Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)
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Our evening news reports new cases as 3000
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
Hahaha, what a cop out. You make claims, someone asks you to demonstrate your reason to support your claims, and your response is you don't need to? LOL You should be on Trump's cabinet! "What's your evidence for your claim?" "You know, it; I know it; everybody knows it! I don't need to show you anything!"
You make a lot of posts here for a guy who thinks his audience's opinions of him are "inconsequential." Sounds like someone who gets all dressed up to go to a party and ends the night with, "You all don't like me? I didn't like any of you anyway! I don't need anybody to like me!" LOL Defense mechanism?
SamuraiBlue
Captain
Well it's going to hit the economy pretty bad I am afraid.
I hear that the central bank is going to inject some money to banks to create fluidly but both supply and demand had plummeted with many manufacturing facilities remain closed with no date in sight when it will re-open that had been directly hit by the virus.
I hear that the central bank is going to inject some money to banks to create fluidly but both supply and demand had plummeted with many manufacturing facilities remain closed with no date in sight when it will re-open that had been directly hit by the virus.
Quickie
Colonel
Looking at the confirmed cases for Hubei, the infection rate is definitely going down. That doesn't necessarily mean that the number of new confirmed cases is going down but it is showing signs of plateauing in the last 3 days.
indeed, the Chinese economy will be devastated this year, remember that ridiculous article from the SCMP that said economic "slowdown" will force China to rethink it's military spending? most of us (including me) dismised it because the Chinese economy was performing quite good, but now? I wouldn't be surprised at all if some military projects & procurment programs will be delayed.
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
What is the meaning of the word, "devastated?" Gimme some numbers cus I don't know what you mean. Is 5% Q1 growth "devastated"? Oh the military projects will be delayed... by about a week or 2 as they are extending New Year break time. What kind of delay, in terms of numbers, are you foreseeing?
Jura The idiot
General
Saturday at 8:22 PM
what's happened Saturday at 8:22 PM
I used something simple to guess the next time-points, and solved for an inflection point (which was there, I mean in my wrong data)
(for the rest
Modelling the spreading rate of controlled communicable epidemics through an entropy-based thermodynamic model ),
but an inflection hasn't been reached even now (February 4)!
now noticed an almost perfect fit:
number of confirmed cases = 10^(-0.00325*DAY^2+0.17919*DAY+2.20562) for DAY from Jan 29 until today (February 4)
it's just an observation, but if this trend holds, it'll be 23878 tomorrow (February 5)
it's already time to say it's going to be many times more on February 13 (I don't say it only to admit my estimate was embarrassingly low, I say it mainly because there may be one-thousand dead :-(
what's happened Saturday at 8:22 PM
I used something simple to guess the next time-points, and solved for an inflection point (which was there, I mean in my wrong data)
(for the rest
Modelling the spreading rate of controlled communicable epidemics through an entropy-based thermodynamic model ),
but an inflection hasn't been reached even now (February 4)!
now noticed an almost perfect fit:
number of confirmed cases = 10^(-0.00325*DAY^2+0.17919*DAY+2.20562) for DAY from Jan 29 until today (February 4)
it's just an observation, but if this trend holds, it'll be 23878 tomorrow (February 5)
Yes, it's incredible isn't it. I've seen quite a few images of people supposed to be dying on the street, but turned out it wasn't. This is just the type of things the world doesn't need right now!