The War in the Ukraine

[Sinnavuuty]

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Work of PMC Wagner in Donbas
Description: In movement operations, the forward group of the company's Wagner carries out early reconnaissance on the ground, after the results of the drone-assisted assessment of the tactical situation, mission, available means... the group to advance into the forest and position the field artillery assets by mortars and fire on selected targets from the drone footage, the BDA was being employed as a way to do damage assessment and then send the infantry to clear the area.

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A column of armored vehicles "BMC Kirpi" 4x4 MRAP, transferred by Turkey to the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the outskirts of Bakhmut.

 

[RottenPanzer]

Does Ukraine still operates M113 btw?
Since there has been no sighting of it in combat footage for the past month

 

[pmc]

I can answer you using your own comment with the source you mention. The answer:

Next point:

Regular can be set to any sustained rate of fire, whether it be 1 guided missile strike per day up to 50 guided missile strikes per day. The source itself claims that most sorties are with bombs and unguided rockets, which means that stand-off attack with bombs and guided missiles are a small portion of all the actual sorties that the VKS conducts in Ukraine. If the VKS conducts one sortie with guided munitions and the rest of the 199 sorties with unguided munitions during 100 days in a war, the VKS will be attacking regularly with guided munitions, but at a very small rate, derisory.

General interview only gave out over 7,000 guided munition from combat aircraft. now this looks small relative to sorties of combat aircraft but in over all context this is big number. how you are going to find so many fixed targets?
it does not include anything related to guided strikes by attack choppers.
this in addition to strike drone targets which most probably used guided weopons.

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Russian combat aircraft have conducted over 34,000 sorties in the special military operation in Ukraine, employing over 7,000 guided munitions. Russian unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have conducted over 8,000 sorties in the special military operation in Ukraine and strike drones have wiped out over 600 Ukrainian military targets.
The Ukrainian military daily loses from 600 to 1,000 troops.

This indicate the heavy use of attack choppers that new system first to implement for measuring airframe life is on Ka-52. the point is this firstconflict where importance of attack chopper is equal or surpassing fighter aircraft. similar case is happening with overhelming use of bombers for cruise missile strikes that also may surpass fighter aircraft combat utility.

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Nikolai Lvov, CEO of IRT – the developer of the system, told TASS in an interview
that the upgraded Ka-52M helicopter became the first aircraft with a structural condition monitoring system on board.
Then we produced advanced generation composite wing structures systems for the potential military aircraft. To date, we have already completed case trials of the system as a component of the Ka-52. The information currently being received from the Ka-52M helicopters includes details of the serviceability of the main structural elements of the helicopter and the condition of the helicopter in general, including the remaining service life and life of individual elements, the CEO noted.

 

[sheogorath]

Does Ukraine still operates M113 btw?
Since there has been no sighting of it in combat footage for the past month

There was a recent video of Ukranian soldiers pulling out the remains out of a burned out husk of an M113

 

[gelgoog]

I think the game from Russian time has a deadline.

There is no deadline. The Russian government announced a couple days ago they canned the state arms program and will be redoing it all over taking into consideration the demands of the SMO. This means they are into it for the long haul since the state arms program basically defines weapons purchases on the level of like 5 years or even 10 years. If this was going to be a short term affair then they wouldn't cancel a long horizon program like that.

If they don't fninsh the SMO this winter then by next summer the conditions will be less favourable than now.

I agree with you that it will become more difficult the more time passes. Russia should have started mobilization shortly after the invasion. But you get what you get.

The USA will manage to gear up the ammunition and weapon production in half year time, during summertime there is less need for fuel, the trenches are more liveable, means harder to find and destroy the enemy.

I doubt it. It takes like a year to retool a factory and two years to build a new one. And so far the US is taking this whole exercise quite leisurely unlike Russia.

During summer time all of this is way easier, less need for fuel/electricity , maintanance of equipment possible on field/roadside.

Sure. But increasingly Ukraine is having to use Western equipment for which they have no trained mechanics for.

From Russian side there is no real benefit from industrial side, the mibilisation already happened, the industry is on full gear.

The arms industry basically sped up existing state arms program line items but only cosmetic changes were made to existing orders for a couple of pressing items. But now the Russian government will revise the whole thing top to bottom and military expenditure volume was increased.

So, in the next three month there needs to be a big push from Russian side.
After this winter the odds become less favourable for Russia.

I agree but I think this is unlikely. The mobilized will not be 100% up to speed with the conditions in Ukraine and their equipment level will be kind of on the low side to begin with. Maybe things will be better around February time but who knows. If any push happens it will have to be made with the professional army being the spearhead and the mobilized just holding ground.

