Look at Lebanon, seems to be working out with Hezbollah being slowly ejected from political apparatus and disarmament. This would be unthinkable even a year ago.
You can't chant death to America if you get hit by a laser guided bomb.
2025 Israel - Iranian conflict
- Thread starter Maikeru
- Start date
You can't chant death to America if you get hit by a laser guided bomb.
Lebanon is 50% Christian, plus a huge portion sunni while hazbollah is Shia. They never had control over the whole population. Yes, they had huge influence due to their military power, but that power got degraded. But I won't count out hezbollah yet. They will come back ever stronger in a few years of rebuilding.
Nah, you are wrong. Iran was still a strong United country even before the current isalnists Mullah hijacked the student led revolution to seize power. So all this fears of the country collapsing are unfounded and sounds more like the Mullahs regime propaganda slogans saying without them there will be no Iran. Lol much like the Kim family try to make its people believe without the Kim family leadership there will be no North Korea or like some propaganda want us to believe without Putin there will be no Russia? Lol
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I am no expert in this matter. But maybe don't go solo in everything, be more open and get more 'allies'? They are even not in good terms with close neighbour like Pakistan, which cause big boys like China to be hesitant in lending support. Their only big bro Russia are unreliable and they're too busy with ukraine business.
Do you remember Korean War?
Iran's leadership are as naive as kindergarten kids. They're totally infiltrated. Once China sends some aid, they'll immediately be transferred to Israel & US. China doesn't trust Irani government. Too unreliable.
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Israel probably considers him as a moderating influence on Iranian hardliners. The previous retaliating attacks he ordered were largely ineffective and mostly for show. He's okay with renegotiating with Trump despite Trump tore up the previous nuclear deal. He is also not too keen on nuclear weapons since he issued a fatwa banning nuclear weapons.
Before the Islamists it was a monarchy that kept going for many centuries. There is no monarchy to hold them together now. So they need a new ideology. Shia based Islamic nationhood provided that glue. Otherwise, there is no reason for Azeris, kurds, balochs and Arabs to stay under one unified country dominated by just 50% Persians.
Not yet. They still need get rid of Russia first, and thats not likely happening anytime soon, or ever. Without Russia neutralized, they can only strike china from the west PAC region and would not be able to encircle China. And you bet china is expecting that. They've been expecting it for a long time, ever since 1997 Taiwan strait crisis.
The west may count on India also attacking China from the west, but given India's current debacle and the mountainous terrain, that not likely to be effective.
US bases in west pac, and Japan are the main belligerents. ASEAN will not intervene. Phillipines can try, lol but without US bases, wtf do they have?
India isn't as incompetent as it looks. It defeated Pakistan multiple times in the past while inflicting massive conventional losses on the battlefield.
Yet Pakistan was able to reform and nobody in Pakistan ever thought of being a rat. They were only defeated on the physical battlefield, not the spiritual battlefield. The physical battlefield is temporary. The spiritual battlefield is much less temporary.