The War in the Ukraine

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
Had Ukraine possess 48N6, it can kill both the missile and aircraft assuming older 110 Km range Kh-31P. the Kh-31PM however can engage from 250 km. The Russians maybe saturate all the radar's 6 target channels prior to attack.

One of the follow on tweets mention it was indeed struck by an anti-radiation missile.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russian artillery blasting away at Ukrainian positions.


Lancet strikes another M777 once again. This appears to be the other Lancet design used with both equal length cuneiform wings instead of the front wings having a greater wing span. The drone is from obtf Kaskad so the event would have occurred either at Avdiivka or Ugledar.


Lancet strikes at a supply truck, possibly carrying ammo, at Kremennaya.

 

anzha

Senior Member
Registered Member
Russian speaking doesn't mean much.

Let me second this.

Most personal connections (and family) are Russian speakers 1st and foremost. They are from the Donbas. They are overwhelmingly anti-Russian right now. The people captured might have been territory defense units: local, Russian speaking and anti-Russian.

It shouldn't be hard to fathom that language doesn't always match nationality or identity. Canadians are by and large English speakers, but they are not Americans, British or Australian. If the US invaded Canada, even though they are (mostly) friendly now, you can bet Canadians become rabidly anti-American and still speak English.
 

CMP

Senior Member
Registered Member
Let me second this.

Most personal connections (and family) are Russian speakers 1st and foremost. They are from the Donbas. They are overwhelmingly anti-Russian right now. The people captured might have been territory defense units: local, Russian speaking and anti-Russian.

It shouldn't be hard to fathom that language doesn't always match nationality or identity. Canadians are by and large English speakers, but they are not Americans, British or Australian. If the US invaded Canada, even though they are (mostly) friendly now, you can bet Canadians become rabidly anti-American and still speak English.
lol the US has no need to invade Canada when Canada is economically and financially enslaved to the US system already. That creates all the leverage the US needs to control Canada's political environment and foreign policies.
 

anzha

Senior Member
Registered Member
on the other hand, the collapse in 2015 during the battle of Debaltseve is indicative of what could happen: abandoning positions in ambulances, abandoning heavy equipment, and leaving hundreds to be captured.

Indeed. Debaltseve was a complete collapse. IIRC, a whole motorized brigade was slaughtered with artillery alone. We haven't seen that sort of defeat yet. (correct me if I am wrong, of course!)

The AFU of 2023 is definitely not the AFU of 2015. If it were and I definitely thought it was (mea culpa), then the war would have been over in 2 or 3 weeks. Kiev would have fallen in no time.

Mariupol may be the harbinger of what will happen if the Ukrainians get completely surrounded in Bahkmut and Avdiivka.

Bakmut (and probably Avdiivka) are probably holding actions, very expensive ones to be sure, to buy time. The longer the war goes on, the worse this is for the Russians. Blood and treasure that ought to have been spent on growing their economy is being burned in Ukraine. The decades of manufacturing replacements needed for the equipment destroyed is another future sink even after the war.
 

anzha

Senior Member
Registered Member
lol the US has no need to invade Canada when Canada is economically and financially enslaved to the US system already. That creates all the leverage the US needs to control Canada's political environment and foreign policies.

In 2012, Ukraine's trade was mostly with Russia: 32%. The next largest partner at the time was China: 9%. The US trade with Canada accounts for 50% of Canadian exports.

In 2019, Ukraine's trade with Russia fell to 9% of its exports. I cannot fathom why that would be. (note: /s)

You do know France and Germany were each other's greatest trading partners before WW1, right? Trade doesn't stop wars if people are bent on it.
 

obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
Don't know if this was shared here before:-


Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu stated that the Russian Air Force destroyed more than 20,000 Ukrainian military facilities, and made 140,000 sorties as part of Russia's special military operation in Ukraine.

This came during a meeting of the minister at the headquarters of the Russian Ministry of Defense today, Wednesday, where Shoigu continued that up to 90% of operational and tactical flight crews, 60% of strategic and long-range flight crews and 85% of personnel of complexes with unmanned aerial vehicles of the Russian Armed Forces have received combat experience. During the Russian military special operation.

He pointed out that among those sorties are missions that are no less important in the area of the special military operation by military transport pilots, who deliver goods and personnel around the clock.

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140k sorties (including those of transport aircraft) means they have been doing 350 sorties per day which is not bad at all considering they are dealing with an enemy that is being constantly supplied with airdefence systems.

analysts like Scott Ritter and Macgregor say that Ukraine probably suffered more than 200k dead at this point, Scot in one of his videos said that Russia has to finish this war in this year because if they don't then the western MIC will eventually supply enough weapons for Ukraine and more Ukrainian troops will be trained making the situation far much more difficult for Russia than it already is.

Macgregor says the reason there hasn't been a Russian offensive in the winter was because the ground didn't freeze enough for an offensive so they will likely have to wait for the summer so the ground dries up.

Macgregor thinks that Ukraine is ****ed, personally I agree, the Ukraine is gradually running out of people to through at the Russian military and now they resorted to kidnapping people in public just to send them to war. such incidents are so prevalent that even CIA media RFE/RL can't ignore it anymore.

 
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sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
A few recent pictures of Ukr Su-25 were published today. Besides the garish "identification" aids in the belly, seems they have been forced to jury rig Chaff/Flare cartridges from something else.

If I had to guess, either they are using the chaff/flares cartridges from the Il-76's turrets or these adaptors to fire makeshift flares

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phrozenflame

Junior Member
Registered Member
Anyone else noticed more and more vides from UA PoV where drones are throwing multiple grenades instead of just one. Seems like they've started receiving drones designed for this kinda warfare and not just rigging the commercially available ones?
 
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