China's Defense/Military Breaking News Thread

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Chilled_k6

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The US Navy VLS number must be between 10,000 units. As approximately 60% of the US Navy is headquartered in INDOPACOM, there are approximately 6,000 VLS units available to the US in the Pacific.

If you stated that the number of VLS for the PLAN should be at 2700 units, that would represent a little less than half of the number of VLS available to the Chinese, which makes the difference absurdly smaller. This assessment is true, because the US Navy will never place all ships in a single geographic area, they have the doctrine of fighting two wars at the same time, and the threat of Russia and Iran among others alone is a reason keep 40% of the remaining fleet in the rest of the world.

PLAN = 2700 VLS
US Navy = 6000 VLS

But yes. The number of everything does not represent everything.

Sticking with the surface fleet component, I would add that the non-VLS launchers (is. Slant launchers) probably number about 1600 for the PLAN. Most of the US fleet would be Mark 41 VLS, although there will be some older units that are non-VLS and a handful of LCS iirc, which is starting to be equipped with launchers for NSM.

Not going to expand the post too much but the PLA focuses a lot on their landbased missile units, and of course maritime strike from the air which you have included for the US in yours.
 

BoraTas

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Horrendous article. Absolutely horrendous. The combined VLS number of just the current 055 and 052D fleet exceeds 1950. Then there is the common myth of China's food insecurity. These two take less than 5 minutes for a normal civilian to fact check if he wants. The general narrative being pushed on is basically "arms races prevent wars", a claim I never heard of from any sane person. Look at the analogies:
"When we drive to the bakery to buy bread before it closes, we don’t intend to have a road accident, but we risk it."
And claims:
"This brinkmanship crisis is what happened between the United States and Soviet Union during the Cuban Missile Crisis. However, crises are more psychological than tangible."
"The arms race, or its absence, did not cause the Cuban Missile Crisis."
 

Suetham

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and going by the 60% rule, ~2700 anti ship weapons are more than enough to wipe out the entire PLAN, from carries to missile boats. which means if PLAN wants to "break free" of the 1st island chain, it needs to at least match or exceed this number.
I would say that suprasoft can still be achieved in the First Chain of Islands even though it is numerically inferior in terms of anti-ship missiles, but if the PLAN wants to advance to the Second Chain of Islands, it necessarily needs greater firepower.
 

Suetham

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Sticking with the surface fleet component, I would add that the non-VLS launchers (is. Slant launchers) probably number about 1600 for the PLAN. Most of the US fleet would be Mark 41 VLS, although there will be some older units that are non-VLS and a handful of LCS iirc, which is starting to be equipped with launchers for NSM.

Not going to expand the post too much but the PLA focuses a lot on their landbased missile units, and of course maritime strike from the air which you have included for the US in yours.
I can try to make a more realistic analysis of this comparison possible, but it will give me a lot of hard work to complete, this week with the holiday season, I can try to build this attempt at US Navy x PLAN firepower.
 

Suetham

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The ARG Essex comprising the ships USS Essex(LHD-2), USS Portland(LPD-27) and landing ship USS Pearl Harbor(LSD-52) and the 11th MEU left the Middle East last week after operating in region since late September, according to USNI News' Fleet and Marine Tracker.

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On the night of January 11, the "Essex" group passed through the Strait of Malacca between the Malay Peninsula and Sumatra in the waters of the South China Sea, it is worth noting that the American Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyers USS O'Kane and USS Murphy, also performed with the "Essex" lineup this time around. According to satellite images, the battle group from the aircraft carrier Carl Vinson entered the South China Sea at 11:00 am on 11 January. It now appears that the previous battle group of the US aircraft carrier "Carl Vinson" has ended in Guam. It is very likely that the amphibious formation of the "Essex" that came to the South China Sea for activities in Philippine waters is waiting for the amphibious formation of the "Essex" in the South China Sea.

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Suetham

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The ARG Essex comprising the ships USS Essex(LHD-2), USS Portland(LPD-27) and landing ship USS Pearl Harbor(LSD-52) and the 11th MEU left the Middle East last week after operating in region since late September, according to USNI News' Fleet and Marine Tracker.

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On the night of January 11, the "Essex" group passed through the Strait of Malacca between the Malay Peninsula and Sumatra in the waters of the South China Sea, it is worth noting that the American Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyers USS O'Kane and USS Murphy, also performed with the "Essex" lineup this time around. According to satellite images, the battle group from the aircraft carrier Carl Vinson entered the South China Sea at 11:00 am on 11 January. It now appears that the previous battle group of the US aircraft carrier "Carl Vinson" has ended in Guam. It is very likely that the amphibious formation of the "Essex" that came to the South China Sea for activities in Philippine waters is waiting for the amphibious formation of the "Essex" in the South China Sea.

