The War in the Ukraine

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
russia has created a specific line of defense 30 km long in Donetsk region, which includes more than two thousand wagons - DeepState. The structure of goods wagons stretches along a branch from the railway station in Olenivka to Volnovakha and has about 2,100 wagons of various types. The idea is an obstacle to the advancement of the Defense Forces. It can be considered as a separate line of defense, because it is extremely difficult to damage, move or blow up a 30-kilometer-long mass of metal, and the movement of equipment through such an obstacle without breaking through the corridor is impossible.
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Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
Ukraine in worst military crisis since the battle for Kyiv This was the assessment of Paul Ronzheimer, deputy editor-in-chief of BILD, who visited the frontline near Bakhmut. "This is probably the worst military crisis in Ukraine since Russia's offensive on Kyiv in 2022. Uncertainty and frustration are high in these cold winter days. As a reporter in Ukraine, I haven't seen such a mood since the full-scale invasion in 2022. The question is whether all this drama is understood in Washington, Berlin and Paris," writes Ronzheimer.
 

blackjack21

New Member
Registered Member
Heard that there are only a few defensive lines left before it becomes an easy push to the Dnieper River. But with consideration in Shoigus statement the war should be over by 2025 and Putin talking about establishing a 300km demilitarized zone in ukraine where Russian cities wont be struck 2 weeks ago makes it seem that the Russian higher ups have enough confidence controlling the flow of this war if they made those statements.

Everyone is assuming that if Putin takes presidency again in March that a major offensive would be launched like it did before in the start of the war. so I will probably be on the lookout if there is any news about Russian troops getting sent to Belarus to maybe attack Ukraine from the north. If they somehow do manage to get to the Dnieper river I think they will change their minds in supplying the F-16s to Ukraine in Spring by the last minute because of this.
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If they somehow get 40% of land coverage during the spring they have Smerch 80km and Tornado MLRS systems which they bragged about working in 3 work shifts to produce which cover 120kms. You basically have more than half of Ukraine become a target zone for artillery and drone strikes leaving not much room to park F-16s in runways if they get targeted more frequently without the options of using air to ground missiles, long range ground to ground missiles or long range Iranian drones. So it makes me wonder if those F-16s would fly to resupply to NATO countries to attack Russians in which I have no idea if that counts as NATO declaring war on Russia.
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
Heard that there are only a few defensive lines left before it becomes an easy push to the Dnieper River.
Ukraine still has a defensive line with several cities. Sloviansk, Kramatorsk. A though nut to crack for sure. And entering the major Ukrainian cities like Kharkiv or Zaporizhzhia wouldn't be an easy job either. Assuming the Russians ever try to get into the major cities.

But with consideration in Shoigus statement the war should be over by 2025 and Putin talking about establishing a 300km demilitarized zone in ukraine where Russian cities wont be struck 2 weeks ago makes it seem that the Russian higher ups have enough confidence controlling the flow of this war if they made those statements.
I kind of doubt it will completely end by 2025. At best they will end the major military operations. But at the current rate of progress using this level of resources it will take longer than that.

Everyone is assuming that if Putin takes presidency again in March that a major offensive would be launched like it did before in the start of the war.
I wouldn't be too surprised either. Once Putin gets confirmation from the vote he could expand conscription to try to end the conflict sooner before more Western military aid arrives and the West actually manage to increase their own production. Regardless, Russia shouldn't take off the pressure as that would allow Ukraine to basically rearm itself.

so I will probably be on the lookout if there is any news about Russian troops getting sent to Belarus to maybe attack Ukraine from the north. If they somehow do manage to get to the Dnieper river I think they will change their minds in supplying the F-16s to Ukraine in Spring by the last minute because of this.
They will just keep operating the F-16 in the Western part of the country. Unless Russia starts taking territory West of the Dnieper I think it will happen. And I wouldn't be surprised if at least some of the aircraft were operated by NATO pilots.

If they somehow get 40% of land coverage during the spring they have Smerch 80km and Tornado MLRS systems which they bragged about working in 3 work shifts to produce which cover 120kms. You basically have more than half of Ukraine become a target zone for artillery and drone strikes leaving not much room to park F-16s in runways if they get targeted more frequently without the options of using air to ground missiles, long range ground to ground missiles or long range Iranian drones. So it makes me wonder if those F-16s would fly to resupply to NATO countries to attack Russians in which I have no idea if that counts as NATO declaring war on Russia.
Russia needs to mitigate the disparity in terms of leading edge long distance fires and recon somehow. Automating the production of glide bomb kits and putting the glide kit for the FAB-1500 into serial production will be necessary. The US has been buying artillery shells from India, and should increase its own production in a year or two. Russia needs to address the gap in capabilities by then. Hence Shoigu's comment when he visited the plant which is supposed to be building the Koalitsiya on why weren't the first serial units delivered already. Right now the Russians have the Giatsint to keep up in range but it isn't enough.
 
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Tam

Brigadier
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Two Ukrainian D-30 howitzers in Kherson taken out by Lancets.

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LMUR hit on an AFU vehicle repair facility in Malinovka, Zaporozhye.

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M777 taken out by counterbattery in the Artemovsk region.

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The 98th VDV Division captures another Ukrainian stronghold.

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Two damaged Ukrainian HIMARS flown back to the US using an Antonov.

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FAB-1500 arrival on the Avdiivka coke plant.

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AFU field ammo depot in Kherson hit by Russian D-20 howitzer.

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Geran-2 taken out by a US Vampire missile system which is pickup portable and uses laser guidance.

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Another M777 taken out by Lancet in Kherson.

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Russian FPV drone operators hit an AFU repair center somewhere in Kupyansk region.

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AFU T-72M1 hit by Lancet.

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Ukrainian MSTA-B howitzer taken out by counterbattery arty strike in Zaporozhye.

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Assault group of the 155th Marine Brigade manages to successfully clear minefield during assault on Novomikhailovka.

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Ukrainian ATGM nest hit by arty of the 238th Brigade.

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Fuel facility in Kharkhiv is still burning on the 3rd Day.

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broadsword

Brigadier
If Ukraine start mobilizing them tho.. well. Kinda wonder how bad their male populations now ? Also mobilized women. The worst would be if they start drafting even younger people. They're essentially lost their future as a country.

also one member of my discord server which from Ukraine disappeared... kinda worried.

Then they should draft the senior citizens before drafting the teenagers.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
Not posting the actual video which might be against moderation here, but it seems I am recently seeing a lot of random videos of mentally disabled people in the war.
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The videos about him are blatenly sick. Hope that the poor lad will be POW soon, well treated and survive the war. They are clearly scrapping the barrel. How that poor lad help the situation beside being a target for a FPV drone ? It's just insane.

If they throw kids in the grinder and womans, how they will even be able to rebuild what will be left of Ukraine ? People who flee abroad and got a new life there will not return.
 
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