Ladakh Flash Point

[nastya1]

In a land campaign in that part of the world, the fundamental issue would be logistical and not technological. A large army needs to be supplied to sustain operations.
Just like the Chinese, the Indians would certainly target all Chinese choke points, key infrastructures like bridges et al. Why would the risk if destruction be unique only to the Indian side?

Indians think their ace card is the Malacca strait where their navy at Andaman and Nicobar islands can intercept Chinese merchant ships if Indian army suffer defeat at border campaign against China.
Chinese too planners should take this into account and plan accordingly; thats turn Myanmar into a client state with carrot and stick approach. A strong navy base at myanmar. Once Sino Indian war started, defeat limited Indian Navy at Andaman and Nicobar or take over those islands. Those islands are so far away from Indian continent I don't think India can hold them.

Andaman and Nicobar islands for India is almost as if China occupying Natunas island at SCS.

 

[nastya1]

No one mention this. For long time China didn't want to create an enemy with India because Indian market present a huge opportunity for Chinese firms. But India now doing economic decoupling with China and banned Chinese firms from participating into Indian economy which present a no loss situation for China if it wage future wars against India.

I think creates a very dangerous situation for India in the future with China Pakistan and Iran alliance surrounding it.

 

[discspinner]

The best move for China is to maintain the status quo. India will eventually disintegrate under the weight of its own internal contradictions. China doesn't want to make India an eternal enemy by doing so through force.

 

[discspinner]

The officer takes the Indian threat very seriously but pointed out several baffling strategic decisions from the Indian side and the most egregious of which is stationing so many troops near the LAC. Not only are they covered by PLA artillery fire, but they present a huge logistical liability come winter. He also pointed out that Indian infrastructure in the area are prone to destruction by Chinese and Pakistani forces and should India launch an attack, they’d be at a disadvantage since China holds several strategic choke points.

Well, if you are planning to launch an offensive, then massing forces at the staging grounds is pre-requisite.

 

[localizer]

I don't think China and India will go to war unless US gives India the OK.

 

[Rubeena]

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I found this analysis (starting 3:55) from an ex PLA military officer of the Nanjing military district (pre-reform) and there are actually a lot of solid analysis from a pure military standpoint. Way better than the usual chest thumping rants from both Indian and Chinese amateurs.

China capabilities in terms of AI and Cyber are the best in the world. The way the World power see , no one will dare to go with a war with China. Until other countries jump into it and their is a WWIII.
Can anyone throw more light on the weakness of India in terms of EW, Cyber or AI?

 

[Brainsuker]

I don't think China and India will go to war unless US gives India the OK.

Isn't that the war between India and China is what US wants? They will definitely gives India the OK.

 

[Brainsuker]

In a land campaign in that part of the world, the fundamental issue would be logistical and not technological. A large army needs to be supplied to sustain operations.
Just like the Chinese, the Indians would certainly target all Chinese choke points, key infrastructures like bridges et al. Why would the risk of destruction be unique only to the Indian side?

Do you know what he means with Chinese Chock Points? It is a narrow path between mountains. What target that India wants to attack in there? If they wants to attack, they will have to move into a snake like route narrow path that can be targeted by Chinese Artillery elements.

India put 25.000 corp size army in their side of their front line. While China has only put 2 brigade size armies in Galwan. With the natural obstacle around Galwan, Pangong Cho, around Ladakh, India must put their men closer to each others. Like in tight formation. With that kind of situation, if both sides decides to exchange missiles and artillery, India side will have more casualty than China.

We must remember about an old China news in this forum, about PLA training. Where the red side (good guy) have to fight against a superior blue side (bad guy). In the news, a Chinese general lose his whole Division just after the Blue Side throw them a nuclear tactical missile; because he (red General) put his division in more tight formation.

Maybe this lesson has become the base for that Chinese Ex General to explain why India's bigger army is not an advantage but a disadvantage.

 

[Deino]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1292710403160469508

 

[Rubeena]

Do you know what he means with Chinese Chock Points? It is a narrow path between mountains. What target that India wants to attack in there? If they wants to attack, they will have to move into a snake like route narrow path that can be targeted by Chinese Artillery elements.

India put 25.000 corp size army in their side of their front line. While China has only put 2 brigade size armies in Galwan. With the natural obstacle around Galwan, Pangong Cho, around Ladakh, India must put their men closer to each others. Like in tight formation. With that kind of situation, if both sides decides to exchange missiles and artillery, India side will have more casualty than China.

We must remember about an old China news in this forum, about PLA training. Where the red side (good guy) have to fight against a superior blue side (bad guy). In the news, a Chinese general lose his whole Division just after the Blue Side throw them a nuclear tactical missile; because he (red General) put his division in more tight formation.

Maybe this lesson has become the base for that Chinese Ex General to explain why India's bigger army is not an advantage but a disadvantage.

But due to this tension, China has also increased the size of the Army, till now the Army of China is on front line.
What about the Bangong lake, the China Army has increased the strength their also.