plawolf
Lieutenant General
The author of that piece is a chest thumping moron plain and simple.The author has too much wishful thinking and underestimate the rapid development of the Chinese aviation industry both commercial and military. In addition, being the biggest aviation country in the near future give China enormous leverage and potential. Any real threat to delay or derail Chinese aviation industry would only embolden the domestic industry and self-reliance.
The primary reason Chinese civilian aviation uses imported parts is for economic and certification reasons, with export potential also a factor.
America imposing a ban on civilian aviation exports to China will have the same long term impacts as it’s telecoms focused bans did. In the short term it may cause as headaches, but in the long term, it only serves to accelerate the pace at which China, Europe and the rest of the world develop replacements for American tech exports.
Once those new replacement technologies come online, American tech will be forever locked out and America will only serve to isolate itself and sabotage its own aviation industry.