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The Reference News Network reported on Jan. 14. According to Hong Kong's "South China Morning Post" website published on January 13, the United States has sent an aircraft carrier battle group and an amphibious assault ship battle group to the South China Sea, which has the potential to add fuel to fires in hot spots. Previously, the Chinese aircraft carrier Shandong conducted training in the South China Sea.

The aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson and the amphibious assault ship USS Essex, as well as their respective frigates, entered the southern waters of the South China Sea on Tuesday night, according to the Strategic Sea Situational Awareness Project. of South China, a think tank.

The US Navy has yet to announce its plans, but the two main strike groups are expected to likely conduct joint operations, the report said.

According to reports, the two US aircraft carrier battle groups conducted exercises in the South China Sea in July 2020 and February 2021, respectively. In October 2021, the carrier battle group "Carl Vinson" and the Japanese helicopter carrier "Kaga" also conducted a joint exercise in the South China Sea.

The Beijing Winter Olympics and Lunar New Year are just weeks away, when China will want to avoid escalating military tensions in its backyard.

According to reports, last week, the amphibious warfare group USS Essex ended a three-and-a-half-month mission in the Middle East, crossing the Strait of Malacca from the Indian Ocean and reaching the South China Sea.

The report pointed out that the amphibious battle group "Essex" includes the amphibious transport dock "Portland" and the landing ship "Pearl Harbor". The 11th Marine Expeditionary Team and Amphibious Squadron also accompanied the army to the South China Sea.

According to a report by Taiwan's New Head Shell website on January 12, according to the news released by the "South China Sea Strategic Situational Awareness Plan" on the 12th, the US aircraft carrier, the of amphibious assault ships and several destroyers are entering the South China Sea from two different directions. Join forces and conduct joint operations in the South China Sea.

According to reports, the amphibious assault ship USS Essex entered the South China Sea via the Straits of Malacca late on the 11th. Two other destroyers were also operating with the amphibious formation.

The report also said that on the morning of the 11th, the strike group from the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson appeared in waters off eastern Malaysia and this time entered the South China Sea via the Balabac Strait.
 

Suetham

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Part 1:

World aerospace defense in 2022

Looking to 2022, the development trend of world aerospace defense will be stable, and key key areas will pursue innovation while maintaining stability. Active models will continue to be improved and updated, and new research projects will continue to innovate and develop.

The pace of hypersonic weapons development is accelerating

USA:

In January this year, the Biden administration of the United States will launch the administration's first comprehensive national security and defense strategy, and "strategic competition" will officially replace the "great power competition" theme proposed during the Trump administration. The US Department of Defense will also release new versions of the Nuclear Posture Review and Missile Defense Review to guide the direction of US defense development in the coming period.

This year will be the year of US hypersonic weapons. The Air Force's first hypersonic weapon will have initial operational capabilities this year (AGM-183A). The Army's first hypersonic weapon will soon launch a system-wide launch test (LRHW). New long-standing projects will also reveal their true colors.

In addition, the US air-launched rapid-response weapon AGM-183A, which has suffered three consecutive losses, is facing unprecedented pressure. According to the US Air Force's previous plan, the AGM-183A is expected to reach operational capability in September this year and enter production in 2023, so fast-paced test flights must be carried out and success must be assured.

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The US's first Dark Eagle land-based hypersonic missile system is about to receive the LRHW hypersonic missile for its first launch test, with the aim of deploying the first hypersonic missile battery in FY 2023. At the same time, the HACM project of the US hypersonic cruise missile will be officially launched. Compared to the AGM-183A, the HACM has a longer range and smaller size, and can be carried on the B-52 strategic bomber and the F-15E fighter.

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Russia:

This year, the scale of Russia's hypersonic weapons and equipment will be expanded. The first sea-based hypersonic missile, Zircon, will soon be equipped with the army, and many new low-cost miniaturized hypersonic missile models have begun to emerge.

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In late 2021, Zircon completed national weapons completion testing and will soon enter service with the Russian Navy. At the same time, Russia plans to upgrade the "Bastion"(K-300P) system as a land-based deployment platform for the Zircon launch, forming a ship, submarine and land-based deployment platform. Coordinated three-dimensional hypersonic anti-ship capability.

Although Russia's first Avangard hypersonic missile regiment only saw combat in 2019, Russia has begun to develop alternative models, hoping to develop a new generation of hypersonic weapons when the opponent finds a countermeasure against the Avangard and continues to maintain the advantage of leadership. Furthermore, the sharp hypersonic missiles that Russia will test this year will also be smaller in weight and size than existing hypersonic missiles.

