Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

this is interesting if true:

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鐵腕治黨!做不到全心全意為人民服務、及通過人民考核!
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Iron Wrist ruling party! Unable to serve the people wholeheartedly and pass the people's examination!# 337 Communist party cadres in hubei hubei have been dismissed!


now translated using google:
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
People should not make rash judgement and condemn bat eating as the cause of this disease The scientist still undecided as the way this disease is transmitted Just like Ougash said in previous post people with racist inclination will come out the woodwork and join the the chorus to humiliate and dehumanized Chinese here is the excerpt from yahoo news

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Genetic analysis of samples of the virus, called 2019-nCoV, from nine patients revealed it to be closely related to two SARS-like coronaviruses that came from bats.

That
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, published in the The Lancet, suggests that an animal sold at a market in Wuhan could have caught the virus from bats then passed it to humans.

One study suggested that the virus jumped from bats to snakes to humans, but other researchers said that's unlikely.

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snake
Reuters/Bobby Yip

In a peer-reviewed
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published January 22 in the Journal of Medical Virology, a group of researchers in China suggested that snakes were the most likely animals to have passed the virus to humans.

Several other scientists have voiced their disagreement with the assessment, however.

"They have no evidence snakes can be infected by this new coronavirus and serve as a host for it," Paulo Eduardo Brandão, a virologist at the University of São Paulo who is investigating whether coronaviruses can infect snakes, told
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. "There's no consistent evidence of coronaviruses in hosts other than mammals and Aves (birds)."

Virologist Cui Jie, who was on a team that identified SARS-related viruses in bats in 2017, said this strain from Wuhan is clearly a "mammalian virus."

"Nothing supports snakes being involved," David Robertson, a virologist at the University of Glasgow, told Nature.

Though the coronavirus is a respiratory disease, a study that has not yet been peer-reviewed suggests it might also travel through the digestive system.

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People wearing masks shop at a supermarket on the second day of the Chinese Lunar New Year, following the outbreak of a new coronavirus, in Wuhan, Hubei province, China January 26, 2020. cnsphoto via REUTERS
Reuters

The
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, shared in the pre-publication repository biorXiv on Friday, comes from researchers at the Second Military Medical University in Shanghai. They detected an enzyme signature of the virus in cells from the small intestine and colon.

Australian researchers grew the virus in a lab outside China for the first time. It could help identify the antibodies humans produce before they show symptoms

Actually the habit of eating bat soup come from Palau and island in pacific it become popular in China due to tourism. I can believe it because Paniki or bat dishes has been eaten for generation in North Sulawesi north Celebes and no known disease is transmitted they still do now
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
The province of Hubei accounts for only 60% of the infections but 96% of the deaths.
Read this paper on flu transmission:
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The difference in viral dosage can affect disease severity. If you live in a place where there are very few people with the virus, the virus is very dilute in the environment and you are likely to receive fewer pathogens in an infection. This gives your immune system some extra time to detect the virus before it reproduces to a pathogenic threshold in your body, which will reduce the amount of time it can wreak havoc on you. If you live in a severely affected area where many people are shedding virus into the environment, you might be infected with a much larger viral dose when in that environment, leaving your immune system less time to recognize and defend against the pathogen before it reproduces to pathogenic threshold, allowing the virus greater time to attack your body. This increased density of infected individuals can explain why those in Wuhan experience greater average disease severity.
 

adiru

Junior Member
Registered Member
Today at 9:40 AM
I'll do it

(I'd post details if my prediction turned out to be true, in short it's based on my assumption the inflection point has been passed recently):

22k (twenty-two thousand) on February 13; error margins of one-thousand cases, and two days

see you then

infection point or inflection point? so you mean the max rate is been passed and the rest of it is slowing down while it curves the turn at the top?
Are they gonna be able to keep the whole country or at least wuhan /hubei on lockdown for two more weeks? if not, would it run risk of reigniting the fire?

do you make an excel spreadsheet?
 
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adiru

Junior Member
Registered Member
my cousin in China hit me up on wechat ask me to help him buy some N95 masks to send back to guiyang, but even now here in Dallas area of Texas the CVS, walmart, kroger, costcos and even amazon, everywhere is sold out.... forget about N95, cannot even find normal masks anywhere anymore, and even the Home Depot masks for dust filtering are gone!
 
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