China's SCS Strategy Thread

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
There were rumors that the PH military threatened to coup their government unless they go along with this.
No, that's not true, when Duterte pivot to China the military follow, because they respect him. He was given a easier job because Duterte had done all the Hard and Dirty work, all he had to do is do his homework BUT the allure of clearing his family name and it's associated curse is more important than national interest. A pure Trapo, personal interest first before country and let the American rewrite a favorable history for him and his family.

I gave you an example, earlier on Duterte administration, a certain former American ambassador with the name of Goldberg initiated a color revolution against him, they paid and funded former and current military officials to launch a Maidan type coup, you know what happened, the ordinary soldiers say NO and the officers pocketed the money and resign from services richer. The moral story, when you put your country interest first you can accomplish even the most insurmountable task cause the common Tao will support you.
 
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duskseeker

Junior Member
Registered Member
Whenever the Philippines say they are being bullied by their neighbors just tell them they were the last to claim any of the islands and they did when they were militarily and economically stronger and they did it under the hand of European Colonialism. That's why they exist.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
3 out of 4 new American "Temporary" bases seem to be closer in proximity to Taiwan than the SCS. Perhaps to use as evacuation HQ when China liberates Taiwan next year

What if the Americans are trying to bait China in starting a conflict not over Taiwan but with the Philippines regarding their issue around the Spratlys among others since an attack or potential conflict with the Philippines will be played as a sure sign of China’s imperialistic ambitions that will definitely play the western narrative that China just like Russia has an endless appetite for conquest and destroying the white western rules based order where only western might makes right.

The conflict with Taiwan is in my opinion a very tenuous argument to make that China is somehow breaking some kind of international law when Taiwan itself according to the U.N. is part of China and therefore China's action will not and can't be spin within the context of international law as a defacto invasion. Whereas in the case of the Philippines where most media around the world has played the international court's ruling in favour of the Philippines against China over the disputed Islands the narrative and breaking of international law case will be a lot more potent as well as convincing to the world public court of opinion. Allowing countries in the global north and maybe even in the global south that will join against China's war of aggression.

Maybe it's a sleight of hand that the Americans are trying to do against their Supreme interest and intentions to destroy China's rise and an almost inevitable hegemon within it's periphery. Most of the focus are over Taiwan while the Americans are looking for asymmetry of attack against China's dominant position and military advantages over the potential armed conflict over Taiwan when the actual powder keg of conflict awaiting China is actually the fight against the willing slavish Philippines and its monumental stupidity to be used as the cannon fodder for American design to contain, disrupt, and ultimately destroy China's ascent to the top.
 

ansy1968

Brigadier
Registered Member
China does not need to do anything major. Once their Navy outpaces the US and its allies in the Pacific, not just in surface ships, but also in nuclear attack submarines, things will change.
You're so right bro, China had an Escalatory dominance in the SCS and the TW strait, within 5 years that of the 2nd island chain, instead of retreating to regroup, they think they can delay the inevitable by fighting a delaying action as they re armed. Their pretext is the Pacific War during WW2 their ideal war. They think being Asian, the Chinese will follow the Japanese example by launching an attacking. A Pearl Harbor moment, that is their solution...lol Watching to much Hollywood movie clouded their judgement, because unlike the Japanese, time is on China side with the Blessings of the Gods hehehe
 

Dante80

Junior Member
Registered Member
3 out of 4 new American "Temporary" bases seem to be closer in proximity to Taiwan than the SCS. Perhaps to use as evacuation HQ when China liberates Taiwan next year
I'm willing to bet that China will not be liberating (sic) Taiwan next year. Not that it matters though (what I think, that is).

Also, I don't think that the US is trying to bait (sic) China into starting a conflict with the Philippines. My guess is that they are simply trying to strengthen their position in the region, as per their pivot to Asia strategy.
 
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Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
Philippines war might be the "safe" bet for US.

Trying to claim parts of China is too dangerous and too ambitious. There has never been a case of a nuclear armed superpower invading another one.

It never made much sense to me that US, which has historically been scared of overtly attacking large and especially well connected countries, would do such a move such as actually using ROC separatists as an excuse to invade China.

But the current Philippines is in no shape to take in China, not even with full US involvement. Not only do they utterly lack weapons and tech, but morale wise, they have no real reason to want war either. It would be a very long term project for US.
 
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