Predict the future thread


Senior Member
Registered Member
Think of this thread as a prediction based on consensus from other threads. I am predicting an acceleration of change regarding status of China.


Economy: China getting 4% gdp growth while rest of world suffers heavy inflation and recession. But beyond numbers China will gain great progress in high tech such as lithography. Chinese EV begins its global domination.

Military: besides things we already know like 003, biggest event would be rapid expansion of nuclear deterance.


Economy: Rapid expansion of global trade of China into rest of world. A stable year for China amid global crisis. Europe will experience deindustrialization from energy crisis. Chinese EV begin to appear everywhere across globe, though at small quantity at first.

Military: China will get a major boost in military power. New 003 carrier will have its J-31 operational. WS-15 is ready which leads to ramping up of J-20 production.


Economy: global crisis continues, and it leaks into political sphere. Many EU leaders will have been replaced due to poor economic performance. This time US election bring lots of divisiveness. People are more willing vote amid harder times. Meanwhile China is politically stable, and domestic lithography enjoys success. All is quiet in China.

Military: a relative quiet year as well. Mainly the production ramp up of existing platform. Unless H-20 reveal?


Economy: The global economic crisis recovers. The world once again puts attention to China noting its growth amid trouble. Chinese GDP getting extremely close to USA. China is almost fully self sufficient. Even domestic plane like C919 is making full production. However, China still need to buy foriegn products as domestic production ramp up.

Military: next generation of platforms begin to emerge. The end of "made in China 2025" 5 year plan. The turbulent time of China begin surpass USA is full of danger. I expect increased allocation to military budget to counter this pressure. Expect new carrier to begin show up in the dock mid construction.


Evonomy: Chinese high tech enjoys previous momentum and begin globalizing. Chinese EUV machine emerges. The west realize their previous source of income like auto industry is under threat. Expect renewed trade conflicts.

Military: Rapid emergance of new platforms thanks to extra budget. Now previous generation can expect to be cleared for export. We will finally see Chinese arm exports making waves as it deserves.


Economy: Chinese nominal GDP surpasses USA. This leads to alarms. The world is tense. It is never uneventful when one dominant global power is eclipsed. I wonder what crisis will happen. Good news, China is nearly independent to trade embargo now.

Military: I expect yet another carrier to emerge. More proven platform is built amid world tension.

-----2028: the home stretch.

Economy: it is evident China needs lots of resources to produce things. It exports a lot, but rarely buy products besides resources. Chinese need more space for export and world stability for resource import. Expect China having more global influence to keep the trade going.

Military: a very anxious year. Besides economy, Chinese military is also approaching USA. This brings yet another source of tension. I hope both sides are rational and things do not descend into a crisis.


Perhaps now we will have more information regarding the unificarion of Taiwan? Not this year perhaps, but we can feel its approach as China has less and less to lose. I can't predict any further now. But I think it can happen early 2030s.
Last edited:


Junior Member
Registered Member
What I'm really curious about is who will be Xi's successor? Xi is most definitely getting a 3rd a term but will he go for a 4th term. Honestly, Xi should go for a 4th term just to freak the liberals out. The liberals would starting crying about how authoritarian he is, and how he is the new Mao.


Registered Member
My prediction

2025: Republicans won elections in the USA and Tsai's vice minister wins elections in Taiwan. Salami slicing gears up
2027: Taiwan goes for an independence referendum. China starts AR. The biggest economic crisis in history.
The USA and China go for a decade-long arms race and an economic recovery program. The USA becomes fascist and the transatlantic alliance finally dissolves.
I am not optimistic as you can see.

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
One event that may come in 2023 and 2024 is that due to the energy crisis created by the Ukrainian war, European manufacturing start to migrate out of Europe and into Asia including China. The other event is the unveiling of the fifth gen aircrafts during the next decade by both China and the U.S. They should come around the same time. It will be interesting to see what comes out of both.