2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

tamsen_ikard

Senior Member
Registered Member
They're going after the scientists because the underground facilities are too hard to take out completely.
Unless Trump lets Israel borrow some planes, they're not going to have the bunker busters to finish the job.
If Iran is smart, they have the mountains to withstand even a nuke attack. Not even a US bunker buster should be able to meaningfully damage its nuclear facilities. Its not hard to withstand conventional bombs if buried deep underground.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
They're going after the scientists because the underground facilities are too hard to take out completely.
Unless Trump lets Israel borrow some planes, they're not going to have the bunker busters to finish the job.
You think Israel destroyed Fordow, under a granite mountain hundreds of meters tall? It can't even be done with tactical nukes.
If that is true, then Iran may have one last chance, to round up all its remaining scientists, have them all LIVE in Fordow, and not a single one of them comes out until its nukes are ready. I suggest they call China; we would normally not want to turn any country nuclear, but given Israel's actions, we could be helpful. But then again, I heard Iran thinks China only makes low quality shit so they can go hit rocks together until they figure it out. All good.
 
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Minm

Junior Member
Registered Member
Well I think Iran has delayed its nuclear breakout for long enough. They should just go ahead and do it at this point.
Yes, this attack is enough justification to cancel the npt. But the snapback of UN sanctions has a deadline in October. There can't be a nuclear test before that while the reimposition of sanctions will probably trigger the nuclear test
That's exactly what I'm saying. It has happened many times in the past and it just happened again. It really doesn't matter how it happened this time. They weren't in defended bunkers hunted down after the nation falls like national assets should be protected.

When China underwent our nuclear weapons program, Chinese nuclear scientists lived for years, not seeing their families or even the sun in fortified underground bunker labs in the middle of the desert free from all foreign spying. It was eat, sleep, nuclear science. That's it, and they successfully carried the weight of the nation on their shoulders. Iranian scientists work 9-5, go home to regular housing, buy all thier shit from markets like they're just normal people outside of work.
China is very big and was reasonably safe from foreign invasion due to its large population of men willing to fight even a superpower. China is very ethnically homogeneous and difficult to infiltrate. China didn't have to fear a superpower doing everything in its power to stop nuclearisation.

Iran doesn't have these advantages. Building a bomb 10 years ago before Iran had the ability to confidently deliver it to Israel would have been suicidal. Today it's different. Israel is attacking because the window of opportunity is closing
 

Randomuser

Captain
Registered Member
I'm beginning to wonder if one of the reasons Pakistan has shown more success recently compared to bigger long term nations like India or Iran is because they are a new nation so they know they don't have much power and don't have any dreams or pride about their past glories. This allows them to be more grounded and do whatever it takes to win. In contrast India and Iran have a lot of pride from their old glory days and therefore think they can take on more than they can chew. To admit otherwise hurts their pride immensely. Actually even Russia is like this but they learn from mistakes a faster. China was unfortunately also like this and needed an entire century to wake up.
 

Fatty

Junior Member
Registered Member
That's exactly what I'm saying. It has happened many times in the past and it just happened again. It really doesn't matter how it happened this time. They weren't in defended bunkers hunted down after the nation falls like national assets should be protected.

When China underwent our nuclear weapons program, Chinese nuclear scientists lived for years, not seeing their families or even the sun in fortified underground bunker labs in the middle of the desert free from all foreign spying. It was eat, sleep, nuclear science. That's it, and they successfully carried the weight of the nation on their shoulders. Iranian scientists work 9-5, go home to regular housing, buy all thier shit from markets like they're just normal people outside of work.
Don’t forget Khomeini is stupid enough to issue a fatwa saying that developing nuclear weapons is haram. And he still has not withdrawn that fatwa. Just looking for death
 

bebops

Junior Member
Registered Member
Not yet. They still need get rid of Russia first, and thats not likely happening anytime soon, or ever. Without Russia neutralized, they can only strike china from the west PAC region and would not be able to encircle China. And you bet china is expecting that. They've been expecting it for a long time, ever since 1997 Taiwan strait crisis.

The west may count on India also attacking China from the west, but given India's current debacle and the mountainous terrain, that not likely to be effective.

US bases in west pac, and Japan are the main belligerents. ASEAN will not intervene. Phillipines can try, lol but without US bases, wtf do they have?


Yes basically Philippine, Japan and a bunch of carriers.
 

tamsen_ikard

Senior Member
Registered Member
I'm beginning to wonder if one of the reasons Pakistan has shown more success recently compared to bigger long term nations like India or Iran is because they are a new nation so they know they don't have much power and don't have any dreams or pride about their past glories. This allows them to be more grounded and do whatever it takes to win. In contrast India and Iran have a lot of pride from their old glory days and therefore think they can take on more than they can chew. Actually even Russia is like this but they learn from mistakes a faster.
Pakistan considers itself the successor to the Muslim Empires of India such as the mughals and Delhi Sultanate. They consider themselves the descendents of past Muslim Conquerors. So, they do have their own "glorious" past to look back as well.
 
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