 

[Sinnavuuty]

There is no deadline. The Russian government announced a couple days ago they canned the state arms program and will be redoing it all over taking into consideration the demands of the SMO. This means they are into it for the long haul since the state arms program basically defines weapons purchases on the level of like 5 years or even 10 years. If this was going to be a short term affair then they wouldn't cancel a long horizon program like that.

Are you referring to this?

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Shoigu said that the implementation of the state defense order will be guaranteed at a level of at least 99%

 

[Tam]

Don't watch this if you're squeamish. I was a bit like WTF (!!!!!) watching this. But it really brings question to mind the training of Ukrainian soldiers. In this video, the leading vehicle came under fire, and for the lack of any other reason I can think of, the driver panicked, rammed backward at the APC as it was disgorging people, and ran over a comrade alive.

 

[HereToSeePics]

Let's start tapering down the back and fourth arguments stemming from Von Der Leyen's European Commission address on Ukraine casualties. Unless there's new credible reports+evidence, this debate is not winnable and just needless bickering at this point.

 

[Sinnavuuty]

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At least 9,311 Russian soldiers have died since Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine nine months ago, according to an independent

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conducted jointly by the BBC Russian Service and independent Russian news outlet

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.

The death toll, which was published by the BBC on Friday, only includes officially confirmed fatalities, meaning that the true number of Russia’s losses in the conflict to date could be as much as twice that number, the U.K. public broadcaster said.

The number of Russia’s irreversible losses, a figure that includes the severely injured and the missing, could be as high as 100,000 people, the BBC said.

Among those included in the count by the BBC are 326 men called up during Russia’s recent mobilization drive. At least 35 of them died before they could be deployed to the frontlines “most often due to heart problems, accidents or alcohol abuse,” the report said.

The Russian army reportedly sustained particularly heavy losses among its top echelons. Army officers make up over 15% of the overall death toll, while the count also includes four generals, 47 colonels and 101 military pilots.

Infantry and airborne forces sustained the highest number of losses since the beginning of the war, closely followed by so-called volunteer battalions — regional militias made up of civilian volunteers — which have collectively lost as many as 1,050 servicemen.

The investigation showed that the largest number of dead servicemen came from southern Russia’s Krasnodar region, followed by the Siberian republic of Buryatia and the North Caucasus republic of Dagestan.

By contrast, Moscow, which is home to nearly 9% of the country’s population, has lost just 50 residents in the war, or just 0.5% of the total.

-----
We have three statistics here:

An independent investigation conducted by BBC Russia journalists and the independent Russian news agency MediaZona into officially confirmed deaths said on 25 November that, in a "conservative estimate", at least 9,311 Russian soldiers were killed.

The BBC said the list could contain up to 60% fewer names of the dead than those buried in Russia, while MediaZona reported that the numbers could reach "tens of thousands". "The losses of the Russian Army and National Guard of Russia in Ukraine could be more than 18,600 people," he told the BBC, adding that 15 percent of the total consisted of officers, including four generals and 47 colonels.

Furthermore, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said in its update that Russia has lost 89,440 troops since the start of its invasion on February 24. With Ukraine estimating that around 500 Russian troops were killed every day, the 90,000 milestone is expected to be reached by the weekend.

 

[Soldier30]

Personnel training Russian mobilized military personnel at a training ground near Kazan. Fire on various types of training targets is not carried out at a distance of 100 to 400 meters with tracer bullets, it is reported that combat experience is taken into account in the preparation.

The mobile group of Ukraine was hit by artillery. The servicemen loaded the mortar into the car, the area was patrolled by a Russian UAV and immediately transmitted the data to the artillery crews. As a result of an artillery strike, a mortar was thrown and one of the soldiers was wounded.

An episode of the battle of the Ukrainian army in Bakhmut. The video shows the use of the American 60-mm mortar M224 LWCMS with a range of fire from 45 to 3500 meters and a rate of fire up to 20 rounds per minute. The mortar was adopted by the US Army in 1977, now being replaced by the M224A1 version. The video also shows a low-altitude flight of a pair of Su-25s and one MiG-29 of the Ukrainian Air Force in the Bakhmut direction. The fighting in the Bakhmut area is now one of the most intense, the Russian army is gradually surrounding the city.

The result of the impact of the Russian Lancet drone on the D-20 howitzer, shooting of Ukraine. The consequences of this strike were shown by a unit of the Ukrainian army. According to a soldier of the 57th separate motorized infantry brigade of Ukraine, only the wheel of the howitzer was damaged. But the operator does not show another part of the howitzer, where all the controls are located.