News on China's scientific and technological development.

4Tran

Junior Member
Registered Member
I just heard someone say that it will take more than a decade for US to establish the rare earth supply chain, what are the people estimating here?

My estimate is 3-5 years, and I can expound on that. For China, it must aim for complete tech self sufficiency in this time horizon.
3-5 years is impossible because the West is effectively starting from scratch, and they have no practical experience to draw on, and no tooling to enable any of this.

The US is going to aim for 5 years because it simply cannot plan for longer periods. The most optimistic time estimate is going to be 10 years before rare earths products get produced in any decent quantity. But because American industrial policy is dysfunctional, it's going to be about 15 years.

just would like to point out the restrictions are just a framework. it doesn't create any effects without the knobs being turned. it's tempting to imagine all the knobs just immediately turned to max, but that's not the point of it. the REEs will generally flow, just not to targeted endpoints. but the REEs will still flow to everyone else and continue the dependency. that will retard the scaling of any parallel REE stack.
China will still cut off military and dual purpose rare earths products so the incentive is there for the US to go full bore on replicating the industry.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Malaysia most likely using equipment from China. This is why China is cracking down on technologies now. These technology restrictions should have been done years ago. China’s critical technology exports should be outright banned. Not just restricted. No country can be trusted. Even Pakistan was selling rare earths to the US.
Stop spreading fake news

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According to Sharif’s office, the partnership will immediately begin the export of “readily available minerals” – including antimony, copper, gold, tungsten and rare earth elements – from Pakistan.

The statement added that the MoU aims to spur the eventual establishment of a specialised refinery in Pakistan to produce “intermediate and finished products dedicated to meeting the rapidly growing demand of the US market”.

The MoU is not a binding mining licence, rather, analysts say, it is an early-stage instrument that signals interest.

“From the USSM’s side an MoU gives goodwill at early stage in potential projects that may come, while the broad nature of the MoU means that whatever deposits show the most potential quickest can come online quickly,” Zain Kazmi, chief operating officer of Islamabad-based Capital Strategies Group and an adviser to the Washington DC-based Critical Minerals Forum, told Al Jazeera.
 

tphuang

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tphuang

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XCMG and Sinopec Shipping Company successfully signed a contract for the world's first 14,000-ton rail-mounted crane.

This pioneered the application of electric direct drive technology. Through extensive testing and optimization, it achieved over 30% overall energy savings and a 25% increase in operating efficiency.
 
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