking a closer look, there aren't any significant mobilizations for a high-intensity draw out.
On the Chinese side, there are lots of rhetorical warning from the state-owned media outlets (thus, should be taken seriously if history were to be a credible source), but the PLA force posture is even less mobilized than those of the US or Taiwanese side. So far, we have only seen some movements of long-range rocket artilleries and HQ-22/HQ-9 units. We don't even see a general mobilization or large deployment of assets.
These are my confusions.
We should see or consider what the plan is from the PRC.
Stopping Pelosi from visiting, does not achieve too much. We get a few laughs, but that is about it.
In a game like this, there are several rounds. A few more after this, like it is perpetual.
Something is going to change. We just do not know what.
Stopping Pelosi from visiting, does not achieve too much. We get a few laughs, but that is about it.
In a game like this, there are several rounds. A few more after this, like it is perpetual.
Something is going to change. We just do not know what.
This Pelosi trip, on one level, I find hilarious.
Why is Pelosi, and by extension, the US government, trying to make such a big deal out of it?
In the end, if she actually visits Taiwan, and leaves, that is it. China and Taiwan still there.
The salami slicing arguments are very weak, and makes little sense.
Does this Pelosi visit salami slice the PLA military to be weaker? Is Taiwan military strong now? No. The situation on that front remains the same.
Mainland China and Taiwan used to be a political question and military question. Today it is mostly a military question.
After this visit, if it actually happens, the PRC will feel it has a free hand to do whatever it wants to do.
After all, Pelosi invited herself to Taiwan. The PRC will invite itself to change the status quo.
Does Greta shouting "how dare you" at a room of high level politicians actually solve any problems? No. Does it generate a lot of publicity and internet brownie points? Yes.
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