China's strategy in Korean peninsula
- Thread starter Phead128
- Start date
Blackstone
Brigadier
Sauce for the goose; something for the Blue House to consider in its relation with the White House.
The Chinese side has denied these reports:
"Q: First, the rising likelihood of the six nuclear test by the DPRK coupled with the US dispatch of an aircraft carrier strike group to waters close to the ROK has made the situation on the Peninsula even more intense. What’s China’s comment? Second, it is reported that to prepare for potential emergencies in the DPRK, an additional 150,000 troops were deployed to China’s border with the DPRK. Can you confirm that?
A: About your first question, China has been closely following the developments of the situation on the Korean Peninsula. We believe that, given the current situation, all relevant parties should exercise restraint and avoid activities that may escalate the tension.
As for the second question, I am not aware of that. There were similar reports by the Yonhap News Agency in the past, which were proved groundless and false in the end. I’m wondering where you got this information."
SinoSoldier
Colonel
It's not a big deal if the Chinese deploy foot soldiers or even some armor, as it could simply signal wariness in light of a potential refugee crisis on a scale unseen before on the planet or simply a gesture. When people should start worrying is if they decide to deploy combat aircraft like the J-16 or J-10B to the NK border.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
Combat aircraft don't need to deploy to the boarder, nor would you really want to, as that just puts there where the enemy can hit them on the ground.
Ground troops takes the longest to deploy, so are generally deployed first.
Combat aircraft could fly combat missions over Korean from most Chinese air bases in northeastern China, so would not be needing the symbolic move of deploying to air bases slightly closer to the boarder.
I would also not take the 'denial' to the bank. It is a very 'soft' denial, just saying he was not aware of the deployment.
That does not rule out the possibility of a deployment, as it won't be the first time the Chinese MoD has not kept the Foreign Ministry timely updated about military deployments.
Whether that's just clever use of plausible deniability or a sign of the low status of the Chinese foreign ministry in key national security decisions is a very different question.
The ground troops could just be a routine deployment or a contingency insurance in case Trump gets trigger happy after alol the praise he got domestically for bombing Syria.
It's the PLAN I would watch as a litmus test for if things are really getting dangerous.
If the PLAN North Sea Fleet start to leave port in force, that's when you should really be worried.
AssassinsMace
Lieutenant General
Someone a while ago in here I think posted a cell phone video from a person driving in along a highway in Northeast China where it was full of military vehicles parked on the side of the highway supposedly heading for the border.
i think it's safe to say China has to prepare for anything, even the worst of the worst scenarios. you got a lunatic fat boy in N.Korea and a batshit crazy guy like Trump in the White House. god forbid Trump is going to pull a ''Syria'' stunt on fat boy with his cruise missiles and actually start a full fledge war.
daily caller news article. The US DoD doesnt have evidence of significant troop movements in the china-NK border.
However, there is another story about an article in the global times.
the cache
Has anyone heard of this before?
However, there is another story about an article in the global times.
the cache
Has anyone heard of this before?
My personal view is President Xi is a wise (Confucius cum Sun Tzu - like) Leader who usually takes the "Owlish" approaches to problems. He knows what is good for the world - and for China, US and Asia, including trying to solve the very serious problems that have arisen with North Korea's serious belligerency. The only sensible way to solve the Korean Peninsular dilemma is to NEGOTIATE as suggested by President Xi - but this time it must be really serious with solutions/datelines for whatever is agreed. Lies, BS cannot be tolerated - China, US, hopefully Russia must be the guarantors of Peace after give & take (hopefully win-win solutions) with officially binding outcomes. The alternatives are very serious hostilities or even War involving several parties. Hawkish posturing will only raise temperatures & not solve the problems. No dovish stances or ineffective peaceniks involvement; OR the show of unpredictably as we all have observed by current POTUS who hopefully now appears to be dependent on his more sensible/astute Secretaries of State, Defence & Advisors. "We Ji" Crisis & Opportunity - We should believe in this Chinese sayings.
Blackstone
Brigadier
Former UN Ambassador, John Bolton, said we should "take out" Kim Jong-un and cause the regime to collapse. What a bad idea. I say that because even without the nukes, the Korean People's Army has thousands of artillery pieces within range of Seoul and surrounding area (~20 million people), capable of firing conventional, chemical, and even biological munitions. And then we have the estimated 10 to 20 nukes.
What I want to know from neocons like Bolton is under what circumstances would South Korea allow us to unilaterally restart the Korean War that might escalate into WW3. What's their plan to get support from Americans and allies?
What I want to know from neocons like Bolton is under what circumstances would South Korea allow us to unilaterally restart the Korean War that might escalate into WW3. What's their plan to get support from Americans and allies?