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South Korea:

Following the release of North Korea's first hypersonic missile launch video in September 2021, South Korea also announced the Hycore, the first hypersonic anti-ship missile under development, in late 2021 and announced that it will begin a test flight. this year.

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Ballistic missile development seeks innovation while maintaining stability

In addition to hypersonic missiles, the world's ballistic missile development this year will continue to pursue innovation while maintaining stability. Russia's Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile will conduct flight tests, and the first missile regiment will begin combat service later in the year. The new generation of Russia's "Cedar" intercontinental ballistic missile was included in the national equipment development plan in 2027. It is currently in the research and demonstration phase, and is expected to be transferred to the experimental design phase from 2023 to 2024.

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Russia plans to equip these two types of ICBMs with Avangard hypersonic warheads in the future, and the United States also intends to mount hypersonic warheads on the ICBM's new "land-based strategic deterrent system".
 

Suetham

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Part 1:
Part 2:

All US "Next Generation Interceptor" contractors completed the system requirements review ahead of schedule, and the project has entered the early stage of system design, laying a solid foundation for delivery through 2028.

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Tactical missiles are gaining strength

This year, the world's tactical missiles will continue to maintain a strong development momentum, emphasizing the capability of medium and long-range precision strikes outside the defense zone. The U.S. "Rapid Dragon" project will use the C-17 transport aircraft to conduct the palletized live fire test of air-to-ground missiles this spring and strive to transform it from a developmental prototype into an operational prototype within two years.

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Northrop Grumman's denial of access/area missile is on the cusp of its maiden flight, a missile that meets key requirements of the US Air Force's Standoff Attack Weapons program. The Joint Standoff Air-Surface Missile is about to perform the B-2 bomber integration test. The US "Integrated Air and Missile Defense Combat Command System" is expected to be equipped with the first system this year.

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Competition for unmanned systems intensifies

This year, competition in the field of unmanned systems in the world will become increasingly fierce. The US MQ-25A carrier-based unmanned tanker will conduct a series of carrier-mounted flight tests and is expected to form combat capabilities in 2024.

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The US Air Force's "Long Shot" program will complete preliminary designs and undergo review this summer. The "Gremlins" project will continue to conduct aerial drone recovery experiments.

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The Russian Orion drone will be delivered to its first foreign user this year, making it the first Russian drone model to be exported abroad. According to Russian media reports, there are currently more than 20 potential foreign users of this drone.

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Suetham

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Part 3:

This year, several unmanned wingman projects will achieve breakthroughs. The US B-21 stealth strategic bomber is expected to make its first public appearance and make its first flight in the middle of the year. The "loyal wingman" unmanned autonomous fighter fighting alongside him has been identified as classified by the US Air Force, and the likelihood of public disclosure this year is very slim.

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The UK is counting on the "Mosquito" project to develop an unmanned wingman that will cooperate with the next-generation "Typhoon", F-35B and "Storm" fighter jets in the future. Russia's new Hunter heavy stealth unmanned attack aircraft is expected to make its maiden flight this year.

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In addition, Russia's nuclear-powered Poseidon unmanned submarine vehicle is scheduled to be deployed to the Arctic this summer to improve the Russian Navy's deterrence capabilities.

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The US "Manta Ray" project is also about to launch a large-scale integrated unmanned underwater vehicle manufacturing and underwater demonstration test.

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Rapid development of laser weapons

In recent years, the rapid development of laser weapons with Israel, the United States and France conducted many air, sea and land tests. The US Army plans to deploy an air defense platoon in Europe this year, equipped with four directed energy mobile air defense systems launch vehicles.

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The French Navy's Helma-P laser weapon system will also be tested.

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In short, this year the world's military powers will focus on artificial intelligence, electronic rebirth plans and other technical directions, and build multi-level and multi-range systems through hypersonic weapons upgrade, strategic missile replacement, missile upgrade assets and the development of new missiles. The firepower system deserves everyone's attention.
 

Suetham

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Geopolitics in 2022 and implications for China

In 2022, the military game of great powers will get more intense


Today, century-old changes and the epidemic of the century are intertwined and overlapping, and the instability and uncertainty faced by the international security environment has increased significantly. In this context, major powers such as Russia, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany and India have accelerated their military transformation, focusing on key areas to enhance their "edge warfare" capabilities. The year 2022 could become a year when the military game between the great powers becomes more intense.

Strategic weapons take priority

The military game of the great powers is above all a struggle for strategic dominance, and the importance of nuclear weapons in shaping the strategic situation is evident. In 2022, the field of nuclear weapons will still be the focus of the military struggle between Russia and the United States and other great powers. Hypersonic weapons as a weapon to bring about war will become the focus of military technology competition between the great powers.

