2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?

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Randomuser

Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
Chevalier said:
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2031875226498449899

ladies and gentlemen, I am pleased to announce The Naxalites have entered the building.

naxalites are an Insurgent group in India inspired by maoism and guerilla warfare, it was an issue in the 2000s for India but quietened down, but seems like cells have been activated.
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Just coz these guys and Hezbollah went quiet doesn't mean they were eliminated. Smart groups would actually take advantage of peacetime to develop their infrastructure, manpower etc which they couldn't do long term when active.
 
S

supersnoop

Colonel
Registered Member
tankphobia said:
Looking at the Iranian Navy being sunk without really doing much of anything at great expense to Iran, with the rocket force and drone force making a good showing of themselves, I wonder why'd they even bother building boats beyond those suicide speed boats in the first place.

Even in a perfect scenario where Iran initiated hostilities with a fully prepared Navy, what did they really expect those boats to do?
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If we recall the late 90's/early 00's, there was this idea that you could spam FACs armed with AShMs and annihilate a blue-water navy. The epitome of this was the "Millennium Challenge 2002".

When the PLAN unveiled the 022 in this era, it looked like they were going all in on this kind of strategy. The LCS ships for the USN were designed to combat these threats.

However, both USN and PLAN learned the same thing, small boats are easy pickings for something like aircraft as they lack effective self defense armament and are too small to mount extensive electronics which limits their sensor range. As such, LCS is dead and 022 is doing patrols well away from the Taiwan strait. Clearly the fate of the Iranian Navy is simply confirmation of the conclusion.
 
Phead128

Phead128

Major
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
tankphobia said:
That's why I think eventually there will be a negotiated settlement or even a return to status quo, just as much as the US is not willing to see global oil flow grind to a halt, I really don't think the fevour is high enough in Iran that they will put themselves through the meat grinder just to fight the US to self annihilation. (Not talking about IRGC here, carpet bombing of cities is still a distinct possibility to force capitulation)
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Can you name a war where carpet bombing of cities led to force capitulation? Non-nuclear bombings of cities that lead to forced capitulation?
 
lych470

lych470

Junior Member
Registered Member
another505 said:
Is simple, the media barely covers Iran successes with Israel and gulf states have bans on reporting the attacks with the stupid reason that they want iran to see how successful the attacks are like they don't have 3rd party satellite images for that...

Main stream media and even TWZ spends 95 percent of the time on the live update regurgitating what US officials are saying as news update. They report so many successes and how close they are winning. The often quoted statistic that Iran is down by 90 percent of ballistic missile strike since the first day . No shit, the first day they were all prepared to fire a big ass volley. Now they only need a few to get through, they are here for the long haul.


The better military osint have well connected sources on US military actions but they don't have "reliable" sources/links within Israel or Iran.
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Turns out you fire less missiles when your targets are already destroyed. Subscribe for more penetrating insights.
 
Faisal Iqbal

Faisal Iqbal

Junior Member
Registered Member
tankphobia said:
Blackmail what? I'm a nobody on a niche corner of the internet. Neither me malding about Iran or the US will amount to anything.

I'm just pointing out that blocking crucial energy routes actually do affect more than just the US and the West. In fact it will disproportionately affect the global south as the majority of them are nowhere near energy self sufficient and do not have the treasury to fight for what's little is on the market.
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As far as the Iran in the current predicament (its going through), global south can go and eff itself (former colonial outposts who can't break their shackles)
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horse

horse

Brigadier
Registered Member
Serb said:
Iran is literally asserting supremacy over one of the most important strategic straits on Earth, yet America is supposedly "winning" because it can try to mass poison civilians and destroy some civilian infrastructure?

If that is how someone thinks, then their brain is just as primitive as the people running this policy.

In reality, this is the first time in modern history that American bases anywhere, including the region, have been pounded so hard and so persistently.

The first time that not even their soldiers and CIA operatives are safe, not even in hotels, not even during evacuation.

They had to carry out mass embassy evacuations from one of the most important regions in the world.

They were openly admitting that even their own citizens were not safe there, while at the same time struggling to evacuate them properly because the whole situation was sliding toward breakdown. That is not what winning looks like. That is what strategic collapse looks like.
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That is why I am laughing my ass off lately the last couple of weeks!

Haha! Haha! Haha! Haha! :D:D:D

We need more and more of this!

Then we never hear in the mainstream Western media about all American bases in the region being obliviated. That is easily proven by satellite imagery!

Then we see President Trump act like some third generation loser, that is so funny and just feels like the universe is moral at least in this particular instance.

Then on top of all that, we got this deep denial, which makes me laugh even harder! Haha! Haha! Haha! Haha!

At this point, the American Empire is not coming back. Not in the Middle East. They did not rebuild the Maginot Line after World War II. Why bother to rebuild those American bases in the GCC. No added value.

The only value added is some of us laughing our ass off!

:D
 
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