Unlike the Cold War period, nuclear weapons competition between major powers today pays more attention to advances in the quality of weapons. By 2022, the United States will invest $27.8 billion in nuclear weapons projects, plans to buy Columbia-class strategic nuclear submarines, fly B-21 strategic bombers for the first time, and upgrade nuclear command, communication, and early warning systems;

Russia follows the concept of "key advance, projection priority", will be equipped with 1 Borei-A-class nuclear submarine and 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers, equipped with 21 sets of new ballistic missile systems, and the level of modernization of the strategic nuclear arsenal is expected to exceed 90%. The UK and France will also strengthen their nuclear weapons build as planned this year, or develop new strategic nuclear submarines, or expand the number of nuclear warheads or test new ballistic missiles, seeking to further strengthen their nuclear forces through these measures.

As a leader in hypersonic weapons technology, Russia will deploy the sea-based hypersonic cruise missile "Zircon" this year and will continue to develop new hypersonic missiles such as the "Sharp". The United States plans to invest $3.8 billion this year to develop hypersonic weapons with the unconventional idea of "strengthening the forces of the three armed forces" to catch up with Russia. France, the UK and Japan are also advancing in the research and development of hypersonic weapons. These signs indicate that modern warfare is accelerating in the "seckill" era.

Conventional power upgrade and acceleration

The basis of the great powers military game is to win modern wars, and keeping the forefront of conventional weapons and equipment is an important prerequisite for winning modern wars. In 2022, major powers such as Russia and the United States will accelerate the upgrade of key battle equipment.

The United States will focus on upgrading weapons and equipment in the navy and air force. The U.S. Navy will accelerate the upgrade and installation of weapons and equipment such as Ford-class aircraft carriers, Virginia-class nuclear submarines and F-15EX fighter jets, as planned, and build a state-of-the-art maritime and air equipment system centered on new aircraft carrier platforms and fifth-generation aircraft; Russian military equipment upgrades are in full swing, the army is expected to install more T-14 tanks, the navy will receive 16 large combat ships, the aerospace force and navy will receive more than 200 new or improved aircraft;

The UK will accelerate the equipping of a new generation of "Boxer Dog" armored vehicles, India will continue to promote the real combat deployment of its first domestic aircraft carrier, and Japan will continue to purchase F-35B and upgrade the "Izumo" aircraft carrier.

In the field of electromagnetic spectrum, the US military's building focus this year is to promote the Air Force's electronic warfare project and the Navy's "low-band jammer" project, and further optimize the electronic warfare process through Exercises; the Russian army will receive new electronic warfare equipment, improve the level of automation of the electronic warfare system, and improve the integrated system of electronic warfare equipment at the tactical and strategic level; the British Army will upgrade the electronic warfare systems of the Type 45 destroyers and the Type 26 and Type 31 frigates. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces will continue to promote the combat effectiveness training of the newly created "301st Electronic Warfare Squadron".

Attach importance to the development of smart technology and unmanned equipment

Ultimately, the military game of great powers is a competition of military strength, and the strength of military strength is closely related to the level of science and technology. In today's era, a new round of world scientific and technological revolution and military revolution is accelerating, and the form of warfare is accelerating to intelligent evolution. In order to win future wars, Russia, the United States and other major countries have increased investment in scientific research, researched smart technology, developed unmanned equipment, and explored man-machine coordinated tactics.

The US military prioritizes smart technologies represented by artificial intelligence, machine learning and big data applications, and various military services have launched a variety of smart technology projects. This year, the US military plans to invest $874 million in research and development funds to promote the application of intelligent technology in intelligence, prosecution, logistics, network defense and other fields. The Russian military is currently working on more than 150 artificial intelligence projects. This year, it will focus on adapting smart software for different weapons platforms and doubling its combat effectiveness through smart empowerment. The militaries of France, the UK, India and other countries have also strengthened research into artificial intelligence technology, trying to apply this technology more widely in the areas of intelligence reconnaissance, auxiliary decision making and network security.

In the field of man-machine coordinated operations, the US military is the first to explore and has a certain pioneering advantage. This year, the US military plans to organize the first enterprise-level combat test of unmanned armored forces, explore ways for fifth-generation aircraft to cooperate with unmanned reconnaissance aircraft and drone swarms, and promote coordinated reconnaissance execution, submarine and mine-sweeping tasks between manned and unmanned ships. The Russian army is rapidly advancing in the field of man-machine coordinated operations. This year, continuing to promote the systematic construction of unmanned aerial vehicles and unmanned vehicles, will promote the integration of unmanned equipment into the manned combat system as soon as possible. In addition, French and British troops are also actively exploring man-machine coordinated tactics in military operations such as urban operations.

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